Sit down, shut up, and get ready for today’s Daily Fantasy Baseball action. There’s no time to chit-chat or complain about Felix Hernandez ruining your weekend. Get over it. Felix doesn’t care about your DFS lineups. You know what? He got paid even after he took money out of your kids’ mouths last Friday.
You know who does care though? I do. And I’m here to help. I’m not gonna build your lineup for you, but I’m gonna offer up some options and hopefully point out some matchups you can exploit today. So forget about “The King” and all those people out to get you. I’m on your side and together I promise, we can rule the DFS world… or at least be slightly better than average. Hey, what do you want. This column is meant to help you succeed in 50/50 contests, where being slightly above average is good enough. And when being slightly above average is your goal, it takes a lot of the pressure off.
Let’s go out there and have fun. I’m slightly above average and I can help you get there too. Together we can make it so that you end the night with a little more money than you started with. Enough nights like that and soon you’ll be making as much money as Felix Hernandez… How many 50/50 contests does FanDuel offer a day? Ok, maybe we better tackle Major League minimum salary first.
Here are the links you need to totally dominate at least 51 percent of your opponents today. My FanDuel Strategy and picks, which will be 51 percent better than everybody else’s, are a little further down the page.
Links for MLB Weather:
Batter vs. Pitcher: I’m not much of a believer in Batter vs. Pitcher numbers. You can read why here. Still, a lot of people use this data, so here are the two that are most useful in my opinion.
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FanDuel Strategy for the Day
My FanDuel strategy always starts with pitching and today there is a definite lack of it. When the fifth highest salaried player has an ERA of 4.00, you know there are a lot of bad pitchers going today. In 50/50 contests there’s no reason to look for sleepers. Just take the best pitcher with a good matchup and run with it.
FanDuel Picks for Friday, June 12, 2015
Top Starting Pitchers for the Day
The following rankings take into account skill of pitcher, quality of opposing offense, quality of opposing pitcher, ballpark factors, and of course price at FanDuel.
- Garrett Richards ($9,000) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – Richards has had two bad starts this season that taint his overall numbers. Last time out was one of his best starts. More good news is that it’s a home game. Richards has a 2.70 ERA in Anaheim and a 5.29 mark on the road. Yet another bonus is that Richards will be opposed by Jeremy Hellickson. Hellboy’s ERA is above five and there are rumors that several hitters have requested his services during the Home Run Derby at this year’s All-Star Game.
- Jake Arrieta ($9,800) vs. Cleveland Indians – The wind is forecast to be blowing in today at Wrigley. That means the park effect will be minimal. Arrieta has won his last two starts and struck out 16 batters along the way. It may seem like he’s regresses a bit, but most of Arrieta’s peripherals are as good or better than last season. It’s mostly a .32o BABIP that’s hurt him a bit. His 2.60 xFIP says you should still believe.
- Trevor Bauer ($8,400) @ Chicago Cubs – Yes, I still remember this spring when the Cubs went back-to-back-to-back off of Bauer. There’s danger here, but the Cubs do lead all of baseball in strikeouts. Besides our next best option is Matt Harvey and he draws the Blue Jays today. I like Harvey, but I’m not using any pitcher against Toronto right now.
Three Pitcher to Target
When I say target, I do not mean you want them in your lineups. Instead these are pitchers you want to think about when choosing your hitters. It’s kind of like racial profiling, but a whole lot less controversial.
- Jerome Williams @ Baltimore Orioles – Williams 5.71 ERA could go higher in Camden Yards.
- Jeremy Hellickson @ Los Angeles Angels – Hellickson is much better on the road. His ERA is only 4.72.
- Kyle Ryan vs. Cincinnati Reds – The Reds lineup is not intimidating, but Ryan had a 4.67 ERA and a 5.17 K/9 in Triple-A.
Top Options at Each Position
Here are two choices at each position; one is the best bet for production and the other is a lower priced option with a favorable outlook.
Matt Wieters ($3,100) vs. Jerome Williams (RHP) – Williams gets abused by left- and right-handed pitchers alike. It’s only been eight games, but Wieters looks like he’s picking up right where he left off in 2014. I would have liked the salary to stay depressed for a little longer, but this game should be high scoring and Camden Yards doesn’t hurt.
Jonathan Lucroy ($2,500) vs. Chris Young (RHP) – It’s taken awhile but Lucroy may finally be breaking out. He has two hits in each of his last two games, including a couple of doubles. Meanwhile Chris Young’s magical horseshoe seems to have come dislodged with a 5.19 ERA over his last three starts. It’s just not a good idea to waste money at catcher right now, so when Lucroy is this cheap you use him if the matchup is even decent.
Joey Votto ($4,300) vs. Kyle Ryan (LHP) – Joey Votto does not care which arm you use to throw the ball. In fact, both this season and last Votto has hit better against southpaws. Last Tuesday I had him in my lineup before making a late change to save a little cash. Votto hit three homers. I’m not expecting that again today, but I do expect a solid day at the plate.
Chris Davis ($3,300) vs. Jerome Williams (RHP) – Sure Davis is a bit hit or miss, but even in 50/50 contests home runs are a good thing. Davis is on pace for 30-plus and has his average up to .245 for the month of June. I like the price and I like the odds of him driving in a few runs today.
Ian Kinsler ($3,300) vs. Michael Lorenzen (RHP) – Lorenzen had some solid starts early in the year, but the league seems to be catching up to him. Kinsler’s power has been MIA, but everything else is still clicking.
Brandon Phillips ($3,000) vs. Kyle Ryan (LHP) – I’m not exactly sure which Reds hitters I’ll use, but I will be targeting Kyle Ryan today. Phillips seems to have set the clock back a bit this year, especially against left-handed pitching. He’s hitting .340 vs. lefties and even has three of his eight stolen bases against them. With Jason Kipnis being pretty expensive and Kolten Wong playing in an early game, Phillips will probably be in the majority of my lineups.
Todd Frazier ($4,500) vs. Kyle Ryan (LHP) – I haven’t used Frazier much this season, just because I thought the salary was a little out of line. This matchup is too good to pass up though. Frazier’s platoon splits are pretty neutral over his career, but I’m pretty sure he’s done well against pitchers with minor league ERAs over 4.50.
Manny Machado ($3,500) vs. Jerome Williams (RHP) – I’ve picked on Jerome Williams a lot this season and he foiled my plans early in the year. Lately not so much. I guarantee Machado will produce positive points today or you will get your money back… Someone from FanDuel will give your money back… Ok, no one is giving your money back. That doesn’t mean Machado won’t rake today.
Jung-ho Kang ($2,700) vs. Jose Quintana (LHP) – I haven’t used Kang this year, but today might be the first. Kang is hitting .333 against lefties and the matchups at shortstop in the night slate are not that great.
Erick Aybar ($2,400) vs. Jeremy Hellickson (RHP) – This is as much about Hellickson and the current lack of offense at the shortstop position as it is Aybar. Still Aybar has been leading off lately and in a game I expect to be rather one-sided, there’s a good chance Aybar scores a couple of runs. Glowing endorsement I know. Could we just pass on shortstop and use our salary somewhere else.
Mike Trout ($5,300) vs. Jeremy Hellickson (RHP) – Using Trout any day is a good option. Using Trout against Hellickson is a great idea. Trout’s power has bumped up with six homers in 49 June at-bats. Find a cheap hitter with a good matchup and fit Trout into your lineup today. I have a feeling it will be worth it.
J.D. Martinez ($3,200) vs. Michael Lorenzen (RHP) – I generally ignore hot streaks, but we saw Martinez go on a tear last year and he’s really rolling right now. Martinez has three homers and seven RBIs over his last three games and he’s hit right-handers better than left-handers this year. Ride the wave.
Kole Calhoun ($2,800) vs. Jeremy Hellickson (RHP) – Think I’ll be watching the Angels – D’Backs game today? Calhoun is now the Angels cleanup hitter and when you’ve got guys name Trout and Pujols in front of you, that’s a nice thing. Calhoun paid off for me big-time in last Tuesday’s Tout Wars Challenge and I’m onboard all over again.
Nolan Reimold ($2,400) vs. Jerome Williams – Reimold seems to have grabbed onto a full-time gig, and he’s generally doing nice things with it. This is the cheap outfielder you might need to fit Trout into your lineup and when that cheap outfielder is facing Jerome Williams, you go for it.
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