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2017 Fantasy Football Strategy

Week 10 Target Watch: Larry Fitzgerald Is Ageless

Week 10 Target watch
Larry Fitzgerald Photo Credit: Broderick Delaney

With only four teams on a bye this past week, the Week 10 targets showed a slight increase over last week. Sixteen different players had double-digit targets, three of which had double-digit targets last week as well.

DeAndre Hopkins led all pass-catchers in targets for two weeks in a row, although he does have a tough match-up in Week 11 against Patrick Peterson. Fantasy owners should be aware that just because a player doesn’t end up with double-digit targets in one week, they aren’t necessarily out of favor with the team.

For historical data, the Top 10 target leaders of the season are also included for reference. These are players that are likely owned in every league, but it is interesting to see the trends.

When looking to pick up players each week, don’t just look at the projected points. Be sure to check out targets as well. The more targets a player sees, the more likely they will continue to be involved in the team’s offense.

Please note none of the charts below show total receptions, total fantasy points or touchdowns. The sole purpose of this analysis is to look at targets.

Week 10 Target Watch

Each week I will be reviewing the targets from the past week, the season and even digging deeper by running back and tight end. I will also be analyzing any trends I find along the way.

Week 10 Double-Digit Targets

Player Team Targets
DeAndre Hopkins * Houston Texans 14
Larry Fitzgerald Arizona Cardinals 14
Sterling Shepard New York Giants 13
Adam Thielen Minnesota Vikings 12
Marqise Lee * Jacksonville Jaguars 11
Emmanuel Sanders Denver Broncos 11
Jamison Crowder Washington Redskins 11
Vernon Davis Washington Redskins 11
Brandin Cooks New England Patriots 11
Michael Thomas * New Orleans Saints 10
Jarvis Landry Miami Dolphins 10
Chris Godwin Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10
DeSean Jackson Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10
Brandon LaFell Cincinnati Bengals 10
Corey Davis Tennessee Titans 10
Robert Woods Los Angeles Rams 10

 

DeAndre Hopkins is the top target leader again for Week 10. Tom Savage threw the ball 44 times in Week 9 and 36 times in Week 10. Over a third of those passes have gone to Hopkins in both of those weeks. With Will Fuller out for Week 11, Hopkins still should see targets, even with coverage from Patrick Peterson.

Larry Fitzgerald has three 100-yard games and three touchdowns on the year. He seems to excel regardless of who is throwing him the ball. He’s an every-week WR1.

The New York Giants have seemingly given up on the season, but Sterling Shepard still had 13 targets. Eli Manning is still going to throw the ball (likely because they are playing from behind) and Shepard has been his main target. He’s a WR2.

 

Top 10 Target Leaders

Player Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Total
DeAndre Hopkins, HOU 12 12 4 BYE 11 16 14 106
Antonio Brown, PIT 9 19 10 10 10 BYE 7 101
Jarvis Landry, MIA 7 10 14 11 12 7 10 97
Larry Fitzgerald, ARI 7 10 11 3 BYE 9 14 88
Adam Thielen, MIN 8 8 13 12 10 BYE 12 87
Dez Bryant, DAL 13 8 BYE 10 6 11 8 83
Michael Thomas, NE 11 BYE 6 11 8 11 10 83
Keenan Allen, LAC 11 12 9 7 5 BYE 7 80
Demaryius Thomas, DEN 5 BYE 14 6 9 12 8 79
Christian McCaffrey, TEN 6 7 14 9 7 6 7 79
Doug Baldwin, SEA 3 8 BYE 12 10 12 6 79

 

The Top 10 target leaders was 12 last week and are down to 11 this week. Amari Cooper, Mike Evans, and Alshon Jeffrey got knocked off the list, while Christian McCaffrey and Demaryius Thomas were added back in. McCaffrey has been on and off the list all season, but will likely fall off when he’s on a bye in Week 11.

Now that almost all teams have had a bye week, the playing field has evened out. DeAndre Hopkins is at the top of the list, followed closely by Antonio Brown. Both are solid WR1 options. Jarvis Landry has more value in PPR formats as he does get a ton of targets, and he manages to catch a lot of them, even with Jay Cutler throwing him the ball.

 

Top Tight End Targets In Week 10

Vernon Davis * Washington Redskins 11
Austin Seferian-Jenkins New York Jets 9
Evan Engram * New York Giants 9
Jimmy Graham Seattle Seahawks 9
Delanie Walker Tennessee Titans 9

 

For the first time in a number of weeks, Jack Doyle did not make this list. He only had five targets (and only caught two of them for nine yards). Instead, Vernon Davis is a repeat tight end target leader. With Jordan Reed out, Davis has made his presence known. Kirk Cousins loves his tight end, and with Jordan Reed out, Davis is a TE1 option. It seems Reed will be out again for Week 11, so use Davis again.

 

Top Running Back Targets In Week 10

Melvin Gordon Los Angeles Chargers 8
T.J. Yeldon Jacksonville Jaguars 8
Elijah McGuire New York Jets 7
Todd Gurley Los Angeles Rams 7
Chris Thompson * Washington Redskins 7
Christian McCaffrey * Carolina Panthers 7

 

Carlos Hyde dropped off this list for Week 10, and he won’t be on it next week either (the 49ers are on a bye), but this was a result of game flow. Melvin Gordon had eight targets, but he only managed 15 yards on them. He’s not known as a great PPR back, as he’s not often involved in the passing game. Any receptions from him are just a bonus for PPR owners.

Elijah McGuire made the list with Matt Forte out. The Jets are on a bye in Week 11, but if Forte is out following the bye, McGuire may have flex value in PPR formats. He caught four of those seven targets for 36 yards in Week 10, his most receptions of the season.

 

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Sarah Lewis
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Sarah Lewis

Sarah Lewis (formerly Sarah Bojarski) once spent an entire cocktail hour at a wedding reception answering Fantasy Football start/sit questions on Twitter. She has been writing about Fantasy Football for five seasons now, and is always willing to talk draft strategy with anyone looking to win their league. Follow her on Twitter @Sarah_Lewis32
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