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Week 8 Hitting Planner: Say It Ain’t So, Cano

Week 8 Hitting Planner
Photo Credit: jpellgen

With a heavy heart, the Week 8 Hitting Planner shares some sad news. Mariners’ second basemen went from DL stint to suspension due to a suspected failed drug test. This leaves a major hole in the M’s lineup, but more on that later.

In a bit of injury news, the Brewers have placed first baseman, Ryan Braun, on the 10 day DL. Jesus Aguilar slides up into the starting lineup, but the recently recalled Ji-Man Choi would form an obvious platoon for the Brew crew.

Week 8 Hitting Planner

Weather Forecast

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The Week 8 Hitting Planner seems to be underwater as most of the country projects to see rain at some point this week. The southeast will get most of the rain, but luckily for Ozzie Albies, Freddie Freeman and the rest of the Braves, they are away all week. Both Florida teams will be indoors during the Week 8 Hitting Planner, so feel free to start Marlins and Rays.

Park Factors

Great American Ballpark came back down to earth in terms of HR park factor in the Week 8 Hitting Planner as they’ve slipped to a league-leading 1.509, but other stadiums have begun to bunch up at the top. Yankee Stadium in New York, Minute Maid Park in Houston, and Wrigley Field in Chicago eclipsed the 1.37 mark and inch closer to the top of the leaderboards

The other end of the spectrum surprisingly hosts two teams with above average offenses. Oakland Coliseum in Oakland sits dead last in terms of HR PF with .498. Coming in second to last, SunTrust Park’s HR PF rests at .675. Surprisingly, the Braves rank 10th in the MLB with 54 total home runs. Luckily, the Braves travel to both Philadelphia and Boston in the Week 8 Hitting Planner.

Stolen Base Report

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Entering the Week 8 Hitting Planner, the Cardinals have yet to catch a runner stealing. With the Nationals coming to town, things could get out of hand on the base paths. The Nationals are tied for the MLB lead in team stolen bases with 35. Trea Turner and Micheal Taylor lead the Nationals with 13 and 10 stolen bases respectively and will look to run on the Cardinals without Yadier Molina.

The Marlins enter the Week 8 Hitting Planner as arguably the best team at stopping base runners from stealing bases. Marlins catchers caught an MLB best 16 runners stealing this season while only allowing 15 stolen bases. They will face the Nationals in the second half of the week, Turner and Taylor owners shouldn’t expect much in terms of stolen bases in the second half of the week.

Under-The-Radar- Players

Kyle Seager, SEA (at OAK, vs. MIN)

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Mariners’ third basemen, Kyle Seager, comes into the Week 8 Hitting Planner as an under-loved commodity. Surprisingly consistent, Seager seems to bat .240 with a couple homers and at least five RBI every seven days. The Athletics’ pitching staff allow the third most HR per fly ball with 14.1% of fly balls leaving the yard. Although Oakland Coliseum hasn’t been a hitters haven, it has given up its fair share of home runs over the year. Seager makes the Week 8 Hitting Planner based on his constancy and upside. With Robinson Cano out for a while, the M’s will look to push Seager up in the order which will lead to more RBI and run opportunities. Nelson Cruz missed a couple games last week as well, so he may be another player leaving RBI on the table for Seager.

Trey Mancini, BAL (at CHW, at TB)

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Orioles’ lead-off hitter, Trey Mancini, won’t steal many bases in the Week 8 Hitting Planner but will help in a myriad of ways. Mancini enters the week seemingly cold. Over his last 26 PA, he’s slashed .238/.385/.524 with two homers. His batting average creates a divet in his fantasy stock but with a wRC+ of 147 the power numbers more than make up for it.

His batting average should see a bit of a boost in the Week 8 Hitting Planner. The White Sox and Rays pitching staffs to a great job at limiting home runs off fly balls but struggling limiting runs. Both teams have a pitching staff with an xFIP over 4.3. This should lead to huge run-scoring opportunities, but how does his average increase to take advantage? Looking at Mancini’s wOBA-xwOBA (-.076) over the month, we see he’s been slightly unlucky. As he progresses towards 0, more bloop hits and misplays will lead to a higher OBP and BA.

 

Aaron Hinckley

Aaron Hinckley

An aspiring stay at home dad, Aaron is a graduate of Mercer University who is a self proclaimed analytical nut and master grilled cheese maker.
Aaron Hinckley

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