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Hitting Planner

Week 19 Hitting Planner: Quick Fix for Bad Luck Kyle

Photo Credit: Keith Allison

The Week 19 Hitting Planner starts with some sad news. Angles coach Mike Scioscia has announced he will step down following the conclusion of the 2018 MLB Season. His contract would be set to run up, but this has reportedly been a choice made prior to the season beginning. None the less, Scioscia has been at the helm of the Angles since 2000 and thus this news came as a surprise to many.

Weather Forecast

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Rainfall predicts to land in the center in the Week 19 Hitting Planner. Chicago will begin the week wet, but those rain cloud should push on over to Detroit and then into Cincinnati and St. Louis. The rainfall eventually projects to reach the coast but it will hit New York, Boston, and Atlanta before the Week 19 Hitting Planner is over.

Park Factors

The top stadiums in terms of HR PF have settled into a groove. Globe Life Park in Arlington sits atop the leaderboards again this week with a 1.377 HR PF this season. They have a sizeable lead over Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati (1.343 HR PF). Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia (1.305 HR PF) is one of two stadiums to not classify as a hitters park in the Week 19 Hitting Planner. Philly’s lone HR PF stands as their only PF greater than 1. Oriole Park in Camden Yards in Baltimore (1.180 HR PF) would be the other of the two. Nationals Park in Washington D.C. slides in between Philly and Baltimore with a 1.256 HR PF.

Stolen Base Report

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The Red Sox enter the Week 19 Hitting Planner with a two steal lead over the Brewers. The Red Sox swiped 87 steals on 104 attempts. While the Brewers took 85 bases in 107 attempts. The Indians are currently tied with the Brewers at 85 stolen bases but in 106 attempts. On the other side of the ball, the White Sox are allowing approximately 78% of runners to steal their base. While the Braves haven’t surrendered many steals (56 SB), they don’t catch many runners. Entering the Week 19 Hitting Planner, the Braves are allowing close to 83% of runners to successfully steal a base. The Braves face both the Brewers and the Nationals, who are 4th in team stolen bases with 82.

Under-The-Radar- Players

Kyle Seager, SEA (at TEX, at HOU)

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Since July 15th, no other qualified batter has been quite as unlucky as Mariners’ third basemen, Kyle Seager. His xwOBA during this time frame sits at .359 while his actual production has resulted in a wOBA of only .195, which puts him deeply in the negative in terms of wOBA-xwOBA (-.164). Things begin to turn around for Seager and the M’s in the Week 19 Hitting Planner as they head to Texas to face the Rangers and Astros. While the Astros matchup could be difficult, the Mariners offense, led by Seager, could build steam against the Rangers.

Seager’s average exit velocity slipped down to 88 mph since July 15th, but this has mostly been due to poor contact on ground balls. His average exit velocity on fly balls rests at his career average near 93 mph. The Rangers don’t surrender too many fly balls (34.3% FB%) but the ones they do leave the yard (13.6% HR/FB). This could be a big week for the Mariners stagnant offense as they turn the corner into the playoff race.

 

Aaron Hinckley

Aaron Hinckley

An aspiring stay at home dad, Aaron is a graduate of Mercer University who is a self proclaimed analytical nut and master grilled cheese maker.
Aaron Hinckley

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