Week 11 Pitching Planner: Before It Is Too Late
So as we dive into the Week 11 Pitching Planner, I caught myself looking back at the draft…
Like why did we doubt Aaron Judge, but were so sure on Kyle Schwarber? I mean, Kyle just passed 150 games in the MLB.
Why were we so down on players like Alex Wood, CC Sabathia, and high on Alex Cobb and Kevin Gausman?
Why do we love the idea of a prospect and then when they struggle, we mentally kill them and make them into busts.
Not eveyone is Kris Bryant. Mike Trout got sent back down because he needed more time in the minors! Just some things to think about for this year, and maybe even into next.
Week 11 Pitching Planner
*This article will be broken down by start’em/sit’em (two-start pitchers) and start’em/sit’em (one-start pitchers)
Michael Pineda, NYY (at LAA, at NYM)
Pineda has had a pretty decent year. I have doubted him continually and will continue to do so! Pineda has only had one start where he did not give up an ER. Yes, the 75 Ks are nice, but the 64 hits, 32 runs, and 17 walked batters are not.
With the Angels coming up first, they are one of the most patient teams in the MLB (ranked seventh in walks). They have played above expectations since Trout landed on the DL. I expect them the make Pineda work and the Angels will pick their pitches, as they have all year, and will mash Pineda. After that, the Mets will be waiting to squash Pineda as well. Not only do the Mets rank seventh in at-bats per game, but the Mets also rank 10th in runners left in scoring position per game. The Mets have won the last three of four and are getting going. Watch out, because starting Pineda could end your week before it gets started.
Mike Foltynewicz, ATL (at WSH, vs MIA)
Folty has been great in June, allowing zero ERs on six hits with 14 Ks and four walks over 14 IP. However…
The Nats are up first, and I would not mess with that. After dominating April, Bryce Harper has struggled slightly in June (zero HRs and three RBIs over 29 ABs). However, the Nats are poised to light it up at a moments notice. Miami has gotten hot as of late, scoring 53 runs in June and hitting eight HRs over their last seven games.
Jake Odorizzi, TB (at TOR, at DET)
Jake has been like a see-saw this year. Sometimes he’s good, and sometimes he is pretty terrible. With teams like the Blue Jays and Tigers, I suggest sitting Odorizzi.
The Blue Jays have won two of three and have been warming up since Josh Donaldson came back. Odorizzi has allowed six ERs on 12 hits and three HRs over his past two starts (9.0 IP). After going north, he faces the Tigers. While Detroit has not been great this year, they are dominating June with a .331 BA (first), 57 runs (sixth) and 16 HRs (seventh). Right now, Detroit ranks ninth in runs per game at 4.89, and as a team, they are fifth in walks at 3.74 a game. Sit Odorizzi, as his control issues can lead to a very short week for him.
CC Sabathia, NYY (at LAA, at OAK)
So I’m a little late to the party here, but CC has been solid over his last five starts. CC has a QS in all five and has only given up four ERs over 31.4 IP. This week he faces the A’s and the Angels, in what should be two more splendid starts for him.
Now let us not forget, CC did do this last year as well; where he has eight QS in a row from April to mid-June. I do suggest trying to move him now. However, he should be a great play for you this week. The Angels have been faring pretty well in June with a .266 BA (11th) and 54 runs (tied for 11th). When the Angels are away, they strikeout more (7.91 a game) and average less runs (3.69 per game).
Then CC gets the A’s who he owned earlier this year. On May 27, he went 6.1 innings and had nine Ks and only two ERs. I expect nothing less than that in this start. Also, Oakland is tied for second in strikeouts during June with 105. So, CC should have a day, and so will your team!
Jimmy Nelson, MIL (at STL, vs SD)
Jimmy has pitched out of his mind since the start of May. During that seven game stretch, he is 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 48 Ks over 41.2 IP. Nelson will face two offenses that are on the lower tier of the MLB standings right now. So starting him this week could help you get at lease one win.
First, you have an away game at St.Louis. The Card have been a dumpster fire for most of the year, and I expect Jimmy to dominate the Cards. So far this year the Cards are averaging 3.81 runs per game and have struck out 258 times at home (ranked 12th). While they have won three straight, they were losers of seven straight prior to their current win streak. Then he heads back home to face the Padres, who still sit on the bottom of the league in runs and BA. Additionally, they average nearly 10 Ks per game in away games. Nelson will be epic for you this week; thus he is my Start Of the Week.
Buck Farmer, DET (vs ARI, vs TB)
Farmer is a risk this week, plain and simple. While he had two fairly easy matchups to start his career (CWS and LAA), he will face a tough challenge against the D-Backs.
We all know that the D-backs dominate at home with a .293 BA (first in the majors). However, they struggle mightily on the road with a .219 BA (last in the majors). While the D-Backs can beat you in a number of ways, this should be a risk that you take given that Farmer has been great over his first two starts. The Rays also struggle on the road by sporting a .239 BA (19th) and 327 Ks (first in the majors).
Kevin Gausman, BAL (vs STL)
Gausman had been terrible this year. Why is he still on your team? How bad has he been? How about a 6.49 ERA and 1.90 WHIP bad. This guy is the worst option you can have to start on your team. Look, St.Louis has been appalling this year. However, they are seeking to bounce back and get rolling as they have won three straight. The guy who was looking to take a step forward this year has taken 12 back, and until he can string more than two starts together, he needs to be on your waiver wire.
Hyun-hin Ryu, LAD (at CIN)
Ryu just faced the Reds and allowed six ERs on six hits over 4.0 IP at home. Now Ryu finds himself pitching at a very hitter friendly park in Cincinnati, where the Reds rank seventh in BA, seventh in HRs, third in runs and third in hits. He is worth owning at this point but keeps him on your bench.
Andrew Triggs, OAK (at MIA)
Look, Triggs has shown greatness at times this year. Triggs is someone you should wait until after this start and trade for him in your Dynasty league because he is not worth holding onto at this point in redraft. Over his last four starts, he has allowed 20 ERs over 18.2 IP. Now Triggs has to face a team that is heating up. Look for Giancarlo Stanton to eat him alive. Drop him this week and go with a better option.
Zach Wheeler, NYM (vs. CHC)
Wheeler has been legit this year. Now he faces a Cubs team who is struggling, losers of four out of their last five. During their last five games, they have been outscored 29 to 17. While he struggled in April, he has been solid since, to the tune of a 2.49 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Yes, the Cubs could blow him up or Wheeler can keep on dominating and take advantage of a struggling team. I’ll go with the latter.
Kyle Freeland, COL (at PIT)
Freeland has looked good in away games this year. He is one of my favorite streamers. In his last game, Kyle went six innings and gave up two runs. That performance was a against a good offense in Seattle. Now he faces a team in Pittsburgh who has lost four of their last six games. Stream him for this start and then drop him.
Latest posts by Scott Guthrie (see all)
- Week 11 Pitching Planner: Before It Is Too Late - June 11, 2017
- Week 10 Pitching Planner: The One Where We Sat Ross - June 4, 2017
- Week 9 Pitching Planner: Ignite The Diamond - May 29, 2017