I have been scouring the fantasypros.com average draft position (ADP) list for players that I can find that will have a couple of characteristics.
First, they need to be solid late round PPR values based on ADP. The idea of this article is not to tell Fantasy players to draft Dez Bryant and Julio Jones. The players discussed in this article are available in the middle-to-late rounds and offer what I see as good value in their current ADP.
Second, they must have a decent schedule coming up in 2015. Using my schedule breakdowns to look at the defenses these players will face, players with good situations can be identified.
And third, they need to be at least reasonably consistent players using Bob Lung’s consistency guide. Players that score consistently each week will lead Fantasy owners to championships.
There will obviously be some movement on these guys before the season, but as of late July, the following players are good late round PPR values for the 2015 season.
Landry can currently be had for pick 80 in the ADP rankings. This is a great price for a PPR league. Landry is a good candidate for a WR2 or flex spot in your weekly lineups. The last eight games of the season in 2014, Landry had double-digit targets four times and had nine targets two more times. Using the consistency guide, you find that he earned a quality game statistic eight of the last nine weeks of the season. Miami has a schedule that favors the pass over the run for the 2015 season, and they will only face three Top 10 pass defenses from a year ago. A seventh round pick is all it takes to get this emerging PPR machine on your squad.
Decker is the best receiver on the team. For pick 109, he can be yours. This is a great value that can be made better if the Jets happen to choose Ryan Fitzpatrick to lead their offense. Decker figures to catch around 85 balls this season and if healthy could easily put up 1,000 yards. For a 10th round pick, you could do worse. Decker will make a nice platoon flex play or even a WR2 some weeks. The Jets have a nice stretch of games in the middle of the season that would make Decker a nice fill-in on bye weeks. The playoff run could be a benefit as well, where he faces no better than a Top 15 defense against the pass from last season for Weeks 14 through 17.
Boldin is a forgotten man. In 2014 he caught 83 balls for 1,062 yards and five scores. He is probably the best receiver on the San Francisco 49ers. He has 28 quality games over the last three seasons, having 10 each of the last two seasons. Boldin plays his best against average to bad defenses. This can make him a good fill-in or flex guy in a platoon with other guys on this list based on match ups. His ADP is low at 118, making him a tremendous value for a team that seems destined to be trailing a lot in games this season.
The New Orleans Saints tight end has been a darling of Fantasy analysts since the trade of Jimmy Graham. I wrote about Hill in an article you can find here. Hill is a big-bodied TE, standing 6’5” and weighing 229 pounds. New Orleans has the fifth-best schedule for TE based on Fantasy points allowed for last season. Hill is a huge red zone target without a lot of catches. Of his 20 catches, six of them are for scores. Available to you for the 125th pick, Hill is a perfect target for some serious upside potential. Use in a platoon, as a second TE, or as a possible streaming target.
Another New Orleans Saint who might benefit from the trade of Jimmy Graham is Marques Colston. Facing a very soft schedule in 2015, Colston could see an increase in his production. The Saints will not face a Top 10 pass defense from last season. Colston had a bit of a down season last year, but he has 26 quality games over the last three seasons. Available for the 114th pick in the draft, he is a great guy to use as a flex, bye week fill-in, or if you strike gold, a WR2. His cost is low, and the upside of the schedule and probable increased role make him worth the pick.
For the Dallas Cowboys, a wide receiver seeing some good press this offseason is always a good thing. Entering his third year, the word from coaches is that he has looked fantastic in OTAs and that he is primed for the third year leap. The Cowboys schedule is very favorable to the pass this season and not the run. The Cowboys face an average ranked defense of 18.31 in the 2015 season, and only two Top 10 pass defenses from a year ago. Playing opposite Dez Bryant will mean that Williams is unlikely to draw double coverage from opposing defenses. Williams had eight scores last year, most of them in the first half. His receptions were low, but he did average 16.78 yards per catch. Williams currently has an ADP of 129, making him a great late round lottery ticket for Fantasy owners this season.
These players all have a fairly low draft positions and offer you either high upside, the ability to play match ups against opponents or the chance to strike some Fantasy gold. Using late round picks on guys that either are consistent, have great schedules, or great situations will help make the difference for smart, well-prepared Fantasy players this season. Make sure to keep an eye on these late round PPR values.
Photo credit: James Fishman