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Week 15 Hitting Planner: Tropical Storms And Ballparks Out Of The Norm

Photo Credit: Richard Cox

Let’s start the Week 15 Hitting Planner off with a bit of roster news. The Giants seem to have begun to deal pieces. While they may not deal any of their bigger names, the San Fransico seems set to deal some minor players. The first of which is Austin Jackson who just landed with the Texas Rangers. The trade clear room for Gorkys Hernadez, but more on him later.

Week 15 Hitting Planner

Weather Forecast

With tropical storm Chris forming seemingly overnight, the Week 15 Hitting Planner could be in for some interesting weather. The storm formed near the North Carolina coast and should affect the coast soon. This could mean dry winds as far inland as Atlanta. The rest of the States are currently not projected to see much if any rainfall, but summer’s in full swing as the average temperature sits around 85 degrees.

Park Factors

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Let’s take a look at two stadiums on the bottom end of the spectrum in terms of HR Park Factor. Entering the Week 15 Hitting Planner, both Guaranteed Rate Field (Chicago White Sox) and AT&T Park (San Francisco Giants) sit under one in terms of HR PF. The stadiums seem to be on opposite ends of the spectrum from each other and from their traditional PF. Guaranteed Rate Field leans towards pitchers this season instead of being the hitters park in the. AT&T Park sits above one in every category other than homers after traditionally being a pitchers park. Both teams play a full slate of games at home, so it will be interesting to see if they can continue with their current pace in the Week 15 Hitting Planner.

Stolen Base Report

Speaking of the White Sox, they enter the Week 15 Hitting Planner on top of the league in terms of team stolen bases. They’ve swiped 70 bags on 91 total attempts. The White Sox host both the Cardinals and Royals this week. While both teams have allowed less than 35 stolen bases, they haven’t caught many runners either. The Royals allow 70.8% of runners to successfully steal while the Cardinals allow 87.8%. Look for the White Sox to continue their league-leading ways on the base paths this week.

Under-The-Radar- Players

Daniel Palka, CHW (vs STL, vs KC)

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Over his last 27 PA, White Sox outfielder, Daniel Palka has four hits. All four left the park with an average distance of 416 feet. The lefty leads the league in exit velocity (line drives and fly balls) over the last two weeks and is almost exclusively hitting fly balls. The Cardinals have been stingy in terms of HR allowed. They enter the two-game matchup with a 10.6% HR/FB ratio, but most of the White Sox games in the Week 15 Hitting Planner are against the Royals. Kansas City’s pitching staff sit on the opposite end of the spectrum from the Cardinals. They allow 13.6% of fly balls to leave the yard. While Palka may not help in other categories, his power numbers should generate enough value to start in the Week 15 Hitting Planner.

Gorkys Hernandez, SFG (vs CHC, vs OAK)

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Giants centerfielder, Gorkys Hernandez finds himself ranked third in terms of exit velocity over the last two weeks with an average exit velocity of 99.6 mph on line drives and fly balls. Hernadez and the Giants enter the Week 15 Hitting Planner set to face the Cubs and A’s. Both teams are in the upper half of the league in terms of HR/FB with the Cubs at 12.2% and the A’s at 13%. Both teams are pretty adept at generating ground balls as both teams are in the top ten in terms of GB/FB, but with a 28.5 ft/sec sprint speed, Hernadez’s legs could keep him out of trouble on ground balls. If Gorkys can convert more of his ground balls (63.6% GB% since 6/24), he can cash in of his 33.3% HR/FB (since 6/24) in the Week 15 Hitting Planner.

Aaron Hinckley

Aaron Hinckley

An aspiring stay at home dad, Aaron is a graduate of Mercer University who is a self proclaimed analytical nut and master grilled cheese maker.
Aaron Hinckley

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