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Week 20 Hitting Planner: Sorry For The Rain Delay

Week 20 Hitting Planner
Photo Credit: Eric Kilby

Let’s start the Week 20 Hitting Planner off with a bit of third-basemen-getting-closer-to-returning-from-injury-news.

Josh Donaldson showed some encouraging signs as he gets ready to take part in baseball activities. Will he be able to return before August 31 so the Jays can trade him away?

Within the same category, the Mets’ David Wright has begun his rehab assignment, which means we could see Wright return in the near future.

Week 20 Hitting Planner

Weather Forecast

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Week 20 should see some delays. The Northeast currently projects to see the most rain this week as the West Coast continues to stay bone dry. It should be no surprise that Arizona projects temperatures near the 100-degree mark all week. Washington D.C., on the other hand, projects to have a high above 90 once. Meteorologists predict rainfall in St. Louis, D.C., Boston, Cincinnati, Chicago, Detroit, and Kansas City. Plan accordingly.

Park Factors

Does Yankee stadium get the hitters park love like it should? Entering Week 20, the Yankees home ranks fourth in Runs PF with 1.143, ninth in HR PF with 1.122, but oddly dead last in terms of 3B PF with only .365. The Yankees are set to host both the Rays and Blue Jays in Week, so Stanton and Co. could be in for a big week.

As mentioned in a previous hitting planner, Petco Park in San Diego shook the stigma of being a pitchers park. Petco enters the Week 20 continuing its offensive ways. Petco park oddly enough ranks ninth in every PF except BB PF (first with 1.252 BB PF) and HR PF (15th with1.034). The Padres won’t go out with their girlfriends this week, and instead, play host to both the Angles and Diamondbacks.

Stolen Base Report

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Let’s look at the catching standings in terms of rSB. This stat measures (in runs) a catchers ability to prevent stolen bases as compared to the average. The Mets, obviously, dwell at the bottom of the standings with an rSB of -4. The White Sox (rSB is -4) seem to be just as likely to surrender a steal. The Cardinals and Twins are tied at -3 in terms of rSB. The Braves, Indians, and Rays allow at least two more steals than the average catcher (rSB of -2). On the top of the trend, the Athletics are the most difficult team to run on with an rSB of four followed by four teams tied at three rSB (the Mariners, Royals, Astros, and Phillies).

Under-The-Radar- Players

Manuel Margot, SDP (vs. LAA, vs ARI)

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The Padres are set to take on the Angles (4.16 xFIP) and the Diamondback (3.8 xFIP) in Week 20. Each of those games should be led off by Outfielder Manny Margot. Margot sports a .251/.302/.381 slash with 5 HRs and 10 SB. He’s done a little bit of everything this season but hasn’t put too much together as evident by his 88 wRC+.

As a streaky player, his average exit velocity is on the rise (89.2 mph) while his wOBA-xwOBA has been negative for the month. This rise in EV should bode well for Margot as the DBacks (40.8%) and Angles (39.2%) surrender the 3rd and 4th most Hard contact. Manny should also be helped out by Hunter Renfroe. A hot-hitting Renfroe should support Margot’s ability to score runs in the Week 20 Hitting Planner.

Aaron Hinckley

Aaron Hinckley

An aspiring stay at home dad, Aaron is a graduate of Mercer University who is a self proclaimed analytical nut and master grilled cheese maker.
Aaron Hinckley

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