An industry mock draft is the most influential exercise in all of Fantasy Football. The early industry mock draft helps set the Average Draft Position as well as people’s rankings for the rest of the pre-season.
Each industry mock draft has a different flow. I’ve noticed that there is much more of a chance of a positional run in an industry mock draft than in a normal, home league. This is especially true in the Scott Fish Bowl, where positional runs dominate the slow draft full of experts and fans.
I participated in an industry mock draft last week with some of our partnering websites. While I was hoping to not pick in the Top 4 due to my recent mock draft post, the orchestrator did not make this happen. While some of the picks/theories are the same, it still spit out a differently shaped roster due to some reaches on other “experts” behalf.
For this industry mock draft, we are using Points Per Reception scoring, with a QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/WR/TE/FLEX lineup. People could not follow directions, so we each drafted a defense but no kicker.
Industry Mock Draft: Picking Zeke at Number 4
Round 1, Pick 4: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys (ADP: 3)
As much as I wanted to portray an exercise with drafting Antonio Brown first, I must still do what I think is the correct move. Luckily, Kurt decided that passing on not one, but TWO of the top four running backs was a wise course of action. Good luck with all of that.
Zeke at the fourth pick is a perfect scenario. He will be used in the passing game exponentially more this season with no Dez or Witten, so I would say he is closer to the top spot than people are giving him credit for.
Round 2, Pick 21: Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons (ADP: 19)
As I said in my running back first mock draft, Freeman in the late second round is another Red Tag Special type of deal. I was one of only two people in this industry mock draft to start RB/RB. As I keep harping though: take the best value. After just four receivers were taken in the Round 1, there were NINE pass catchers selected in Round 2. You have to zig when others are zagging to get the best value.
Round 3, Pick 28: Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs (ADP: 26)
This was easily my most criticized pick in the chat of the industry mock draft… and it baffles me as to why. Kelce is the most dependable tight end in the league with the second-highest ceiling. Brendan and Kurt both let me know that they have no faith in Patrick Mahomes because he was good, “in college… this is the NFL.” Yet, one of them took a rookie running back in Round 1 and the other took a rookie running back in Round 7.
Anywho, getting Kelce in Round 3 gives me a super-elite tight end paired with the best 1-2 running back combo in the entire industry mock draft. While I do not think I have gone modified Zero-WR in any league the past few seasons, you have to take the value of what the board gives you.
Round 4, Pick 45: Josh Gordon, WR, Cleveland Browns (ADP: 47)
I suspect this industry mock draft will be one of the last times I can get Josh Gordon at this cheap of a price. With the premier of Hard Knocks showing Gordon’s absence, many are thinking he will be a no-show in the Fantasy landscape as well. I beg to differ.
— Eric Edholm (@Eric_Edholm) June 7, 2018
I agree with the theory that Hard Knocks is exactly the reason he is not there yet. We know that he is in pique physical shape looking like a Spartan member of 300. Tyrod Taylor has shown that given the right weapons, he can be dangerous downfield. Give me all the Josh Gordon.
Round 5, Pick 52: Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams (ADP: 80)
This is the one pick that I regret the most. While I do like Robert Woods, I think he might have been there on the way back. I let the Yahoo! ECR dictate my picking, and passed on Chris Hogan, one of my best sleepers. This is a good example of reading your league. If you know you are with veterans that don’t let the website’s ADP/rankings affect their thoughts, then you cannot either.
Round 6, Pick 69: Rashad Penny, RB, Seattle Seahawks (ADP: 50)
With Hogan and Michael Crabtree gone just before my pick, I decided to take the best value rather than fill my last receiving need. While I am not a huge Penny fan, getting a probable starting running back at the end of Round 6 is too good to pass up. It is almost two full rounds later than his ADP at this time (ADP: 49).
Round 7, Pick 76: Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots (ADP: 54)
In an industry mock draft you can almost always guarantee that there will be massive quarterback values with the top tier. We all know that the majority of us analysts preach about waiting on the position. Well that reaches a point where the value is too strong to leave on the table. Getting (arguably) the second best quarterback in Round 7 is that breaking point.
Round 8, Pick 93: Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (ADP: 103)
Round 9, Pick 100: Rishard Matthews, WR, Tennessee Titans (ADP: 146)
Round 10, Pick 117: Kenny Stills, WR, Miami Dolphins (ADP: 121)
As I said earlier, zig when everyone zags. Since most of the other analysts in this industry mock draft loaded up on receivers early, I was able to snag really good values late. Between picks 93 and 121, there were only seven receivers taken. I had three of them. Agholor showed that he and Wentz have something strong together in Philly. Matthews is still the top receiver in Tennessee despite all of the misplaced Corey Davis hype. Kenny Stills is one of my favorite sleepers.
Round 11, Pick 124: Bilal Powell, RB, New York Jets (ADP: 171)
Do you realize that if Powell did not miss a game last season he would have back-to-back seasons with 1,000 scrimmage yards? He has never had the job by himself, so nothing is different now with Isaiah Crowell in New York. He will have a 3-4 week stretch where he will be a useful option. Fun Fact: over the past two seasons in games which Powell has gotten at least 16 carries he is averaging 23.6 PPR Fantasy Points per game.
Round 12, Pick 141: New England Patriots D/ST
Since we had to take a defense, I’ll go with the Patriots. They get to face the Bills, Jets and Dolphins all twice. That is six games against the three worst quarterback situations in the league.
That’s it for the industry mock draft in which I took Zeke fourth! Be sure to check out our rankings and my other mock draft post!
Latest posts by Michael Tomlin (see all)
- Industry Mock Draft: At Pick Four–ZEKE! - August 17, 2018
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- 2018 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Taking a Running Back First - August 9, 2018
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