2016 Fantasy Football: Week 11 Game Previews and Fantasy Predictions
Often lost in a sea of trash talking, gambling, and often meaningless stats that serve as the foundation of Fantasy Football, is the pure pugilistic poetry of a great NFL game. Week 10 was the most exciting week of this season by far. There were incredible finishes in four games. The endings of the Chiefs/Panthers, Broncos/Saints, Steelers/Cowboys, and Seahawks/Patriots games were all unbelievable.
My favorite game was the Steelers/Cowboys barn-burner. The Cowboys took all of the Steelers best punches, including the first fake spike TD pass we’ve seen since Dan Marino first did it in the mid 90’s. The Cowboys still somehow found a way to win. I’m not a Cowboy fan, and Ezekiel Elliott destroyed a couple of my Fantasy teams, but yet I’m still in awe of what Elliott and Dak Prescott have done as rookies. Hopefully, Week 11 can give us another great week of pro football.
I use a A-F grading scale for each player. I do this because I think many players values are equal. In DFS, if two players have the same grade, go with the cheaper option.
“A” Players are expected to have big games. “B” players are must starts. “C” players are borderline starters. A “C+” means I would lean towards starting them, and a “C-” means I’d lean towards not starting them. “D” players are not recommended starters, and “F” players are not listed.
As it related to DFS; These numbers are based on FanDuel’s player pricing. Grades are based on FanDuels’s 1/2 point PPR scoring system. A= $8,000 plus, B= $6,500-$7,900, C= $5,500-$6,400, D= $4,600-$5,400, and F= $4,500. Keep in mind QBs prices are inflated by around $1,000, and TEs prices are deflated by around $1,000.
Week 11 Game Previews and Fantasy Predictions
Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bills offense has been pretty good despite being hit hard by injuries. All-Pro Center Eric Wood is the latest casualty. The Bengals defense has been bad against the run this season, ranking 24th. LeSean McCoy should have a nice game.
The 3-5-1 Bengals have been an all around disappointment except for A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert is starting to come on pretty strong.
LeSean McCoy B+
Tyrod Taylor/Mike Gillislee/Robert Woods C
Charles Clay C-
A.J. Green A
Tyler Eifert B+
Jeremy Hill/Giovani Bernard C+
Andy Dalton C-
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (Defensive Game of the Week)
The Cardinals and Vikings are the two of the four biggest disappointing teams in the NFC this season along with the Panthers and Packers. The Vikings lost their fourth straight game last week in Washington, and the Cardinals squeaked out a last possession win against the 1-9 49ers.
Both teams have been very good on defense, ranking second and third overall in the league. David Johnson is a Top 3 Fantasy player, and Larry Fitzgerald and Stefon Diggs are too good to bench. I would not start anyone else in this game though.
David Johnson B+
Larry Fitzgerald (Q) C+
Carson Palmer C-
John Brown (Q)/J.J. Nelson/Michael Floyd D+
Stefon Diggs C+
Kyle Rudolph C
Jerick McKinnon/Matt Asiata D+
Chicago Bears at New York Giants (Worst Game of the Week)
The Bears didn’t really seem interested in playing last week, as they were blown out by a bad Buccaneers team. Alshon Jeffery is now suspended for four games. The Bears have clearly began to phone it in, and wait until next season when they can finally rid themselves of Jay Cutler.
Very simply, start all your Giants, and bench all your Bears. Jordan Howard could be a low-end RB2, if he is able to play.
Odell Beckham A+
Eli Manning B
Sterling Shepard B-
Rashad Jennings C+
Paul Perkins C
Jordan Howard (Q) C
Zach Miller/Cameron Meredith C-
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (Offensive Game of the Week)
Marcus Mariota has been on an absolute tear the last four weeks. He’s also had a string of great match-ups, with the Jaguars, Chargers, and Packers. They get another weak defense this week with the Colts.
The Colts are pretty healthy coming off a bye. Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton, and Donte Moncrief are all poised for big games against a bad Titan’s secondary. This game has the makings of a back and forth shootout. With both teams playing for their playoff lives, I don’t expect either of them to lay down.
Delanie Walker A
Marcus Mariota B+
DeMarco Murray (Q) B
Rishard Matthews/Tajae Sharpe C+
Derrick Henry/Kendall Wright C-
Andrew Luck A
T.Y. Hilton A-
Donte Moncrief B
Frank Gore/Jack Doyle C+
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have quietly won five straight games. They don’t offer a whole lot in terms of Fantasy points. They’ve been winning based on defense, special teams, and a great turnover margin. Tyreek Hill is a decent sleeper given that Jeremy Maclin is out.
Jameis Winston and Mike Evans have put up some big numbers in recent weeks. They have played a very easy schedule though. I look for them to struggle the next two weeks with match-ups against the Chiefs and Seahawks. Doug Martin looked good last week in his return from injury. He also faces the same difficult match-ups the next two weeks. After those two games though, Martin could emerge as a top RB in the final stretch of the season.
Mike Evans B
Doug Martin C+
Jameis Winston/Cameron Brate C-
Travis Kelce B-
Tyreek Hill/Spencer Ware C+
Alex Smith D+
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Let the countdown to the Brown’s 0-16 season begin. The Browns are one of the worst teams in NFL history. They rank 28th in offense and 31st in defense. The Steelers found their footing on offense in last week’s heart breaking loss to Dallas. The Steelers should put up 40 points in this game.
Antonio Brown A
LeVeon Bell A
Ben Roethlisberger A
Eli Rogers/Ladarius Green C
Sammie Coates (Q)/Jesse James/Markus Wheaton (Q) D+
Terrelle Pryor C
Isaiah Crowell C-
Gary Barnidge/Duke Johnson D+
Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys
It may come as a surprise to many, but the Ravens have the top ranked defense, along with the top rush defense. It’s a strength on strength showdown between them and the Cowboy’s top ranked rushing attack.
Joe Flacco, Mike Wallace, and Steve Smith should all find success against a Dallas secondary that gave up over 400 passing yards last week.
Mike Wallace/Steve Smith B-
Joe Flacco/Terrance West C+
Dennis Pitta/Breshad Perriman C-
Ezekiel Elliott A-
Dez Bryant B+
Dak Prescott C+
Jason Witten/Cole Beasley C
Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions
The Lion’s had a very good bye week. Theo Riddick and Marvin Jones got a chance to rest their nagging injuries. They should both be close to full health this week. The Packers and Vikings both lost last week, leaving the Lions atop of the NFC North. Detroit should take care of business at home versus a reeling Jaguars team.
Blake Bortles B
Allen Robinson B
Allen Hurns C+
Chris Ivory/T.J. Yeldon/Julius Thomas C
Theo Riddick B
Marvin Jones B
Matthew Stafford B
Golden Tate/Eric Ebron C+
Anquan Boldin C-
Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams
The Dolphins are riding a four game winning streak into L.A. They’ve been winning with defense and a solid running game. They haven’t been doing much through the air. WRs Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker have both been very quiet this season.
First overall pick Jared Goff will finally take over as the starting QB for the Rams’ 31st ranked offense. Good luck to him, they can’t really get any worse.
Jay Ajayi B
Jarvis Landry (Q)/DeVante Parker C+
Ryan Tannehill C-
Todd Gurley C
Tavon Austin/Kenny Britt D+
New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers
The Seahawks served the Patriots a big slice of humble pie last week. There are serious injury concerns about Rob Gronkowski and he is out this week. Luckily for the Patriots, they get to play the hapless 49ers, which pretty much amounts to a scrimmage game for them. They are 14 point favorites on the road.
Tom Brady A
Julian Edelman (Q)/Martellus Bennett B
LeGarrette Blount B-
James White C-
Colin Kaepernick C
Torrey Smith/Quinton Patton C-
Carlos Hyde (Q) D+
Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks
Similar to last season, the Seahawks offense looks to be coming on strong in the second half of the season. Thomas Rawls will return this week and the team cut Christine Michael. Rawls and C.J. Prosise are set to split touches the rest of the season. With Prosise serving as the receiving back, and Rawls getting all short yardage work.
The Eagles defense is pretty good. They held the Falcons to 15 points last week. They did lose one of their best secondary players in CB Nolan Carroll to injury. The Eagles offense has no chance against the Seahawks defense in Seattle.
Ryan Mathews/Zach Ertz C
Darren Sproles C-
Carson Wentz/Jordan Matthews (Q) D+
Russell Wilson B+
Doug Baldwin/Jimmy Graham B
C.J. Prosise B-
Thomas Rawls (Q) C
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins (Game of the Week)
Both of these teams face a must win game on Sunday Night. This is a very evenly matched game that should feature a ton of passing. Aaron Rodgers is throwing the ball 50 times a game, and the Redskins have the third ranked passing attack in the league. The QBs and WRs should all be very productive in this game, the RBs not so much.
Aaron Rodgers A
Jordy Nelson B
Randall Cobb/Davante Adams/Ty Montgomery C+
James Starks D+
Jordan Reed A-
Kirk Cousins B+
Jamison Crowder C+
DeSean Jackson (Q)/Pierre Garcon C
Robert Kelley/Matt Jones (Q) C-
Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders (in Mexico City)
Monday Night Football in Mexico. The Raiders found their running game two weeks ago against Denver as Latavius Murray just gouged them. I think the Raiders will take a similar approach against Houston. The Texans have the third ranked pass defense, but they’ve been soft against the run.
The Texan’s offense has just been awful. They are last in the league in passing. They threw for only 99 yards against Jacksonville last week. Deandre Hopkins and Lamar Miller have been hugely frustrating for Fantasy owners. The Raiders defense has been playing well after a rocky start to the season.
Lamar Miller/Deandre Hopkins B-
Will Fuller(Q)/C.J. Fiedorowicz D
Latavius Murray B
Amari Cooper B
Derek Carr B-
Michael Crabtree C+
Latest posts by Tony "Mudd" Wogan (see all)
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