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Hitting Planner

Week 17 Hitting Planner: Stressing over the Post All Star Blues

photo credit: Keith Allison

After the All-Star Break, MLB teams turn their focus introspectively in hopes of figuring out how to operate in the future. Are we selling off assets? Total rebuild?  What holes do we have? Where do we need more depth? This means you could see some of best producing fantasy options traded. Will the new situation help me? Did my team just get better? Getting closer to the climax of the MLB season can be stressful, so sit back, relax, and enjoy the Week 17 Hitting Planner.

Weather Forecast

The Week 17 Hitting Planner should see an average week in terms of weather. The east coast projects to see rainfall this week. New York, Atlanta, and Washington D.C. project to see rain all week. With Washington away all week, only 3 series could be affected. Keep an eye on the weather for the Mets vs Padres, Braves vs Diamondbacks, and Yankees vs Royals in the Week 17 Hitting Planner.

Park Factors

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The Cincinnati Reds, Los Angeles Angels, Colorado Rockies, and Baltimore Orioles spend the entirety of the Week 17 Hitting Planner at home. All four home stadiums rank within the top half of the MLB in terms of Home Run Park Factor. The Angles (1.012 HR PF) sit near the middle of the pack (16th in MLB) with HR PF slightly above 1. The Rockies, Reds and Orioles’ homes tell a different story. Coors Field traditionally plays small, and entering the Week 17 Hitting Planner, not much had changed. The Rookies home sports a 1.199 HR PF (4th in MLB). Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati hosted its fair share of home runs with a HR PF of 1.305 (2nd in MLB). Oriole Park in Baltimore rocks a 1.173 HR PF (7th in MLB). All four stadiums should provide a power boost in the Week 17 Hitting Planner.

Stolen Base Report

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The White Sox and Mets continue to lead the majors in stolen bases allowed. Entering the Week 17 Hitting Planner, the teams lead the MLB with 74 stolen bases allowed each. Both teams have caught over 20 runners attempting to steal leading to approximately 77% of runners to be successful in their attempts. Although the White Sox and Mets haven’t been good, the Cardinals might be much worse off. The Cards have only allowed 32 stolen bases but on 38 attempts. Nearly 85% of runners stealing against the Cardinals have been successful in their attempt entering the Week 17 Hitting Planner.

Under-The-Radar- Players

Dee Gordon, SEA (vs. SFG, at LAA)

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Essentially taking second base over full time (even when Cano returns), Mariners infielder, Dee Gordon, should feel right at home at the right side of the infield. While his bat has been good at times, Gordon has not quite captured the magic he had with the Marlins. His BB% is down t0 1.8% as opposed to his career average slightly under 4%. His inability to draw walks hurts his wOBA, but without his K% rising, pitchers are continuing to attacks him in the zone. Gordon’s begun to take advantage as he’s got 7 hits in 13 ABs post-All-Star Break. The Mariners set to face the Giants (8.6% BB%) and the Angles (9.1% BB%) in the Week 17 Hitting Planner. Both pitching staffs find themselves in the bottom half of the MLB in terms of BB%, so Gordon should be on base a lot in the coming weeks.

Chris Iannetta, COL (vs. HOU, vs. OAK)

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Over his last 30 days, Rockies catcher, Chris Iannetta’s luck has been nonexistent. He’s hitting .195 in this time frame albeit with two (of his eight) of those hits being home runs. Taking a look into his wOBA-xwOBA, we see just how unlucky he’s been with a -.123 wOBA-xwOBA. This same time frame has seen him accumulate two hit on 12 on balls hit over a 95 mph exit velocity. Those numbers will change in the Week 17 Hitting Planner as long as Iannetta continues to smoke the ball.

Aaron Hinckley

Aaron Hinckley

An aspiring stay at home dad, Aaron is a graduate of Mercer University who is a self proclaimed analytical nut and master grilled cheese maker.
Aaron Hinckley

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