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Week 13 Hitting Planner: Wild West Coast Roast

Week 13 Hitting Planner
Photo Credit: Arturo Pardavila III

Let’s start the Week 13 Hitting Planner with some roster moves. The Brewers have optioned Domingo Santana and have recalled recently acquired, Brad Miller. Santana put together a solid 2017, but 2018 has not been so kind. He started off slow with a wOBA of .222 after 27 games but soon after looked to have returned to form. Ultimately, Santana’s struggles continued and his wOBA currently sits near .243.

Week 13 Hitting Planner

Weather Forecast

It’s time to break out the swimsuit and head down to the pool because it will be hot in the Week 13 Hitting Planner. With little rain predicted, the summer heat will finally take over. Meteorologist project Arizona to stay above the 100-degree mark during the day most of the week. Los Angeles and San Francisco should be your preferred destination to cool off in the west coast. The highs in the area should only be in the low 80’s.

Park Factors

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Let’s take a moment of silence for the former home run succubus that was Petco Park. Now that’s over with let’s turn our attention to the Home Run Park Factor standings. Take a look at number three. Right behind Globe Life Park in Arlington (1.340 HR PF) and Coors Field in Denver (1.276 HR PF) comes Petco Park in sunny San Diego with a 1.261 HR PF. OK, this change has been on its way since Petco park brought in the fences in 2013, but the culmination of the project has finally taken form. The Padres home sits above average in every park factor. Petco’s 5th in Runs PF (1.242), 4th in Hits (1.139), 10th in 2B (1.075), 8th in 3B (1.388), 3rd in HR, and they lead the league in BB PF with a 1.370 PF. The Padres head to Arlington to faces the Rangers then host the Pirates in the Week 13 Hitting Planner.

Stolen Base Report

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Entering the Week 13 Hitting Planner, the Rangers haven’t found much success in stopping stolen base attempts. They’ve allowed 40 steals on 48 attempts. That number should only grow worse as the Rangers host the Padres (8th in steals with 44) and the White Sox (2nd in steals with 57).

On the other end of the spectrum, the Los Angeles Angles catchers continue to shut down opposing running games. They’ve allowed the least number of steals in the MLB with 16 on 38 attempts. They will travel to Boston to face the Red Sox in an interesting bout on the base paths. The Red Sox enter the Week 13 Hitting Planner 2nd in team steals with 57 on 69 attempts. The Angles also visit Baltimore and the Orioles who are near the bottom of the league in steals with 26 on 33 attempts.

Under-The-Radar- Players

Joc Pederson, OF, LAD

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On one hand, Dodgers’ outfielder Joc Pederson is hitting .111 over the last week. On the other hand, that one hit was a solo shot. He’s also picked up three walks against a single strikeout. In those 12 PA, Pederson has exclusively hit fly balls and hit them hard. His exit velocity on those fly balls was 99.3 mph. This all leads to an expected wOBA of .569 but resulted in a .311 wOBA. His luck should change as the Dodgers host the Cubs and the Rockies in the Week 13 Hitting Planner.

Against left-handed batters, the Cubs sport a 4.51 xFIP while leading the major in BB% with 12.8%. They are also surrendering 1 HR/9. The Rockies have been worse against lefties than the Cubs in terms of home runs allowed. They are surrendering 1.3 HR/ 9 against lefties with a .430 SLG.

Manuel Margot, SD

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As previously mentioned, the Padres have a solid matchup in the Week 13 Hitting Planner in terms of both home run and stolen base potential. The next question asked should be who leads the Padres in exit velocity. Over the past month, the answer would be outfielder Manuel Margot. On fly balls and line drives, Margot sports a 96-mph average exit velocity, which is impressive since over his last 20 PA he’s making 81.3% of his contact in the air.

Margot’s early week matchup projects to be the more productive of Padres opponents this week. The Rangers are surrendering 1.39 HR/9 a game and sport a 4.30 xFIP against right-handed batters this season. As previously mentioned, the Rangers also struggles to stop base stealers, so Margot should be able to add to the six he has currently.

Aaron Hinckley

Aaron Hinckley

An aspiring stay at home dad, Aaron is a graduate of Mercer University who is a self proclaimed analytical nut and master grilled cheese maker.
Aaron Hinckley
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