Week 12 Hitting Planner: The Third Time Is Not The Charm
The Week 11 Hitting Planner is in the review mirror as we drive forward into the Week 12 Hitting Planner.
I can’t help but let my mind wander as I think about Cars 3 coming out.
Did it really need to be a trilogy?
Are there other unnecessary movie trilogies?
I’m here to answer two questions for you: Who should I start in Week 12 and what movie trilogies are unnecessary.
Week 12 Hitting Planner
Tony Wolters, COL (vs. ARI, at LAD)
Like the Big Momma’s House trilogy, maybe Tony Wolters doesn’t need to be on the list, but both are a part of the Week 12 Hitting Planner for a reason. Focusing on Wolters, his 13% K% and 13% BB% in his last 25 PA are true indicators (along with a .310 wOBA) that he shouldn’t hurt your team in Week 12. The main reason to start Wolters is playing time and matchups. He’s a great defensive catcher and he just does enough with the bat to keep his 8 hole lineup spot full-time, and with a home series, his power numbers could take a swing up in Week 12’s Hitting Planner.
The main reason to start Wolters is playing time and matchups. He’s a great defensive catcher and he just does enough with the bat to keep his 8 hole lineup spot full-time, and with a home series, his power numbers could take a swing up.
Josh Bell, PIT (at MIL, at STL)
Yes, Josh Bell has been hot as of his last 50 plate appearances, but only two home runs came in that span. We should see a much-welcomed power surge for Bell this week. A long series in Milwaukee could make or break the week for Bell. A 15% FB% has hindered his home run chances over Bells last 25 PA, but a long series in Milwaukee (1.132 HR Park Factor) could change that. If he
If he starts to pull fly balls from his 55% ground ball rate (over his last 25 PA), then we could have a memorable week, but if the GB% stays high, we could be worse than the “I Know What You Did Last Summer trilogy.”
Robinson Cano, SEA (vs. DET, vs. HOU)
Telling you to start Robinson Cano in a week where he got injured will forever haunt me, but this time should be different. The M’s last 10 games have seen Cano’s average exit velocity rise to 89 mph (seventh among second baseman in the same time frame). Cano’s EV has steadily been rising since becoming healthy. Add the rising Ev to a FB% inching closer to his 36.1% in 2016 (currently at 33%) and we could see a very big week for Cano.
Miguel Sano, MIN (vs. CHW, at CLE)
A .174 BA in his last 25 PA is not what you want to see out of Miguel Sano, but taking a deeper dive into the numbers show how deceiving that BA could be. In that same span, Sano has seen his EV rise 4 mph (up to 94 mph EV) and gifted the Twins with a 16.7% HR/FB ratio (20% is elite). Sano is basically unluckily hitting the ball hard right at people. Part of the issue is his launch angle has been all over the place, so if he can get closer to his sweet spot of 30 degrees, we could see another huge week out of Sano in Week 12’s Hitting Planner
Sano is basically unluckily hitting the ball hard right at people. Part of the issue is his launch angle has been all over the place, so if he can get closer to his sweet spot of 30 degrees, we could see another huge week out of Sano.
Dansby Swanson, ATL (vs. SF, vs. MIL)
Last time I was one week off of the Swanson breakout, and this week it seems I am one week too late. Or am I? Swanson has been hitting for a high average (.333 in his last 30 PA), walking (15.2% BB% in his last 30 PA), and has given the Braves nine runs, but where are the home runs? In Week 12, that’s where.
Swanson has added eight mph on his exit velocity over his last 20 games (92.4 after the 10 game mark, 84.4 before) as well as hitting more fly balls (33% in his last 7 games). This all screams “HES GOING TO HIT SOME DONGS SOON” as he as zero in his last 30 PA.
Trey Mancini, BAL (vs. CLE, at TB)
It’s time we talk about Trey Mancini who is a DH but has OF and 1B eligibility. Over the past 10 games, we have seen his EV rise to 93.4 mph from 89.9mph. This added velocity should help convert more home runs than his 14.3% HR/FB ratio in his last 30 PA.
David Peralta, ARI (at COL, vs. LAD)
David Peralta and the Diamondbacks have a nice matchup against the Rockies in Colorado, but Peralta makes the list after his EV rose five mph over his last 10 games. His last 23 PA have been nothing but spectacular, and that should carry into Week 12. His 28.6% HR/FB in that span is elite, and a series in Colorado could put that power on full display as Peralta makes an All-Star Game push.
Nick Markakis, ATL (vs. SF, vs. MIL)
Nick Markakis hasn’t had the same amount of power as he did in Baltimore, but his 92.8 EV over his last 35 PA is good for fifth among qualified right fielders. In that same sample size, Markakis sports a 20% HR/FB ratio. With a potential injury to Matt Kemp keeping him out of the lineup, the hot Markakis should slide up and be given more RBI chances, and with the correct lineup configuration by the Braves, he should score plenty of runs in Week 12.
A lot of trilogies I’ve seen have been good with the exception of a single movie in the saga. The third installment is usually the killer (I’m looking at you Spiderman 3); however, Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen is by far the worst second movie in a trilogy. Come back next week when we discuss…
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