Running back busts are more common than other positional busts in Fantasy Football. The 2017 running back busts are five players who have spent time in the league and have disappointed Fantasy owners in the past. These players are likely to disappoint again this year.
When trying to establish a bust, it’s important to look at ADP, as a player drafted in the 12th round that fails to produce isn’t a bust as that’s more of a gamble to start with. These five players have an ADP of the fifth round or higher and all are in the Top 25 running backs off the board.
Based on that ADP, the overall performance from these players should have them with RB2 value or higher. The bust potential is there as these players may not get there. The players are…
Running Back Busts
For some reason, Marshawn Lynch is currently being drafted in the middle of the second round. Perhaps Fantasy owners are reminiscing fondly on the 2011-2014 years of the former Seahawk. However, his seven-game, 417-yard, three-touchdown 2015 season is forgotten. Also forgotten is the lost, “retired” 2016 season.
Fantasy owners have no knowledge that the 2017 version of Marshawn Lynch (who is now 31 years old) will be the same as the 2011 (or even the 2014) version. Lynch took a year off in retirement not because he felt old, but because he was injured. In Oakland, he’s not going to be the lead back. It just doesn’t make sense: a 31-year-old, coming off a year on his couch isn’t going to be given 300 carries. Oakland has Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington, who now have a year of NFL experience under their belt and will likely be mixed into the offense.
Fantasy owners drafting Lynch in the second round are drafting on name value; he’ll be a bust for anyone searching for RB1 value.
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