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Daily Fantasy Baseball: Extreme Platoon Splits at First Base

Platoon Differential is a major factor in using Adam Lind in Daily Fantasy Baseball.

With Daily Fantasy Sports exploding the way it has, Fantasy players have had to make some changes in the way they prepare for their leagues. For Daily Fantasy Baseball, this has meant an increasing reliance on platoon splits, or how certain hitters fare against pitchers of each hand.

We’ve known for a long time that just about every hitter has better numbers against either left-handed or right-handed pitching, and now Daily Fantasy has brought this to the forefront.

Other than the obvious expectation of increased performance, platoon splits also play another important role in Daily Fantasy Baseball. While I don’t have much insight into the exact algorithms the daily sites use to calculate player values, I do know that for the beginning of the year, they are based in large part on the previous year’s stats. This means each player’s price reflects their performance against all pitchers. For us that means we can find value in hitters who are facing pitchers they will excel against.

As an example from the table below, Steve Pearce scored 2.661 more FanDuel points against left-handers than he did against right-handers. His career numbers, though not as extreme, also back that up. At least in the beginning of the year, I’m going to be using Pearce a whole lot when he faces left-handed pitching. In the table below I’ve also included the percentage of Plate Appearances aginst LHP and RHP. After all, Adam Lind has some of the most extreme splits you’ll ever see, but because he faced right-handers 88% of the time, his price tag is largely based on that, meaning he won’t likely be a huge discount.

There is one caveat though. Platoon splits take a while to normalize and one season is a pretty small sample size. For example, Joey Votto scored 4.340 more points for every 10 plate appearances against left-handers than he did against right-handers in 2014. If you look at his career numbers though, he’s actually done slightly worse against left-handers. That’s why I’ve also included each player’s  split data from the last five years to give you a better overall picture.

 

Platoon Differentials for First Baseman with 250-plus At-Bats in 2014

PA = PLate Appearances | % = Percentage of PAs vs. LHP or RHP | FD/10PA = FanDuel Pts. per every 10 PAs | +/- Diff = Difference between FanDuel Pts. vs. Lefties/Righties

[su_tabs] [su_tab title=”vs. LHP”]

Last 5 Yrs. vs. LHP
2014 vs. LHP
Name
PA
%
FD/10PA
+/- Diff
PA
%
FD/10PA
+/- Diff
Joey Votto
883
31%
5.900
-0.691
66
24%
7.992
4.340
Steve Pearce
364
43%
5.859
1.376
111
29%
8.333
2.828
Jon Singleton
89
25%
5.899
2.419
89
25%
5.899
2.419
Chris Parmelee
227
25%
4.130
0.187
82
30%
5.244
2.026
Tommy Medica
118
35%
4.979
0.933
104
40%
5.144
1.757
Allen Craig
520
27%
5.784
1.010
130
26%
4.231
1.684
Billy Butler
821
25%
5.740
1.004
155
26%
4.952
1.553
Ryan Howard
783
31%
4.936
-0.888
189
29%
5.661
1.511
Gaby Sanchez
707
32%
5.534
1.539
148
51%
4.679
1.422
Jose Abreu
158
25%
7.722
1.019
158
25%
7.722
1.019
Kendrys Morales
532
30%
4.366
-0.503
146
36%
3.938
1.007
Kelly Johnson
660
26%
4.470
0.017
44
15%
4.375
0.828
Mark Trumbo
626
28%
5.915
0.913
90
25%
5.444
0.729
Mike Napoli
748
31%
6.273
0.521
140
28%
5.482
0.670
Logan Morrison
502
27%
4.392
-0.267
95
26%
4.737
0.663
Paul Goldschmidt
513
26%
7.076
1.139
99
21%
6.843
0.653
Carlos Santana
909
33%
5.517
0.344
215
33%
5.756
0.559
Michael Morse
629
30%
5.493
0.217
155
32%
5.387
0.418
Anthony Rizzo
527
29%
4.611
-0.677
171
28%
6.287
0.152
Chris Davis
595
28%
5.164
-0.960
165
31%
4.955
0.045
Miguel Cabrera
882
26%
6.780
-0.738
176
26%
5.866
-0.199
C.J. Cron
97
38%
4.716
-0.235
97
38%
4.716
-0.235
Justin Smoak
742
33%
3.605
-0.807
116
42%
3.362
-0.294
Brandon Moss
253
18%
4.753
-1.474
101
17%
4.950
-0.399
Stephen Vogt
62
13%
3.750
-0.219
42
15%
4.107
-0.434
Eric Hosmer
753
32%
3.406
-1.357
158
29%
3.465
-0.609
Todd Frazier
481
26%
5.338
0.483
145
22%
4.448
-0.775
Mark Teixeira
804
32%
6.284
0.936
144
28%
4.028
-0.883
Joe Mauer
902
35%
3.905
-1.309
186
36%
3.387
-0.943
Freddie Freeman
872
33%
4.493
-1.299
212
30%
4.505
-0.949
Albert Pujols
758
24%
6.478
0.546
166
24%
4.473
-1.038
Yonder Alonso
349
25%
3.460
-0.835
58
20%
2.759
-1.209
James Loney
772
26%
3.054
-1.261
181
28%
2.818
-1.299
Edwin Encarnacion
623
23%
6.581
0.466
112
21%
5.580
-1.565
Brayan Pena
388
31%
2.345
-1.080
81
22%
1.667
-1.615
Mark Reynolds
758
28%
5.251
0.148
112
26%
2.835
-2.095
Nick Swisher
978
33%
4.890
-0.344
117
29%
1.795
-2.175
Justin Morneau
759
32%
3.277
-2.640
139
25%
3.795
-2.282
Matt Adams
203
21%
3.116
-2.336
130
23%
2.808
-2.337
Adrian Gonzalez
1097
32%
5.091
-1.007
176
27%
3.878
-2.543
Yasmani Grandal
206
27%
4.381
-0.623
96
22%
2.448
-2.696
Garrett Jones
479
18%
2.855
-2.276
73
13%
1.747
-2.742
Adam LaRoche
726
28%
4.325
-1.282
155
26%
3.597
-2.894
Lucas Duda
469
25%
3.209
-2.636
125
21%
2.420
-4.390
Ike Davis
475
22%
3.116
-2.326
35
8%
-0.357
-5.287
Adam Lind
527
22%
2.329
-3.344
37
12%
-0.473
-6.363

[/su_tab] [su_tab title=”vs. RHP”]

Last 5 Yrs. vs. RHP
2014 vs. RHP
Name
PA
%
FD/10PA
+/- Diff
PA
%
FD/10PA
+/- Diff
Adam Lind
1820
78%
5.673
3.344
281
88%
5.890
6.363
Ike Davis
1663
78%
5.442
2.326
392
92%
4.930
5.157
Lucas Duda
1409
75%
5.845
2.636
471
92%
6.810
4.560
Adam LaRoche
1889
72%
5.607
1.282
431
75%
6.491
2.936
Adrian Gonzalez
2296
68%
6.099
1.007
484
93%
6.420
2.767
Yasmani Grandal
571
73%
5.004
0.623
347
70%
5.144
2.744
Garrett Jones
2155
82%
5.131
2.276
474
89%
4.488
2.734
Nick Swisher
1951
67%
5.234
0.344
284
89%
3.970
2.541
Justin Morneau
1632
68%
5.918
2.640
411
91%
6.077
2.540
Matt Adams
770
79%
5.451
2.336
433
77%
5.144
2.337
Mark Reynolds
1933
72%
5.102
-0.148
321
80%
4.930
2.109
Edwin Encarnacion
2081
77%
6.115
-0.466
430
67%
7.145
1.390
Brayan Pena
867
69%
3.426
1.080
291
90%
3.282
1.251
Yonder Alonso
1060
75%
4.295
0.835
230
72%
3.967
1.240
Todd Frazier
1365
74%
4.855
-0.483
515
87%
5.223
1.079
Joe Mauer
1682
65%
5.214
1.309
332
67%
4.330
1.049
Albert Pujols
2401
76%
5.932
-0.546
529
88%
5.510
0.997
Freddie Freeman
1744
67%
5.791
1.299
496
82%
5.454
0.921
James Loney
2171
74%
4.315
1.261
470
83%
4.117
0.757
Mark Teixeira
1687
68%
5.348
-0.936
364
79%
4.911
0.719
Brandon Moss
1161
82%
6.227
1.474
479
83%
5.350
0.613
Stephen Vogt
400
87%
3.969
0.219
245
85%
4.541
0.434
Justin Smoak
1476
67%
4.412
0.807
160
65%
3.656
0.418
Miguel Cabrera
2488
74%
7.518
0.738
509
82%
6.066
0.408
Eric Hosmer
1635
68%
4.763
1.357
389
72%
4.075
0.381
C.J. Cron
156
62%
4.952
0.235
156
47%
4.952
0.080
Anthony Rizzo
1300
71%
5.288
0.677
445
78%
6.135
0.075
Chris Davis
1511
72%
6.123
0.960
360
70%
4.910
-0.042
Paul Goldschmidt
1440
74%
5.938
-1.139
380
69%
6.191
-0.401
Mark Trumbo
1589
72%
5.002
-0.913
272
67%
4.715
-0.467
Logan Morrison
1342
73%
4.659
0.267
270
74%
4.074
-0.500
Michael Morse
1488
70%
5.276
-0.217
327
68%
4.969
-0.531
Mike Napoli
1689
69%
5.752
-0.521
360
70%
4.813
-0.575
Carlos Santana
1852
67%
5.173
-0.344
445
72%
5.197
-0.584
Jose Abreu
464
75%
6.703
-1.019
464
81%
6.703
-0.657
Kelly Johnson
1909
74%
4.453
-0.017
253
62%
3.547
-0.804
Kendrys Morales
1259
70%
4.869
0.503
255
64%
2.931
-1.007
Ryan Howard
1738
69%
5.824
0.888
459
85%
4.150
-1.266
Gaby Sanchez
1533
68%
3.995
-1.539
142
61%
3.257
-1.350
Billy Butler
2480
75%
4.736
-1.004
448
93%
3.398
-1.387
Allen Craig
1405
73%
4.774
-1.010
375
74%
2.547
-1.537
Tommy Medica
220
65%
4.045
-0.933
155
56%
3.387
-1.900
Chris Parmelee
674
75%
3.943
-0.187
188
53%
3.218
-2.039
Jon Singleton
273
75%
3.480
-2.419
273
63%
3.480
-2.125
Steve Pearce
488
57%
4.483
-1.376
272
90%
5.506
-2.661
Joey Votto
1957
69%
6.592
0.691
206
62%
3.653
-4.241

[/su_tab][/su_tabs]

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Doug "RotoDaddy" Anderson

Doug Anderson took on the moniker RotoDaddy with the birth of his son in 2003. He's a veteran of the industry and has been playing Fantasy Baseball for over 20 years. His work has been seen on RotoExperts.com, SI.com, Yahoo, USAToday.com and also in the pages of various Fantasy magazines. He's currently also in charge of aggregation efforts at The Fantasy Sports Network and represents them in the LABR Mixed Experts League.
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