As we look ahead into our 2016 Fantasy Football Rookie Quarterback Rankings, we unfortunately look through a lens that has been colored by the likes of some amazing rookie quarterbacks in recent years.
For instance, Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III and Russell Wilson were all amazing in their first professional seasons, and they all ranked among the Top 5 rookie Fantasy seasons in NFL history.
Last year, we saw Marcus Mariota score four touchdowns in the first half of his first regular season game – against a struggling Jameis Winston. Yet, if we look at the full season, Winston stayed healthy, and he finished with the fourth-most points as a Fantasy rookie QB ever.
That’s right, Winston, who scored the fourth-most Fantasy points of any first-year rookie ever, still finished just 13th in Fantasy points among quarterbacks in 2015. That wasn’t even good enough for him to be a regular Fantasy starter!
What we’re trying to say is – no matter what these rookie QBs do in 2016, the position has gone off the rails in Fantasy points, so it’s more difficult than ever for them to break into the Top 10 among quarterbacks.
2016 Fantasy Football Rookie Quarterback Rankings
Our ranking is for this year only, not looking ahead to future seasons, but there are some cases we’ll point out that might have better dynasty ability than others. You’re likely not going to want to draft a 2016 rookie quarterback in a standard league this summer.
In Goff’s case, he’s really the top-ranked Fantasy rookie quarterback because we expect him to start the most games and get the most opportunities. But really, if Paxton Lynch or Carson Wentz win their respective teams’ starting QB jobs in the preseason, Goff might end up being ranked behind them.
Goff should be a solid NFL pro, without much “spectacular” upside – especially in a Rams huddle that will likely use the passing game only as a way to keep defenses honest while they run Todd Gurley down their throats.
Goff’s weapons in the passing game are below average, with Kenny Britt, Tavon Austin, Brian Quick and Lance Kendricks expected to be the main targets. We have Goff as our top rookie quarterback in our 2016 Quarterback Rankings, but even so, he’s still just ranked 32nd.
@BadFFHelp Mr Irrelevant is always the final pick of my draft.
— James Bain (@JBainKC) June 19, 2016
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