Corey Davis is one of the best receivers in the 2017 NFL Draft, but he’s being drafted in Round 11 right now in 2017 Fantasy Football drafts.
Part of that is because it’s still early in the season. There hasn’t been enough of a hype train yet to move his average draft position much higher. Also, some Fantasy players still think of the Tennessee Titans as a wasteland. For several years, there was no reason to draft any player at any position on the Titans.
But things have changed in the era of Marcus Mariota. The young quarterback helped the team in 2016 finish with the third-most points per game average (23.8) in the league, and the rushing attack finished with the third-most rushing yards per game average (23.6).
I’m not sure if Davis will still be available in Round 11 when August rolls around, but I’m sure hoping I can add him to my team at that spot.
And here’s why I’m so excited to target him in my 2017 Fantasy Football drafts…
Should I Draft Corey Davis?
Davis’ performance in college speaks for itself.
So instead of focusing on how amazing he is, I wanted to review what Fantasy players have to worry about if they draft Davis.
In his draft profile, the 22-year old receiver was knocked down a peg because he wasn’t asked to do much “meaningful blocking.” If Davis can’t block well at the NFL level and Mariota starts getting sacked excessively, Davis will find a nice warm spot on the bench.
He also had issues with drops, letting 16 passes hit the ground between 2014 and 2016.
Of course, the good still outweighs the bad with the rookie receiver…
2017 Fantasy Football Outlook: Corey Davis
This was one of the best landing spots for any rookie receiver in the draft for two reasons. The first reason is Mariota drastically improved from his rookie to sophomore year.
|Year||Passing Yards||Passing TDs||Interceptions||Rushing Yards||Rushing TDs|
He finished in the Top 10 in 2016, and he could be a Top 5 quarterback in 2017 if he can further improve upon his 2016 campaign.
And one of the ways he can improve his Fantasy production is by rushing more.
Mariota was known for his dual-threat abilities in college, rushing for at least 700 yards in each season. He isn’t relying on his legs as much in the NFL, but it was nice to see him more involved rushing the ball last year.
In terms of increasing his passing yards and touchdown passes, he has a lot of great weapons to target this year with Delanie Walker, Rishard Matthews, and Davis.
Now, an interesting note about Matthews is he tied tight end Hunter Henry in red-zone touchdowns with eight, the third most in the league. Now, if Davis is able to build rapport with Mariota and see significant playing time, those red-zone targets could start going to him.
But even if Matthews is still Mariota’s favorite target, there still should be enough work for the rookie to be Fantasy relevant. Last season, Matthews was on the field for 73.6% of the offensive snaps, according to FootballOutsiders.com. Tajae Sharpe, a fifth-round pick in the 2016 NFL Draft who didn’t live up to the hype he was receiving last year, was on the field for 73.9% of the offensive snaps.
Davis should be able to muscle out Sharpe for that amount of playing time. That means even if Matthews is targeted the most in the red zone, Davis should still be on the field enough to make a Fantasy impact.
When I look at this offense and Davis’ skill set, I see a player who is worth targeting in 2017 Fantasy Football drafts. However, if he were being drafted in Round 4 or Round 5, I would pass on him for a more established player. But because you can draft him in Round 11 right now according to FantasyFootballCalculator.com, he’s a steal.
I think he’s being drafted so late in May because people are still accustomed to the offense for the Titans underperforming. Back in 2014, Fantasy players had no reason to target any player on Tennessee. The starting quarterbacks that year were Zach Mettenberger, Charlie Whitehurst, and Jake Locker. Bishop Sankey was the top back with 569 rushing yards.
However, Fantasy players have to realize this is a very different offense.
Corey Parson and the crew over at the FNTSY Sports Network put together a player profile on Davis. They look at how much this offense has evolved, and what Fantasy players should expect from Davis I the 2017 Fantasy Football season.
Do you agree or disagree with our assessment or the assessment by Corey? Hit me up in the comments and let’s get a discussion going.
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