As with all of our lineup recommendations, these Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks are based on the information we have at the time of posting. Make sure you keep an eye on the weather and all of the latest lineup changes.
FanDuel Picks for Wednesday, May 18, 2016
FanDuel, or really any Daily Fantasy Baseball site, always begins with pitching for me. Whether you’re in a tournament or playing 50/50s, you can’t win if you don’t pick a winning pitcher. That’s why in DFS you almost have to chase the win, but in season-long formats that’s usually not a great idea.
With three afternoon games stealing a little bit of the pitching juice, there’s a definite lack of elite pitchers going tonight. Johnny Cueto and David Price are the biggest names, but they also cost the most. Price also faces a Kansas City offense that seems like the type that would give Price some trouble. Meanwhile Cueto could be involved in a low-scoring affair matched up against Drew Pomeranz, who is pitching like an ace so far in 2016.
If you’re chasing wins can you do worse than choosing a Cub pitcher this season? John Lackey’s overall numbers are middling, but he does have a couple 11-strikeout games to his credit and the Brewer offense does have the third most strikeouts in baseball. He matches up against Jimmy Nelson, who is talented, but unlikely to shut the Cubs offense down. Of course the same could be said of Chase Anderson who gave them fits last night.
The other starter I’m looking at is Francisco Liriano, who has been all over the map this season. He pitches at home against the Braves, who have scored the fewest runs in baseball and are 12th in strikeouts.
I think in 50/50s I lean for the safety of Lackey, but Liriano and his volatility might be what tournaments call for.
Of course Daily Fantasy Baseball is more than just pitching. We need to field a lineup of hitters that are in good situations to click. In order to do that we need to be prepared. Here are the links you need to study for the night’s action and of course following that are my Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for Friday, May 13, 2016.
Links for MLB Weather:
Probable Pitchers and Lineups:
Batter vs. Pitcher: I’m not much of a believer in Batter vs. Pitcher numbers. You can read why here. Still, a lot of people use this data and I have to admit occasionally taking a pick when I make my DraftKings picks, so here are the two that are most useful in my opinion.
Top FanDuel Picks at Each Position
Here are two choices at each position; one is the best bet for production at a fair price, and the other is a lower priced option with a favorable outlook.
I’m not a fan of spending big on catching. Once you get past Buster Posey, it’s just a big pile of mediocrity. So the plan is to use that mediocrity.
Evan Gattis ($2,300) vs. Mat Latos (RHP) – No one is really sure how the Astros will handle Gattis as a catcher. The nice thing is that he’ll also get plenty of time at DH. With Preston Tucker sent down and Carlos Gomez on the DL, Gattis should be in the lineup more often than not. If you’re looking for power Gattis has as much upside as anyone.
Yan Gomes ($2,700) vs. Brandon Finnegan (LHP) – Gomes finally seems to be back as an offensive threat with homers in three of his last four games. A look at Gomes’ career splits also shows that he’s always a nice option against left-handed pitching. Right now he and Gattis are the top values at catcher.
Edwin Encarnacion ($3,800) vs. Jake Odorizzi (RHP) – Encarnacion is a solid choice just about any day, but he faces Odorizzi today. Odorizzi is a great pitcher at home, but he’s always struggled on the road. The Jays batter lefties, but they can still do plenty of damage against a right-hander with this kind of home/road splits.
Joey Votto ($3,600) vs. Mike Clevinger (RHP) – It’s hard to go cheap at first base, so when Joey Votto is priced this cheap you have to consider him. With a rookie pitcher making his MLB debut, then you think even harder.
Robinson Cano ($4,000) vs. Chris Tillman (RHP) – Cano is hitting .409 in May and the power spike seems to be for real. The $4,000 price tag is hefty, but the matchup and ballpark are in his favor tonight.
Brett Lawrie ($3,200) vs. Doug Fister (RHP) – There aren’t a lot of favorable matchups among the lower priced second basemen tonight, but Lawrie should get some good swings against Fister.
Josh Donaldson ($3,900) vs. Jake Odorizzi (RHP) – As good as Donaldson is, I usually only recommend him when he faces a lefty. Tonight I expect the Blue Jays offense to break out after a couple of disappointing games against Tampa Bay. Odorizzi has good, not great stuff, and Donaldson should see plenty of opportunities with men on base.
Jung Ho Kang ($3,200) vs. Julio Teheran (RHP) – Really wish Kang was eligible at short on FanDuel like he is in most season-long leagues. Regardless he’s still got serious power and a nice set of reverse career splits that make him the top mid-range option for tonight’s late slate.
Carlos Correa ($4,400) vs. Mat Latos (RHP) – Correa has slowed down after a strong start to the season, but he’s still one of baseball’s most dynamic young players. Of the four shortstops above $4,000, Correa has the juiciest matchup against an overachieving Mat Latos and his 4.31 K/9.
Brad Miller ($2,700) vs. R.A. Dickey (RHP) – Miller is breaking out of a horrible early-season slump right along with the Rays offense as a whole. He’s moved up to second in the order and should be right in the middle of what I expect to be a slugfest.
Bryce Harper ($4,100) vs. Tom Koehler (RHP) – The salary is very reasonable. It may just be my perception, but Fanduel seems to be pricing elite players a little lower this year. Harper is elite and even if the Marlins walk him four times you still get points for the runs and walks.
Brett Gardner ($3,300) vs. Shelby Miller (RHP) – Gardner is struggling, but he’s still got a nice mix of speed and pop, and Shelby Miller is handing out meatballs for free this season.
Marlon Byrd ($2,600) vs. Brandon Finnegan (LHP) – You have to save salary somewhere and with Michael Brantley back on the DL, Byrd should see his share of playing time. There’s not much speed left, but Byrd can still hit the ball out of the park, especially against lefties.
Yasiel Puig ($2,400) vs. Nick Tropeano (RHP) – How the mighty (hyped) have fallen. I’ve never been a fan of Puig, but it’s hard to completely ignore his tools. I’m not sure you roll with him in 50/50s, but as a tournament play he’s a nice dart to throw.
My FanDuel Lineup for Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Hopefully you’ve found something in my Daily Fantasy Baseball picks to help you out. It’s been an uneven season thus far, but trends are starting to form and hopefully you’ll get in your DFS rhythm.
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