Week 3 Pitching Planner: Avoid The Burn
Week 3 has arrived and will be here in full force and with that comes the Week 3 Pitching Planner. Let’s do a quick recap on the craziness that is this pitching season.
James Paxton is the only starting pitcher in the MLB with a 0.00 ERA at this point in time.
Greg Holland leads the league in saves, and is tied or has more SO than the next 15 RP.
Ervin Santana still has only given up one run and is atop the leader board in wins.
Just like we predicted, right? Okay boys and girls, here we go. The Week 3 Pitching Planner is set and here in all of its glory.
Week 3 Pitching Planner
*This article will be broken down by start’em/sit’em (two-start pitchers) and start’em/sit’em (one-start pitchers)
Blake Snell, TB (at BOS, vs. HOU) (LHP)
Blake Snells’ control problems are an honest problem. The fact that batters hit over .275 with batters on, compared to .230’s when the bases are empty. In his latest start, when his situation got bad, he threw 31 pitches in the fifth before being pulled.
This week doesn’t look great for the lefty. Boston is mashing again, scoring four or more runs in six of their last eight games. As a team, Boston is hitting .239 vs. LHP, however, all it takes is a few bad pitches, and then Snell has to work out of the stretch; which he has shown has not been effective this year. The Houston Astros are not doing much either, with an average of .259 against the lefty. I don’t want Snell’s control issues to dictate my Fantasy week.
Mike Foltynewicz, ATL (vs. WSH, at PHI) (RHP)
Mike Foltynewicz is a good pitcher and I do like him in a dynasty format. Folty has too much good stuff to be bad. However, Folty is still developing, and he showed that against the Pirates a week ago. It was a cold day with light snow flurries; nevertheless, Folty was pulled in the third, after already giving up a few runs.
The Washington Nationals are an odd team. The Nats have the potential to win the World Series, but make decisions like Jeremy Guthrie. I expect another short outing by Folty as the Nats hit .282 vs. RHP. Also, for the fun fact of the day: the Nats rake with a .362 average in night games so far this year.
Steven Wright, BOS (vs. TB, at BAL) (RHP)
Steven Wright’s injury over a half a year ago is still impacting him (in my opinion). What does this mean for you? Leave him on your bench if you feel the need to keep him employed on your Fantasy team.
I am going to make this short and sweet. Wright gave up eight (yes, EIGHT) runs to Baltimore before the end of the second inning on April 12. That game should be a warning not to start him this week.
Marcus Stroman, TOR (vs. Bos, at LAA) (RHP)
Stroman has been hot so far this year. Despite losing one game, Stroman has an ERA sitting pretty at 1.76 and has a solid offense to help him out if he does run into trouble. Also, to throw fire on the argument, Stroman will be pitching against Eduardo Rodriguez, who has and ERA over 5 and Ubaldo Jimenez whose ERA is over 10.
Danny Salazar, CLE (at MIN, at CHW) (RHP)
Salazar had a crazy game against the Sox about a week ago, striking out 11 but still getting the loss. Salazar also has 75 knockouts in 10 starts against the White Sox. The Twins have gotten off to a pretty nice start, but are batting .245 against RHP. With Dozier being the best hitting starter against Salazar, I would start him with confidence, as he has only gave up 16 RBI in 103 Twins career at-bats.
Robbie Ray, ARI (at LAD, vs. LAD) (LHP)
Repeat after me: I will start a pitcher who is left handed against the Dodgers. Now say: I will always start a LHP who pitches against the Dodgers twice in one week.
.209. .209 is what the Dodgers are hitting against LHP. Joc Pederson, Justin Turner, and Logan Forsythe are they only players hitting above .222 against LHP.
Michael Fulmer, DET (at TB, at MIN) (RHP)
Fulmer is a bit of an odd case. At one point he was the Detroit Tigers top prospect but never ranked higher than 87th among all prospects. Now, depending on who you ask, Fulmer could be the Tigers ace for years to come.
Fulmer is on the road for his next two starts and does not have a tough task at hand. The Rays are not going to be difficult, as only 1/3 of their lineup is batting above .273. The Twins could be harder, as they have busted out of the gate to open the season scoring four or more runs in four out of the last six games. Fulmer struck out seven, while allowing three runs over six innings last week.
Michael Pineda, NYY vs. PIT (RHP)
Michael Pineda ABSOLUTELY showed me up last week when he had a no-no going for most of the game last week. Well here I am again, telling you to sit him forever.
Pineda is a real wonder of baseball, as he has great underlying numbers, with super high SO potential. However, we know what he is, and it is not someone who you want on your Fantasy team. Pineda is going to face the Bucs, who just delivered the Cubs their first series loss since September. The Bucs seem to be getting on a roll, and Pineda is not the pitcher you want to blow up on your starting line-up.
Kendall Graveman, OAK vs. SEA (RHP)
Kendall Graveman was super impressive in his first few starts of the year. His third, not so much. After being pulled after the fifth inning, there was some raised concern, but everything checks out as it seems to be cautionary.
Caution. What I would take before starting Graveman this week. Despite the fact that Seattle is not yet quite up to the task of hitting, Graveman might not have the stuff to work a veteran line-up such as Seattle. Seattle is traditionally a patient team at the plate, and if the going gets tough, it could be short going for Graveman.
Julio Teheran, ATL vs. WSH (RHP)
Julio Teheran is impressive. The 26-year-old has done nothing besides produce at a high-level throughout his tender with the Braves. Heck, he kept pace with Noah Syndergaard just last week. Even though the Nats hit much better during night games, Teheran faced the Nats twice last year and had a .250 avg, with 15 Ks.
Jhael Cotton, OAK vs. SEA (RHP)
Jhael pulled some compliments from Pedro; If his stat lines did not open your eyes, then maybe that did. The Royals are not the team they were when they won the title a few years ago, but Cotton still made light work of them. Seattle has struggled out of the gate, as Mich Hanager is leading most of their offensive categories right now. I expect the righty to take advantage of a sleeping team and keep on rolling to Fantasy relevance.
Danny Duffy, KC vs. TEX (LHP)
Duffy has been a godsend for some Fantasy teams this year. In three games, Duffy has given up four runs, two HRs, and has 17 Ks. This week Duffy goes against the Rangers. With most of the Rangers having less than five career at-bats against Duffy, and half of the projected lineup batting under .111 against him, this should be a cake walk to a QS.
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