Welcome to Fade City! It might not be a pretty place to live, but it sure is less costly!
This week absolutely feels like Fade City to me. I would avoid the cash games this week and if inclined play GPPs this week if you enjoy playing the contrarian.
Why does it feel like Fade City? Let’s look at some of the match-ups:
Patriots seem like an obvious play, right? But despite often being a heavy favorite over the years, the Patriots have struggled to put away the Jets. Washington players also seem like a decent play, yet the 49ers are better than you think, being outside the Top 10 in giving up points. Neither Detroit nor New Orleans has particularly good defenses, but neither is particularly bad either. Both are in the top dozen in giving up the fewest points.
The high powered Green Bay offense? Going against Minnesota’s seventh-stingiest D curdles my cheese. And it’s not limited to the skill player positions. We have Fade City with the high salaried Texans D going against Kevin Hogan and his 64 career attempts. It might sound like a decent play, but the Texans just lost both J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus. I’ll take a cheaper option thank you. As I said, it’s fade city.
So with Fade City in mind, let’s get to the week 6 plays.
Week 6 DFS picks
Obvious Cash Game Play for Week 6
Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs ($8200 DK $9300 FD)
Hunt has one of the highest floors of any player this week. He has yet to have less than eighty yards rushing and against the Steelers 28th ranked rushing defense, I can’t see him doing less than that. I expect this game to be a low scoring affair, which will favor the runners this week.
Sneaky GPP Deep Pick for Week 6
TE George Kittle ($3400 DK $5300 FD)
When playing a GPP, I’ve found that the place to take a deep gamble is often at tight end. And with Washington currently ranked the ninth best defense and San Francisco one of the 10 worst offenses, I expect Kittle’s ownership to be very low. But if we dig into the numbers a little more, we see that Washington is clamping down on running backs and receivers but actually giving up the third-most Fantasy points to tight ends. Furthermore, the rookie Kittle is coming off his best game yet with seven catches for 83 yards and a touchdown. I’ve liked Kittle since the preseason and expect him to continue that momentum.
Week 6 GPP Potential Lineup
I usually provide at least two different sites lineup possibilities. Doing so enables you to see how I get my all my recommendations under the salary cap. But as I said, this week is fade city and the combination of the players below should give you plenty of salary cap room to add or modify players accordingly. However, we will start with one player who I would not recommend fading, Drew Brees.
QB Drew Brees ($7200 DK $8600 FD)
From Tom Brady all the way down to Bortles/Kevin Hogan territory, every option feels either overpriced or I have reasons to doubt. Given how non-chalky the rest of my lineup looks, give me the guy coming off a bye, playing at home, going against the 27th toughest pass defense.
RB Ameer Abdullah ($4900 DK $6400 FD)
People hate Abdullah. And I get it, he’s neither the goal-line back nor the 3rd down back. But I’m going for low ownership this week and against New Orleans’s 28th ranked rushing defense. I think he can get you 80 yards and I wouldn’t be surprised if breaks off a long touchdown this week.
RB Alvin Kamara ($4500 DK $5800 FD)
With AP now in the Arizona desert, AK-47 shoots to the top. The Detroit run defense was nothing special and with Ngata out, I think Kamara and Ingram both have big games.
WR Larry Fitzgerald ($6800 DK $6600 FD)
The Fitzgerald Farewell Tour is not going to be derailed by the Buccaneers who are giving up more WR Fantasy points than any other team.
WR DaVante Adams ($5700 DK $7200 FD)
Okay, I’ll admit it. This pick is because I just traded for Adams in my seasonal league this week and I am doubling down. But with four touchdowns already and Nelson likely to be shadowed by Xavier Rhodes, I think Adams is a sneaky pick for a touchdown this week.
WR Willie Snead ($4700 DK $5600 FD)
Players that have yet to see the field this season are often underpriced and low-owned. Expect Brees to get Snead involved early and often.
TE George Kittle ($3400 DK $5300 FD)
D/ST Baltimore ($3700 DK $4900 FD)
Baltimore is giving up the fifth least Fantasy points to quarterbacks, facing a rookie quarterback making his first start on the road.
That’s going to give you plenty of salary remaining to fill out the rest of your roster with a potential flex and a kicker, depending on your site.
Of course, this being fade city, well, you know….
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