Week 2 brought more injuries and weird Fantasy stat lines just as Week 1 did. There were some relatively predictable outcomes, so hopefully, we can take advantage with our Week 3 Start-Sit plays.
Overall my Start-Sit predictions last week were an above average 10-8, but with seven major wins (correct predictions by 12 or more ranking spots). I nailed most of my starts (James White, Javorius Allen, Jarvis Landry, Chris Hogan) but absolutely belly-flopped some of my Sits (Kareem Hunt and C.J. Anderson).
On the short year, I am now 19-14 with 12 major wins. For the Week 3 Start-Sit plays I hope to build on the winning record and try and keep the major wins’ trend going.
This week I am showing a lot of rookie love, but not for the big name guys that have broken out so far. I am looking at a few other players with great situations/matchups that can be exploited.
So let’s get to the Week 3 Start-Sit plays. For our Week 3 Start-Sit projections, I am going to focus on guys ranked outside of the Top 24 RB/WRs and Top 10 QB/TEs for my Starts. I will focus on guys inside the Top 20 RB/WRs and Top 8 QB/TEs for my Sits.
Week 3 Start-Sit
(All rankings based off of the Fantasy Pros consensus PPR rankings as of 9/21)
DeShone Kizer, QB, Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (QB20)
The Colts’ defense is really bad. Carson Palmer was almost as bad, hence the close game. I think Kizer will find a lot of running lanes with his legs and chip in 50+ yards rushing making him a high-end QB2 this weekend.
Deshaun Watson looking like Mike Vick. pic.twitter.com/pdpWROeyBW
— 360°FantasyFootball (@360FFB) September 15, 2017
Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans at New England Patriots (QB25)
Speaking of dual-threat rookie quarterbacks going against bad defenses: I love Watson in this spot. The former Clemson Tiger always rose up in the biggest of games. Now he gets his second start at the home of the Super Bowl Champs. The Patriots have been torched for 724 yards and six touchdowns over the first two games, or 362 and 3 per game.
Chris Thompson, RB, Washington Redskins vs. Oakland Raiders (RB25)
With Rob Kelley out, there will be opportunity aplenty for Thompson. After breaking the long touchdown run last week I would bet Thompson will receive the most touches out of the Redskins’ backfield Sunday. Combine that with his receiving skills and he is a solid RB2.
Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings (RB26)
Rodgers had a fine day in his season debut this past week with 60+ yards and a touchdown. When you find out that he was battling the flu, it makes it look even better. I’m not scared of the matchup as the Bucs showed that they will ride or die with Quizz until Doug Martin comes back (19 carries last week).
Apparently Jacquizz Rodgers has been battling the flu. Started Sun, scored a TD, but this is the first we’re hearing of him being sick ⬇️⬇️ https://t.co/WmPziLytSe
— JennaLaineESPN (@JennaLaineESPN) September 20, 2017
Chris Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys (RB44)
I mean, did you see how terrible the Cowboys’ defense tackled Sunday? Johnson received the majority of the carries last week and I would expect that Arizona tries to use the same game plan as Denver to keep the Cowboy offense off of the field.
Rashard Higgins, WR, Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (WR42)
With Corey Coleman out Higgins burst onto the scene with 7 catches for 95 yards last week. Even more impressive was that it was against a good Ravens’ defense. Now, the rookie gets a terrible Colts’ squad that just got destroyed by another “second-option” J.J. Nelson.
Kendall Wright, WR, Chicago Bears vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (WR48)
He is the top receiver on a team. I don’t care about the matchup; he is at least a WR4.
“He’s a playmaker”
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) September 14, 2017
Geronimo Allison, WR, Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (WR64)
This is contingent on one or both of Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb not playing. Even if one plays, he will be slowed down, opening the door for Allison. He will be a great, cheap DFS play this week.
Evan Engram, TE, New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (TE17)
For some reason, Eli Manning seems to love his rookie tight end more than his veteran receiver (Brandon Marshall). Oh wait, it is because his offensive line is terrible so he has to get rid of the ball quickly. Expect more of the same with a solid Eagles’ pass rush this weekend.
I thought Eli Manning died after this hit https://t.co/5U116bae3a
— Giants Daily (@NYGDaily) September 20, 2017
Ed Dickson, TE, Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints (TE25)
The Greg Olsen injury has crippled about half of my teams as I usually had him paired with David Johnson. Sigh. Nevertheless, I think Dickson steps right in just fine against the Saints who were eviscerated by Rob Gronkowski last weekend.
Cleveland Browns D/ST at Indianapolis Colts (D/ST18)
Jacoby Brissett is not striking much fear in me. He looks like another over-hyped former Patriot.
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints (QB7)
My weekly Sit of Cam Newton until he is not ranked in the Top 8. I don’t care about the Saints’ defense because the touchdowns will be rushing by the RBs.
In 2016, Ben Roethlisberger had a 20-5 TD-INT ratio and 116.7 passer rating at home. On the road? 9-8 TD-INT ratio, 78.4 rating. #Steelers
— Aditi Kinkhabwala (@AKinkhabwala) September 19, 2017
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears (QB8)
Big Ben on the road is a non-starter for me. This has the feel of a monster LeVeon Bell game.
LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos (RB9)
I doubt you have a better option, but the Denver defense is 100% legit. They made the best offensive line and rushing attack in the league look less than pedestrian. There’s no way McCoy can live up to this lofty ranking.
C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (RB10)
On the other side, Anderson is now getting over-rated for his performance last week. It was really missed tackles due to poor form and effort, nothing that the Bronco did. He might have a solid week, but Top-10 status seems a bit rich.
Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders at Washington Redskins (WR8)
Speaking of players that are being over-valued after monster weeks, Crabtree had a career day against the Jets. Now I know that Washington is not much better on defense, but Derek Carr has the habit of switching it up with his targets so I think Cooper is the right play in this game.
Dez Bryant has 9 catches on 25 targets through 2 games, the worst reception percentage (36%) of any qualified player.
— Paul Hembekides (@PaulHembo) September 18, 2017
Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals (WR15)
Only one receiver in the league has more targets than Dez. THIRTY-FOUR players have more catches. Dak Prescott is forcing the ball to Bryant and it is causing mistakes and drops. I think Prescott gets back to his slot and Ryan Switzer introduces himself to the world.
Martellus Bennett, TE, Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (TE6)
Bennett had 11 targets Sunday night but that was mostly due to the Falcons having a big lead and playing a deep shell. We KNOW the Bengals won’t get to a big lead and we know Rodgers does not use his tight ends at the goal line.
That’s it for the Week 3 Start-Sit predictions! Shoot any lineup questions to me on Twitter @Tomlin3 !
Latest posts by Michael Tomlin (see all)
- Week 14 Start-Sit: Take Some (Calculated) Swings For The Fences - December 9, 2017
- Week 13 Start-Sit: Bouncing Back With Contrarian Plays - December 1, 2017
- Week 12 Start-Sit: What Does Your Team Actually Need? - November 22, 2017
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