So the Tout Wars Challenge has been on for three weeks, and I’ve cashed in for three weeks. Since I gear my Tuesday and Friday DFS Picks toward 50/50 contests, that means hopefully I’ve helped a few people win some green of their own along the way.
Honestly it’s the story of my life. I’m pretty good at a wide variety of things, but a master of none. I may be the world’s most slightly above average person. In your face!
Enough of my self analysis. On with the important stuff. Here are probably the most important links you could ever want when it comes to succeeding in Daily Fantasy Baseball. I’d report the findings here, but honestly just a couple of clicks and you’ll be in the know.
Of course keep reading further down the page for my FanDuel Picks for the day. I promise they’ll be at least slightly above average.
Links for MLB Weather:
Batter vs. Pitcher: I’m not much of a believer in Batter vs. Pitcher numbers. You can read why here. Still, a lot of people use this data, so here are the two that are most useful in my opinion.
Also Check out these helpful tools:
FanDuel Strategy for the Day
With a large percentage of your points coming from your one pitching slot, obviously it becomes very important to nail it with your selection. In tournaments you can try to get cute, but for 50/50 contests there’s just no reason. It’s a lot easier to use platoon splits and other key metrics to find good matchups for cheap hitters, than it is to predict a breakout game for a risky starting pitcher.
With that thought in mind, my pitching options for the day boil down to Corey Kluber at home against a right-handed heavy Seattle lineup that tends to strike out, and Sonny Gray at home against a Rangers team that surprisingly leads MLB in runs scored on the road. There are plenty of other options to choose from, but for 50/50 purposes, Kluber seems obvious to me. Sometimes obvious is the best move. Remember, we don’t have to be Mike Trout. It’s perfectly Ok to be Nori Aoki.
On a side note, it is a very interesting day pitching-wise if you decide to get in a few tournaments. There are a few cheaper high-upside pitchers I like today.
Top Stacking Options for the Day
There are a lot of questionable pitchers taking the mound today. It could be a day filled with offense. Here are the stacking options I’ll be watching.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Jorge De La Rosa, LHP, COL – After an early-season cold spell Coors Field is once again every pitcher’s nightmare. De La Rosa has been dealing with a cut on his middle finger and is sitting on a 6.15 ERA. The Colorado bullpen shouldn’t scare you away either.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Dan Haren, RHP, MIA – I might as well just keep Toronto on this list with a blank spot for the pitcher they face that day. Anytime they’re at home there are likely to be some fireworks.
FanDuel Picks for Tueday, June 9, 2015
Top Starting Pitchers for the Day
The following rankings take into account skill of pitcher, quality of opposing offense, quality of opposing pitcher, ballpark factors, and of course price at FanDuel.
- Corey Kluber ($11,100) vs. Seattle Mariners – Kluber has went at least eight innings in four of his last five starts, with 59 strikeouts in those 40 innings. The Mariners are fourth in baseball in total strikeouts and second against right-handed pitching.
- Sonny Gray ($10,300) vs. Texas Rangers – Gray has scored 13 or more FanDuel points in eight of his 10 starts. The strikeouts are not elite, but Gray is as safe a pick as there is today.
- Max Scherzer ($11,600) @ New York Yankees – Scherzer has been plenty good this year and his numbers are better on the road than at home. Still the Yankee offense is third in MLB in runs scored and the short porch in right field is bothersome. Mostly, I just don’t think Scherzer’s salary is worth it with two other excellent options.
Top Options at Each Position
Here are two choices at each position; one is the best bet for production and the other is a lower priced option with a favorable outlook.
Jonathan Lucroy ($2,900) vs. Francisco Liriano (LHP) – Lucroy really hasn’t gotten it rolling yet, but he’s always hit better against lefties and at this price he has to be considered every day.
Yadier Molina ($2,900) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (LHP) – The power has been MIA, but Molina can still handle the bat. The Cardinals will put plenty of runners on base tonight and I expect Molina to be involved in some way.
Anthony Rizzo ($4,500) vs. Anibal Sanchez (RHP) – Anibal has been ani-bad so far this season. He’s given up 13 homers in 73 innings and his home ERA is more than two runs higher than his road mark. The other elite first base options have less enticing matchups, so if I’m spending money at first base, Rizzo is my play today.
Eric Hosmer ($3,300) vs. Trevor May (RHP) – This is vintage 50/50 here. I’m not sold on Hosmer’s mini-breakout, but he’s hitting .328 vs. RHP and the Royals offense is hard to pitch to. May has done a decent job of limiting baserunners, but as with many young right-handed pitchers, the left-handed hitters are doing the damage, hitting 59 points higher than righties.
Kolten Wong ($3,500) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (LHP) – Wong is hitting .308 vs. LHP and .305 vs. LHP. Besides, do you expect De La Rosa to face him more than twice at most. As an added bonus, Wong has recorded each of his four stolen bases this season against a left-handed pitcher. The matchup is fine and the price is wight for Wong… Dr. Seuss I am not.
Neil Walker ($2,800) vs. Taylor Jungmann (RHP) – Jungmann is making his Major League debut tonight after dominating Triple-A with a 6.37 ERA in 59.1 innings. And yes, I used italics for my sarcasm font. Walker’s numbers are down a bit, but most of his struggles have come against LHP. He’s hitting .288 vs. right-handers, with all four of his home runs.
Matt Carpenter ($4,300) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (LHP) – The latest catch phrase in DFS is contrarian. We can talk about that later, but you can mostly forget about it for 50/50 contests. Carpenter is having a great year and has even bumped up the power. His splits against LHP aren’t pretty for this season, but over his career he’s done just fine. I’m not stacking all of the Cardinal hitters today, but you have to at least consider many of them.
Maikel Franco ($3,100) vs. Anthony DeSclafini (RHP) – DeSclafini has been decent, but allows his share of baserunners. I’m not big on hot streaks, but Franco has 13 hits and four homers over his last seven games. I’m not riding him because of the streak, I’m on board because it shows that he can handle Major League pitching and DeSclafini is an average Major League pitcher.
Jhonny Peralta ($4,200) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (LHP) – Peralta typically either hits for power or average in a given year. This year he’s decided to do both. I’m not sure I like the price tag, but keep him in mind.
Carlos Correa ($2,200) vs. Carlos Rodon (LHP) – Rodon is a tough pitcher to read, but he does walk over five betters per nine innings and has put up a 1.80 WHIP to right-handed hitters. And honestly if you’re not going to use Troy Tulowitzki, shortstop is pretty much devoid of value. I’ll take Correa, his upside, and a $2,200 salary over a bunch of mediocrity.
Starling Marte ($3,800) vs. Taylor Jungmann (RHP) – I really don’t understand Marte’s relatively low salary. He’s not hitting for a great average, but much of that is due to a .289 BABIP that is .063 below his career average. I’ll take the power, I’ll take the speed, and I’ll take a rookie pitcher who was rocked in Triple-A.
Giancarlo Stanton ($4,700) vs. Mark Buehrle (LHP) – Do you need analysis here? Ok, here’s a bit. Buerhle is slightly worse against RHP over his career. Stanton hits .030 points better against LHP. Home runs are nice.
Matt Kemp ($2,700) vs. Mike Foltynewicz (RHP) – First of all I just spelled Foltynewicz without looking. I rock. Second of all, Matt Kemp at that price is hard to pass up. It’s not a perfect matchup, but if I’m going with Kluber as my starting pitcher, I have to save some cash. Kemp seems to be swinging the bat better, with a hit in five straight games. He’s also healthy enough to swipe a bag last night. At the cost, I’m in.
Alex Gordon ($2,600) vs. Trevor May (RHP) – Gordon’s average is down, but he’s still scoring better than any of the outfielders at his salary level. The ballpark may limit his potential to go yard, but the Royals should do some damage against May and Gordon will likely be involved.
Kole Calhoun ($2,600) vs. Nathan Karns (RHP) – Calhoun has hit the skids a bit, but he’s still hitting fourth or fifth in the Angels lineup. Karns is a decent pitcher, but this is a matchup that Calhoun should be comfortable with. Again, this is the type of matchup you’re looking for when you use one of the more expensive starting pitchers.
My Lineup for the Day
As usual, here is the lineup I’ll be using tonight. Of course I’ll be visiting RotoWire and BaseballPress.com to make sure all of my recommendations take the field tonight. If one of my picks isn’t in the lineup, I’ll try to select options from my other recommendations.
And of course I also reserve the right to tweak things if I hear other news during the day. Right now there are no huge weather concerns, so this is my likely lineup as of now.
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