Week 1 was a brutal Fantasy Football week for the majority of people. Whether it was the massive injuries or the low-scoring games, it was not very electric. My Start-Sit from last week was somewhat electrifying though.
I got off on a great foot to start the year with a 9-6 record. By that, I mean of the 16 plays I recommended, nine of them out-performed (or under-performed as a Sit) their ranking. I am not including Thomas Rawls as he did not suit up.
That’s a solid start, but what I was really happy with is the five “Major” wins that I had. This is where I am giving you a start-sit play that either over- or under-performs their ranking by 12 or more spots. Last week, Jonathan Stewart, Sam Bradford, Adam Thielen and Austin Hooper were all recommended as starting plays in my Start-Sit advice. All four of them finished as elite options.
I also gave out Allen Robinson as a sit play and he got hurt after one drive. While it is kind of a cheap major win, it nevertheless was a major win.
Speaking of Robinson, who is out for the year with an ACL tear, there were a number of injuries with major Fantasy implications. Obviously David Johnson, the consensus top overall pick, going down for possibly the whole season is massive. Along with him and Robinson you also had injuries to Danny Woodhead and Danny Amendola. Not surprisingly, in my biggest league I have ALL FOUR of them. Ugh.
So this week, let’s not buy into the Week 1 hype. Whether it was the Jaguars dominant performance or Kareem Hunt being the second coming of Priest Holmes, let’s look at things objectively.
So let’s get to the Week 2 Start-Sit plays. For our Week 2 Start-Sit predictions I am going to focus on guys rankings outside of the Top 24 RB/WRs and Top 10 QB/TEs for my Starts. I will focus on guys inside the Top 20 RB/WRs and Top 8 QB/TEs for my Sits.
Week 2 Start-Sit
(All rankings based of of the Fantasy Pros consensus PPR rankings as of 9/14)
— Nick Mensio (@NickMensio) September 13, 2017
Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (QB11)
Easily the biggest over-reaction from Week 1 is anything about the Jaguars. Tom Savage was terrible and his drop-backs looked like a 7th-grade “B” team quarterback. Mariota will not take 10 sacks and will not give up defensive touchdowns. He will find the holes in the Jaguars defense. While he might not finish as a Top-3 QB this week, he will be a Top-10 guy for sure.
Jared Goff was 5-of-5 for 126 yards on throws at least 15 yards downfield in first half.
Completed 36% of those passes in 2016 pic.twitter.com/J0lTM3ZWxu
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) September 10, 2017
Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams vs. Washington Redskins (QB24)
As bad as Goff was last year, he looked like a completely different quarterback last week. Now I know, it was the terrible Colts’ defense. However, the Redskins defense is nothing to write home about either. I am confidently starting Goff in my Scott Fish Bowl lineup and I think he is easily a high-end QB2.
Per @SharpFootball, James White had THE highest Successful Play Rate among RBs WK1. Gets NO this week. Plan to load up in DFS ($17 in Yahoo)
— Brad Evans (@YahooNoise) September 12, 2017
James White, RB, New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints (RB26)
White was third on the team in targets and second in rushing attempts last week. He is definitely the guy that Belichick will go to (for now) in between the 20s. While he will get vultured at the goal line by Mike Gillislee, I think White gets no less than 3-4 catches every single game. That is starter-worthy in 12-team PPR leagues.
Javorius Allen, RB, Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns (RB31)
With Danny Woodhead out, it looks like Buck Allen will pick up the receiving duties out of the Ravens’ backfield. While the game flow only dictated 17 throws from Joe Flacco last week, remember that the Ravens threw more than anyone else in the league last year. Allen will get his chances.
Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers vs. Buffalo Bills (RB30)
I reminded everyone last week that Stewart is the starter and Cam Newton will have less rushing responsibilities. Stewart lived up to it with an RB11 finish. Even when a play is dictated to go to Christian McCaffrey, the focus of the defense is on the rookie and it opens things up for Stewart, such as his receiving touchdown last week.
Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers (WR30)
Devante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers (WR31)
This game feels like it will be a shootout of the highest scoring proportions. Landry will get his in PPR leagues and Jay Cutler knows how to use big-bodied guys like Parker.
— Touchdown Wire (@TheNFLWire) September 13, 2017
Chris Hogan, WR, New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints (WR36)
This play is contingent on Danny Amendola being out of the lineup. If he is, then that leaves Hogan to pick up the slot work. Tom Brady will be a man on a mission against one of the worst pass defenses in the league. Sign me up for any part of that offense.
Brandon Marshall, WR, New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions (WR42)
Even if Odell Beckham plays this week, I would imagine that Marshall gets more involved. Eli Manning missed him mutliple times in the Dallas game and the Lions have an even worse secondary than the Cowboys.
Austin Hooper, TE, Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers (TE15)
Hooper is the real deal. People can say, “Well it was just one big play!” To that, I say so was the touchdown in the Super Bowl. The guy makes big plays and he will continue to against the Packers.
Cameron Brate, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears (TE19)
And just who did Hooper go off against? The lowly Bears! Once again, the hype is surrounding the Rookie O.J. Howard, but Brate is still the starter and go-to for Jameis Winston.
Tennessee Titans D/ST at Jacksonville Jaguars (D/ST16)
I mean it is still Blake Bortles right? His defense bailed him out last week from not having to make plays, but the Titans will not take as many sacks or turn the ball over as much.
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers vs. Buffalo Bills (QB8)
As long as Cam is a Top-8 quarterback in the consensus rankings, I will continue to have him as a sit.
Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles (RB6)
The Eagles have a really good rush-defense. I mean they held the Redskins to just 34 yards rushing. This will be like night and day compared to the Patriots porous unit. Hunt will still pick up some catches, but he will not live up to the lofty expectation and hype this week.
#Cowboys defense vs Giants:
Lee: 8 tackles, 1 TFL
Smith: 7 tackles
Lawrence: 5 tackles, 2 sacks, 3 TFL
Brown: 1 int, 1 PD
Tapper: 1 sack pic.twitter.com/7uBxVg3C3l
— DemBoyzNation (@DemBoyzNation) September 11, 2017
C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys (RB17)
The only team to allow fewer rushing yards last week? Your Dallas Cowboys, with just 30 yards allowed. Once Jaylon Smith got his feet wet the first couple of series, he combined with Sean Lee to swallow up any possible running lanes. Anderson’s only hope is garbage time catches like what Shane Vereen got last week.
Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers (WR15)
Stefon Diggs, let me introduce you to a motivated Joe Haden now that he is on a good team. Haden was pretty strong in completely negating Kenny Britt from the game last week and I think he gets the Diggs’ assignment this week. Don’t let Diggs’ inflated statistics against the Saints fool you.
Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs (WR20)
Marcus Peters was pretty strong last week and I will imagine he will step up in the absence of Eric Berry.
Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers (TE6)
Maybe it was a game-flow thing but the 49ers shut down Greg Olsen last week.
That’s it for the Week 2 Start-Sit predictions! If you have any questions, shoot them to me on Twitter @Tomlin3.
Latest posts by Michael Tomlin (see all)
- Week 16 Start-Sit: Making The Tough, Championship-Caliber Decisions - December 22, 2017
- Week 15 Start-Sit: Know Which Studs to Start, and Which Studs to Fade - December 16, 2017
- Week 14 Start-Sit: Take Some (Calculated) Swings For The Fences - December 9, 2017
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