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Week 4 Hitting Planner: Please, No More Rain Delays

Week 4 Hitting Planner
Photo Credit: Arturo Pardavila III

Let’s start the Week 4 Hitting Planner with a bit of prospect news.

The Cardinals promoted Tyler O’Neil, but don’t expect much from him as he’s currently stuck behind a glut of outfield talent. The Blue Jays have also promoted a top prospect, Loudres Gurriel Jr. LGj, the brother of the Astros’ Yuli Gurriel, started his career off hot with two hits and a couple of RBI in a win against the Yankees. The Braves have also signed Jose Bautista to presumably play some third base in the near future.

Week 4 Hitting Planner

Weather Forecast

The Week 4 Hitting Planner looks like it will be a stormy week. The bringing of the week sees thunderstorms roll over the south-east. The Atlanta Braves don’t get to escape the rain in Cincinnati either. The southern storms should move their way up the coast as the week moves on. There may be some delays with the Rays vs. Red Sox and Twins vs. Yankees series in the second half of the Week 4 Hitting Planner.

Park Factors

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Although the Tigers are away for the Week 4 Hitting Planner, Comerica Park sits at the top of nearly every category in terms of Park Factor. Second in Runs PF with 1.622, the Tigers park has been friendly towards hitters in 2018.

Nationals Park in D.C. has been the opposite. With a below average PF across the board, luckily the Nationals only take on the Diamondbacks at home in the second half of the Week 4 Hitting Planner

Stolen Base Report

The Mets continue to struggle to throw out runners allowing 21 total stolen bases this season. The White Sox have allowed the second most stolen bases with 14, but they have thrown out seven runners while the Mets have only caught one. The Braves and Rockies don’t trail far behind the White Sox with 12 and 13 stolen bases allowed respectively.

On the other end of the spectrum, the Cubs have caught more runners trying to steal bases then they’ve allowed stolen bases. They’ve caught five runners and allowed three stolen bases this season. The Marlins are the only other teams currently with such numbers. They have caught nine would-be base stealers while allowing eight stolen bases.

 

Under-The-Radar- Players

Teoscar Hernandez, TOR (vs. BOS, vs. TEX)

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Since being called up, Teoscar Hernadez has played almost every day in left field and batted second for the Blue Jays. He’s launched a home run, stolen a base, and sports a .471 wOBA in only 25 PA. Hernadez’s homer left the bat with an exit velocity of 111 mph (117 mph is the league leader) with a launch angle close to 30 degrees. His two other fly balls were both outs hit at 100 mph and 97 mph respectively. Although it’s a small sample size, a 33% HR/FB ratio pushes past the elite threshold.

With 61.1% of his contact classified as hard hit, Hernadez has primed himself for an early Week 4 Hitting Planner breakout with a matchup against the Red Sox. The Red Sox surrender the 5th most fly balls as a pitching staff with 38.8% of contact made being fly balls. The Sox have also allowed eight stolen bases without throwing out a runner. This should be an easy matchup for Hernadez to flash his power/speed combination.

Khris Davis, OAK (at TEX, at HOU)

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With the Rangers starting rotation surrendering 1.4 HR/9, Khris Davis enters the Week 4 Hitting Planner ready to tear up this matchup. From the start of the season till April 4th, Davis’ average exit velocity sat around 88 mph, but since April 4th, his average EV sits at 95.6 mph.

The power numbers should always be there for Davis (.262 career ISO), but seeing his average reach the .270 clip over this season is impressive. The Astros’ matchup later in the week could expose a major issue for Davis. He continues to strike out a lot, but his K% is down to 23.9% this season as compared to 29.9% in 2017. The Astros’ rotation is striking out 11 batters a game without giving up many homers. Although, his early-week matchup should be enough to still win a with standard categories.

Asdrubal Cabrera, NYM (at STL, at SD)

Currently, Asdrubal Cabrera finds himself available on the waiver wire in nearly 30% of Yahoo leagues. The Mets middle infielder should be getting more love with his .347 batting average (.361 BABIP). He enters the Week 4 Hitting Planner with multi-hit games in three of his last five games played. Cabrera isn’t known for his massive displays of power, but he will be looking to flash some pop against the Padres. Their pitching staff throws fastballs 58.9% of the time and Cabrera’s setting a career high this season in terms of fastball runs above average(wFB) at 8.7. He’s wont steal many, if any, bases this week, but contribute in every other standard scoring category.

Aaron Hinckley

Aaron Hinckley

An aspiring stay at home dad, Aaron is a graduate of Mercer University who is a self proclaimed analytical nut and master grilled cheese maker.
Aaron Hinckley

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