Week 6 Pitching Planner: We Didn’t Start The Fire
As we dive into the Week 6 Pitching Planner, here are a few things you need to consider.
Now is the time to decide if the pitcher you dropped a few times is worth a spot on your team for good. A guy like Andrew Triggs could be worth it long term.
Now is the time to drop some of these pitchers on the DL. Guys like Carter Capps, for example. I drafted him and will keep tabs, but I need the DL spot for someone much more important.
Now is the time to drop some of these under performers, such as Kevin Gausman.
Let’s jump into the Week 6 Pitching Planner.
Week 6 Pitching Planner
*This article will be broken down by start’em/sit’em (one-start pitchers) and start’em/sit’em (two-start pitchers)
Kevin Gausman, BAL (vs. WSH, at KC) (RHP)
Gausman has looked like a train wreck all year, giving up 26 runs in his first seven starts of the season. In those seven starts, he has only gotten to 6.0 IP twice. Maybe the extra rest will help at this point, but with a guy who only has 20 SO, a 7.55 ERA and 1.94 WHIP, he should find his way to the waiver wire.
Marcus Stroman, TOR (vs. CLE, vs. SEA) (RHP)
Stroman is a pretty good pitcher and is a solid No. 2 most weeks. However, he struggled in his last outing against the Yankees. While he left the game with arm tightness, he is expected to make his next start. While he is scheduled for two starts, I would stay away from him as I don’t expect him to make both starts.
Even if he does, he’s dueling a Cleveland offence who is among the best in the league in offense and a Seattle team who has hit 10 HRs and is toward the top of the league in runs, and average over the past week. Stay away this week, and you will not regret it.
Ivan Nova, PIT (at LAD, at ARI) (RHP)
Has Nova has been drinking the Pittsburgh kool-aid or what? He started the season off strong (six ERs over 36 IP). He had his worst game of the season against the Reds, allowing four ERs on 10 hits over six IP.
As a team, the Dodgers are super hot, winning nine of their last 13 games. Over the last week, they are in the Top 10 in runs, home runs, hits and average. On the cool side of the pillow (RIP Stuart Scott), the D’backs have been one of the worst teams in the league, sporting a bottom seven in most of those same categories. However, both teams are exquisite at home, especially the D’backs. Nova is going to go super-Nova, and not in the way you want this week.
Dylan Bundy, BAL (at WSH) (RHP)
Bundy had a great start to the year and has yet to cool off. Bundy’s last start vs. the White Sox was concerning, and as I looked back, it raised a few questions. Bundy has given up seven runs in the last three games, three of which were vs. the Sox. Yes, that is not bad, but also not great. Bundy and his strikeouts have been trending down since the start of the year. Dylans home runs have been up, as well as his walks in the last three games.
Normally, I would not be worried, but Bundy is facing the Nats…who have arguably the best offence in baseball. The Nats happen to lead the league in runs, hits, and in the top three in home runs and average vs. righties. I think you can get away with starting him if you have a strong pitching staff. Only the bravest of souls should start Mr.Bundy.
Matt Shoemaker, LAA (vs. DET) (RHP)
Shoemaker is good for strikeouts…and that’s about it. Matt has given up two or more runs in every game this year. On top of that, Matt has allowed at the very least one home run in all but one game. Now, most of his games have been QS, or just about so far this year; however, with Shoemaker going against the Tigers, this is not a risk I want you want to take. The Tigers are in the Top 7 of offenses in the MLB, and have looked pretty good as an offense, even without Miggy. Shoemaker having 34 fly balls the last four games is not bad (some pitchers have much worse), but I expect some of those to leave “The Corner” this week.
Jake Arrieta, CHC (at COL) (RHP)
Arrieta is not who we thought he was. As someone who watches Cubs games, this plainly sucks. Jake was epic during the Cy Young stretch. When Arrieta is on, nobody can hit him. However, that has not been the case so far this year, as he has been drilled by opposing hitters. Jake has handed out a healthy dose of 18 runs in has last five games. Also, home runs have been an issue, as he has surrendered one or more in four of the last five. Did I mention that Arrieta is going to Coors this upcoming week? With Arrieta struggling and Colorado being sixth in home runs at home (Shocker, right?) I say sit, and sit with sadness; as Jake was supposed to be an anchor for your team this year.
Blake Snell, TB (vs KC, at Bos) (LHP)
Blake has been, dare I say, good lately. He has only given up six earned runs in his last five games. He has 22 SO, all the while, keeping the walks down to three or under in all but one game. On the flip side, Snell has maxed out at five innings during this stretch.
KC and BOS are two of the most patient teams in the league, with both teams sitting at the bottom seven of the list. However, they are in the bottom eight of the league in taking walks. Within the last week or so, Boston has picked it up, scoring 32 runs and having a .407 slugging. KC has ranked in the bottom third of the league in total offense. Both of these offenses also are among the worst in hits, runs and home runs vs. leftys. I’d give Snell a shot this week and know that you should get at least one good start.
Drew Pomeranz, BOS (at MIL, vs. TB) (LHP)
Pomeranz was a player I did not like coming into the year. He could have been there in the last round, and I would have passed for almost anyone else. However, I was wrong, and Pom has looked great. Pom has the ninth highest strikeout percentages in the MLB. Pom has also cut down on his home runs from last year, and you can tell with the ground ball rate. Also, he has allowed five hits or less in four of the last five.
That being said he faces two teams that should be easy to handle. The Rays and Brewers are fairly easy to deal with; Tampa is third worst in strikeouts within the last week. On top of that, both teams rank in the bottom of most offensive categories within the last week or so. With Pom’s strikeout rate being high, and not allowing more than two runs in the last three games, this should be two easy wins for your squad this week.
Charlie Morton, HOU (vs ATL, at NYY) (RHP)
Morton has looked like comeback player of the year thus far. In all but two starts he has looked great. Morton has sent six or more packing in every game so far this year. Morton has also only had one game in the last five with a home run. His walk rate is also near a career low.
Morton will have a two-start week with the Yanks, and the Braves. With home runs not being an issue for Morton this year, add that with the Yanks striking out over 225 times this year, all arrows point toward a pretty good game. Atlanta has been pretty mediocre this year, with some flashes in the pan. The Braves have a pretty middle of the pack offense and are a pretty patient team, having the third lowest strikeouts. However, with Morton getting his ERA under four, I expect him to get over 18 strikeouts for your team this week.
Lance Lynn, STL (at MIA) (RHP)
Lynn has channelled his older self and might be back to the player he was pre-injury. Lynn has only surrendered two runs in four games, one home run, with 23 strikeouts. Miami is a huge strikeout team, with a terrible walk rate. Miami has also only produced three home runs and 33 runs in the last week. Also, Miami has lost nine of the last 11, scoring four or more runs twice in that span. Miami might be the coldest team in the league. This game could be super short for Miami and super long for Lynn.
Mike Foltynewicz, ATL (at MIA) (RHP)
This is picking on Miami week apparently. I have written about Folty before, and love this kids potential. Has he won a game so far this year? No. Was his last game good, and maybe trending upwards? No. Ah, his strikeouts are up the last few games? No.
WHY should I start Folty then?? Well you see, Miami is a huge strikeout team, landing in the Top 10 in strikeouts the last week (19 Ks over 17 IP during his past three starts). He did face Miami earlier this year, only giving up two runs, and four strikeouts in limited work. This start could be a very nice one for you and your squad this week.
Taijuan Walker, ARI (vs. PIT) (RHP)
I do not like to recommending to start a pitcher at Chase field, but I like Walker and his upcoming start. PIT is in the bottom three in home runs this year. So the theory is that they should not be able to properly take advantage of the ballpark that is known for its home runs (best park for home runs besides Coors).
PIT as a team has been struggling offensively, and does not seem to see the light at the end of the tunnel, scoring three or fewer runs in five of their last seven. Also, Walker has only given up four runs in two of his first seven starts. With strikeouts remaining steady (10.0 K/9) and walks not on the rise, start Walker with confidence.
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