After one of my strongest weeks yet for Start-Sit predictions, we enter the two weeks of Bye Week Hell. With SIX teams off for each of the next two weekends, the Fantasy Football owner has his work cut out for him so let’s help ease the burden with the Week 8 Start-Sit predictions.
I am sure that there is some TV-ratings related reason as to why there were just two teams off last week than six for two weeks in a row. It can either be terrible or great for Fantasy Football owners.
I am of the camp that likes to stack all of my players on one bye week. It is not a driving force for my roster construction, but it can be tie-breakers. It really works out if you stack your byes for one of these 6-bye weekends because your opponent will likely be missing key players as well.
Nevertheless, we will need to dig deep and find solid values to fill in for our missing players. Hopefully, I can be as successful as I was last weekend. My Week 7 picks were 10-4-2 with five major wins.
As always I am keeping track of my predictions. Going into the Week 8 Start-Sit picks I am 73-44-3 with 45 major wins. Just a reminder, a “win” is correctly picking a start that out-performs his rankings and underperforms as a sit. A “loss” is the opposite happening. A major win is when a guy over- or under-performs by 12 or more spots.
So let’s get to the Week 8 Start-Sit plays. For our Week 8 Start-Sit projections, I am going to focus on guys ranked outside of the Top-24 RB/WRs and Top-10 QB/TEs for my Starts. I will focus on guys inside the Top-20 RB/WRs and Top-8 QB/TEs for my Sits.
Week 8 Start-Sit
(All rankings based off of the Fantasy Pros consensus PPR rankings as of 10/26)
Josh McCown, QB, New York Jets vs. Atlanta Falcons (QB18)
Of players not on IR, guess where McCown sits right now in Fantasy Production: QB12. The added rushing dimension (two rushing touchdowns) has boosted his overall Fantasy stock. The Falcons are a middle of the road defense of a whole team that is in flux. You can do worse as a bye-week fill-in.
Case Keenum, QB, Minnesota Vikings at Cleveland Browns (QB20)
The Browns are actually really good against opposing running backs, giving up the sixth-fewest Fantasy Points per game. They have not allowed a rushing touchdown since Week 3. Case Keenum will have to throw to beat Cleveland and let’s not kid ourselves the Vikings will beat Cleveland.
Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington, RB’s, Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills (RB25/28)
Remember when people actually thought Marshawn Lynch was going to be a thing this year? Lolz. I know, the Bills have a really good rush defense. The thing about these two young backs though is they are receiving monsters. Buffalo is more middle-of-the-road in giving up receptions/receiving yards to backs. After this weekend, Lynch will be nothing but a thing of the past.
James White, RB, New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Chargers (RB30)
White has 26 catches over the past four games. In PPR scoring, he is RB16 for the season right now. I think people are over-looking him just because he does not get the massive, 25-point outings. In reality, White is the perfect Flex.
Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (RB40)
The Steelers have given up the sixth most catches to opposing running backs. Enter one of the best pass-catching backs in the league. Abdullah is being over-ranked and Riddick is lost in the shuffle. He has not had too big of an impact, but he does have nine catches over the past two weeks. I think he gets you at least 10 PPR points and is worthy of Flex consideration.
Josh Doctson, WR, Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys (WR32)
Washington halftime WR snap count:
Josh Doctson 29
Jamison Crowder 26
Ryan Grant 14
Terrelle Pryor 1
Brian Quick 0
Out of 30
— Nathan Jahnke (@PFF_NateJahnke) October 24, 2017
Doctson saw a season-high in targets last week and seems to be over-taking Terrelle Pryor as the go-to option in the Redskins’ offense. The Cowboys have given up the sixth most Fantasy Points to opposing wide receivers and Doctson’s big frame is especially worrisome for the smaller Cowboys corners.
JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers at Detroit Lions (WR35)
With Martavis Bryant’s issues, Smith-Schuster has become the second option in the Steelers’ pass offense. The rookie has multiple catches in every game except Week 1 and has scored three touchdowns over the past six weeks. This was all done with third-option target share. I think JuJu bursts onto the scene this week with a massive day.
Kenny Golladay, WR, Detroit Lions vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (WR49)
As you can see, I think there will be a ton of scoring in this game. With Golden Tate hobbled and most likely not playing, Golladay should see the marked increase in targets.
WR Golden Tate, FS Glover Quin, and WR Kenny Golladay all practiced. Tate and Quin will be game time decisions.
— LionsFanReport (@lionsfanreport) October 25, 2017
George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (TE15)
Kittle and C.J. Beathard are continuing their strong on-field relationship from their college careers. It did not pay off last week, but Beathard was looking Kittle’s way over and over. Now the 49ers get the Eagles who have given up the third-most points to opposing tight ends. I think Kittle finds the end zone with 60+ yards.
Vernon Davis, TE, Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys (TE21)
Davis has 58 or more yards in four straight games. He is a factor even with Jordan Reed in the lineup. Reed had his best game of the past couple of seasons and Davis was still a start-able tight end. If you are in need for a bye-week fill-in or a super deep league, take the shot on Davis.
There’s really not many good options for streaming a defense this week that are not ranked highly. You might take a shot with the Texans’ defense as they should get a few sacks on the Seahawks.
Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers (QB2)
I think Wentz is getting too much love after a couple of strong performances. People are pointing to the game Dak Prescott had last week, but the Fantasy Production was not exactly repeatable. Prescott’s day was boosted by a rushing score (hard to predict for QB’s) and a 70-yard screen touchdown. The Eagles will run all day long over the 49ers so Wentz will not be needed enough to warrant the ranking.
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (QB7)
Cam Newton walks out on press conference (again).
Last week Cam failed to fulfill his weekly media obligations on Wednesday or Thursday. pic.twitter.com/VcPnuNMdtl
— uSTADIUM (@uSTADIUM) October 26, 2017
The Bucs have been a much better pass defense at home, giving up just four total passing touchdowns over three games. Cam and the Carolina offense looked atrocious last week, and now he is doing his pouty thing with the media. Until he grows up, he will remain a Sit.
Jerick McKinnon, RB, Minnesota Vikings at Cleveland Browns (RB16)
See Keenum, Case. Besides what’s mentioned there, Cleveland has given up over 100 yards rushing just once this season. In what should be more of a timeshare with Latavius Murray’s good game, McKinnon is a strong sit in the Week 8 Start-Sit plays.
Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (RB20)
I mean I know it is a horrible week for running back bye’s, but Abdullah as a Top-20 back? Get out of here! Yes, the Lion is getting double-digit carries every game. But he has yet to crack even 95 yards out of those touches. He has just one game this year with 12 PPR points. And he has not even been getting many receptions. You are banking on him scoring a touchdown, which he has done just once this year.
— Logan Lamorandier (@LLamorandier) October 22, 2017
Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills (WR14)
One great game does not a Fantasy Stud re-make. The Raiders have seemed to always have a zig-zag with their two receivers on who has the better game. I think this will especially be the case after Cooper’s monster game last week.
Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (WR20)
I do not like the way Garcon is fitting in with C.J. Beathard at quarterback. Beathard is definitely leaning on his college tight end, George Kittle. If he is taking a shot, he is looking for Marquise Goodwin. On underneath throws he has fallen in with Trent Taylor. It is the trend of the backup quarterback to like the backup receivers.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, New York Jets vs. Atlanta Falcons (TE7)
I know, he burned me last week. BUT! It was like I said: touchdown-dependent. He scored that touchdown but had just three catches for 21 yards. He still does not have 50 yards in a game. Now he gets the Falcons, who have not given up a single touchdown to tight ends. He is one of the strongest bets for the Week 8 Start-Sit predictions.
That’s it for the Week 8 Start-Sit predictions! Hit me up on Twitter for any other questions @Tomlin3 .
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