Looking at guesstimations on who the overrated Fantasy players are for 2016 are always interesting before your drafts. But when you look at it after your drafts, you’re pretty much just hoping not to see any name that you just drafted!
Every Fantasy Baseball draft prep season, we find ourselves going through cheat sheets, Fantasy rankings, MLB depth charts, and Average Draft Positions.
And many times, our wide-angle lens doesn’t focus on the details of what’s happening in these drafts.
Fantasy owners will get caught up in the ADP late in the draft, and forget to adjust their selections according to how their team has developed through the course of the draft.
We’re here to help you think about which players you should probably just avoid at their current ADP – in other words, overrated Fantasy players!
5 Overrated Fantasy Players in 2016!
While these players aren’t necessarily bad players, I’m just not as big a fan of them as others might be. In other words, I probably won’t be owning any guys in this this handful of overrated Fantasy players. We’re using the ADP numbers from FantasyPros.com.
Yoenis Cespedes, OF, N.Y. Mets (ADP 4.04)
The Mets slugger smacked 35 home runs and knocked in 105 RBI in a breakout season – his fourth in the majors since arriving from Cuba. Most notably, the free-agent-to-be hit 17 home runs in his 57 games after coming to Citi Field in a trade from Detroit, where he hit just 18 HR in 102 games before the trade. My theory is that Mets fans and the largest metropolitan area in the world is helping Cespedes’ ADP rise just a bit. Aim for a season closer to his pre-contract year: 22 HR, 100 RBI and a .260 BA.
— farha (@FarhaLaskar) February 29, 2016
Miguel Sano, DH, Minnesota Twins (ADP 5.08)
That’s right, I’m telling you to “Just Sa-no,” to Miguel. (That’s why I get paid the big bucks!)
Twins manager Paul Molitor doesn’t expect to use Sano at third base this season, with Trevor Plouffe manning the hot corner. But the sophomore is expected to gain outfield eligibility, as the Twins attempt to teach him how to play right field. He smacked 18 home runs last year, while also posting 52 RBI in 279 at-bats, with a perfectly acceptable .269 batting average. The problem is – his second season is already set up with potholes, as he has to learn a new defensive position and work his way into this lineup. I’m not spending a fifth-round pick on a player that needs a few things to happen just right.
Prince Fielder, DH, Texas Rangers (ADP 6.01)
The big fella returned from neck surgery to play in 158 games last season. That’s the good news! Unfortunately, he hit just 23 homers (14 in the five non-May months), and the Rangers are still looking for the slugger they traded Ian Kinsler for. He played just 18 games at first base last season, making him DH-only in most formats for 2016, so you’ll need him to get some time in at first before you can use him there. For the 61st player overall, I want more.
One important thing I want to point out here is that Yahoo!’s ADP has him at 40th overall (4.04), which is really pulling up his overall ADP. For the other three sites (ESPN, NFBC and RTS), his ADP is a more palatable 6.10 (but still too high for me).
Prince Fielder has been sent back to Texas for a sleep study. He has been having trouble sleeping at night in Spring Training… back Friday
— TR Sullivan (@Sullivan_Ranger) March 9, 2016
Corey Seager, SS, L.A. Dodgers (ADP 6.06)
Last year was one of the greatest seasons of all-time for young shortstops, and now Seager joins The Show in hopes of following up on what Carlos Correa, Francisco Lindor, Addison Russell, Brandon Crawford and Jung-Ho Kang did last season. Unfortunately, that was an extraordinary year, and even though Seager was great in 98 at-bats, he’s still too risky to pick in Round 6. I’d much rather have Lindor in his place.
Marcus Stroman, SP, Toronto Blue Jays (ADP 8.09)
The love affair with Stroman picked right back up where it left off, with an intermission between when Stroman tore his ACL in Spring Training last year and finally returned in September. The 24-year-old won all four of his September starts, though, making us all believers again in the right-hander. He’s a groundball pitcher that’s probably not going to rank in the top 25 pitchers in strikeouts anytime soon.
Stroman had an excellent rookie season in 2014, and while I love third-year starting pitchers, he’s really just entering his first full season in the majors. Let’s not forget that he hasn’t thrown more than 175 innings yet, so he could be limited some as the season wears on.
Whether you agree or disagree with my overvalued Fantasy players in 2016 or not, you likely learned a few things that will at least make you pause before clicking the draft button. Nobody wants to be an April fool once the MLB season starts up!
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