Irony at its finest: I have my best Weekly Value Based Drafting predictions yet and due to a formatting error on my part it did not get posted.
My optimum lineup last week using WVBD of Cam Newton, Devonta Freeman, Joseph Randle, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Larry Fitzgerald and Jordan Reed produced over 200 points.
In general, I also had Demaryius Thomas and Latavius Murray suggested, both out-scoring their values.
Alas, even though it did not get posted but I think I have stumbled upon the right method. The backup running backs getting a bigger role at a small price combined with the elite receivers seems to be the jackpot.
However, this week, one elite running back has too much value to pass up.
Value of the Week: Matt Forte, VF : 4.61
With Jay Cutler out again, we will see the most vanilla offense possible for Chicago. What that does mean is a whole bunch of rushes and check downs to Forte. I have him projected as the top scoring back of the week (by a wide margin) and he is only the fifth-most expensive.
Cam Newton, VF : 3.92
Ryan Mallett, VF : 3.98
Newton was my Value of the Week last week and he delivered with nearly 30 points. I’m rolling with him again as his price is still just $8,300, fifth-highest among quarterbacks even though I have him projected with the second-most points.
Also, don’t sleep on Mallett against the Falcons. He has gotten better each week and Atlanta’s defense is not exactly elite.
Devonta Freeman, VF : 4.71
Latavius Murray, VF : 4.88
Arian Foster, VF : 5.01
T.J. Yeldon, VF : 5.02
Freeman came through last week for me and I’m sticking with him again this week. Still valued at just $7,200, I think he gets the majority of touches even if Tevin Coleman plays.
Arian Foster is a wild card; he costs you only $,8000 to put on your roster, but if he plays he could be the highest scoring back of the week against Atlanta who just gave up 30 points to Joseph Randle. Just know that if he plays, he will be full throttle.
Julio Jones, VF : 5.09
Emmanuel Sanders, VF : 5.31
Antonio Brown, VF : 5.37
Ty Montgomery, VF : 5.38
Once again, Julio Jones and Antonio Brown will probably be on this list every single week, even without their starting quarterback. What, you think Mike Vick is going to throw elsewhere or something?
Since I am going elite at one of my running back spots, I have to find a cheaper wide receiver. I am hoping my theory with the “backup” running backs carries over to the receivers, as Ty Montgomery showed serious promise after Davante Adams went down with an injury.
Greg Olsen, VF : 5.46
Tyler Eifert, VF : 5.49
Maxx Williams, VF : 5.51
Olsen is coming off a two-touchdown game and is still priced at just $6,300. I love the price for his output (projected top tight end of the week) but I cannot fit him on my main roster. I could definitely see switching Newton for Mallett and putting him in though.
Maxx Williams will be a popular play this week. With Crockett Gilmore out, Williams will see all of the tight end targets from Joe Flacco, who adores throwing to the position. He also gets a Steelers’ defense that gave up three touchdowns to Rob Gronkowski and 95 yards to Vernon Davis.
My All-Value Team
QB: Cam Newton
RB: Matt Forte
RB: Devonta Freeman
WR: Julio Jones
WR: Antonio Brown
WR: Ty Montgomery
TE: Maxx Williams
K: Zach Hocker
D/ST: Jacksonville Jaguars
Like I said previously, you could switch Mallett in for Newton and add either Demaryius Thomas or Greg Olsen in to round out your squad. I like my running back pair too much and will probably not stray too far from the twosome.
As far as kickers go, I’m going with the cheapest option for now on. There is just too much variance to really project a good week from the position.
On defense, I will roll the dice with the Jaguars who get the turnover-prone Andrew Luck. As long as they hold them under 35 points, it will be worth it in sacks and interceptions.
While I have been sticking to heads up and double up games, I am now starting to venture into the bigger field, small entry tournaments. If you want some more daily fantasy picks check out our DFS page or if you would like some picks against the spread each week, feel free to read my weekly picks.
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