One more day.
Later this morning I’ll be headed back to the friendly confines of the Anderson household and will be ending this “So-Called” vacation I’ve been suffering from over the last two and a half weeks. If you haven’t read my last few articles, here’s a quick rundown of my vacation.
I drove 20 hours north (wife is allergic to steering wheels) with two kids and three dogs, while pulling a pop-up camper. We spent a week in Southern Illinois with sketchy internet access, but it was mostly a decent time.
Then we headed further north. My first stop there was at my sister’s. The internet she promised left each time she took her phone to work and her dogs and my dogs didn’t get along too well, so my dogs were confined to the camper. One of her dogs also seemed to like human flesh, so my son was afraid to go inside, so he was confined to the camper as well. To top it off, the air conditioner in my camper kept tripping the breaker in her garage, so we couldn’t leave the dogs unsupervised because the “feels like” temperature was approaching 110 degrees. At that temperature the inside of the camper became a popcorn cooker.
The circumstances at my sister’s house forced us to move the camper to a more reliable source of electricity at my father’s a few miles down the road. The air was now reliable, but his dogs had kennel cough even though they’ve never seen the inside of a kennel, so my dogs were still stuck inside the camper. Of course my dad has never even used the internet, so it was down to McDonald’s anytime I needed to write an article.
But that wasn’t the worst part. My dad lives less than 20 yards from two sets of train tracks. The house is also right next to an intersection. Trains are required to sound their horns anytime they go through an intersection. An occasional nuisance right? No, these tracks also lead to a train yard where trains unload and load new cargo. There was a train going by at about every eight minutes during the night. I’m not sure if you’ve ever slept in a pop-up camper, but they don’t come with noise canceling as an option. It’s very hard to feel rested when you’re sleeping in five-minute intervals.
At least I’m headed back home today. Only 15 more hours of driving with three dogs and two kids who smell just like the dogs at this point.
Anyway here are the usual links to help you build your own lineups. They’re also the main tools I use to build mine.
Links for MLB Weather:
Batter vs. Pitcher: I’m not much of a believer in Batter vs. Pitcher numbers. You can read why here. Still, a lot of people use this data, so here are the two that are most useful in my opinion.
Also Check out these helpful tools:
FanDuel Strategy for the Day
My FanDuel strategy always start with pitching and strikeouts are a must. There are three big strikeout guys going today in Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Danny Salazar. All three are on the road with deGrom in Washington, Cole in Kansas City, and Salazar in Milwaukee. When you factor in the price tags and the matchups, I’m really liking Salazar, but I’ve been burned by passing Cole by a few times lately.
The only other matchup I really like is Michael Wacha pitching on the south side of Chicago. The White Sox don’t strike out a ton, but they have scored the fewest runs in baseball. In 50/50 contests, I like Wacha a lot today.
Of course Tuesdays are the day I focus on the Tout Wars Challenge, where for a mere $2, you get to take on some of your favorite names in the Fantasy Baseball industry. Finish in the top half (actually 45 out of 100) and you double your money… and get to tell everyone how stupid the touts are. Heck if you beat me you can do it in the comments at the bottom of this article. Just be gentle, the vacation I’m on has my self esteem at an all-time low.
FanDuel Picks for Tuesday, July 21, 2015
Top Starting Pitchers for the Day
The following rankings take into account skill of pitcher, quality of opposing offense, quality of opposing pitcher, ballpark factors, and of course price at FanDuel.
- Danny Salazar ($8,800) @ Milwaukee Brewers – The Brewers offense has been a little better lately, but I still like this matchup. Salazar can be inconsistent, but if he’s on his game, double-digit Ks is definitely in play. Cole and Wacha are safer plays, but I like the money you can save with Salazar.
- Gerritt Cole ($10,600) @ Kansas City Royals – I understand if you want to move Cole up to No. 1, but that Royals offense seems to ding up just about everyone. They’re ninth in MLB in scoring and they just don’t strike out. As a team they’ve struck out 531 times. The next closest team has 80 more Ks.
- Michael Wacha ($8,500) @ Chicago White Sox – I’m not sure how the White Sox offense is so futile playing in that park, but the numbers don’t lie. Wacha has been knocked around a few times lately, but his pitch-to-contact approach seems to be custom made for this Chicago offense. He’s also bumped up the Ks a bit as of late. If in doubt in 50/50s go with safe, and safe Wacha is… did I just sound like Yoda?
Top Options at Each Position
Here are two choices at each position; one is the best bet for production and the other is a lower priced option with a favorable outlook.
Michael McKenry ($2,900) vs. Matt Harrison (LHP) – Yes, the matchups at catcher today are this bad. You’ll have to make sure he’s in the lineup, but McKenry is hitting .313 against lefties and has decent power. Harrison has made just one start this season, but he didn’t look strong after rehabbing for over a year following spinal fusion surgery.
Matt Wieters ($2,600) vs. Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) – Wieters has been pretty quiet, but it’s mostly left-handed pitchers who he’s struggled against. He’s hitting .290 vs. RHP, with two of his three home runs. I’m not crazy high on him, but the matchups at catcher today are lacking.
Paul Goldschmidt ($4,800) vs. Mat Latos (RHP) – So all of the sudden Goldschmidt is the third most expensive first baseman? I’ll take that, especially in his home ballpark against a mediocre right-hander. The price is still high, but if there’s room I’m pulling the trigger.
Prince Fielder ($4,400) vs. Kyle Kendrick (RHP) – Sure Fielder is no longer the 50-homer monster from eight years ago, but he’s still got plenty of juice left. Besides Kyle Kendrick and Coors Field will fix any perceived lack of power. Fielder is hitting .377 against right-handed pitchers this years. That translates roughly to .534 in Coors Field. Add Kendrick to the equation and Fielder may get more hits than at-bats today.
Jose Altuve ($4,300) vs. Brian Johnson (LHP) – Altuve isn’t quite matching his numbers from last year, but it’s not because of his work against southpaws. Altuve is hammering lefties to the tune of a .330 average and is even nine of nine in stolen base attempts. Johnson had pretty solid numbers in the minors, but if the Sox trusted him that much it seems like we’d have seen him earlier.
DJ LeMahieu ($3,100) vs. Matt Harrison (LHP) – It’s hard to play contrarian with the pitching matchup in Coors today. LeMahieu’s lefty/righty splits are neutral, but as you’d expect he’s hitting .347 at home. The price tag is pretty reasonable considering the number of runs likely to be scored tonight.
Nolan Arenado ($5,000) vs. Matt Harrison (LHP) – I feel like I’m telling you the obvious, but if I don’t list all the great matchups the Rockie hitters have today I’m doing you a disservice. Though this year’s splits are neutral, Arenado has hit lefties much better throughout his career. Arenado has hit for a higher average at home, but surprisingly he’s hit 15 of his 24 home runs on the road. I say Kyle Kendrick helps that stat normalize.
Todd Frazier ($3,400) vs. Jason Hammel (RHP) – So Frazier wins the home run derby and FanDuel lowers his salary? Is Charlie Finley working at FanDuel now? Frazier’s L-R splits are neutral, but he’s hitting .320 at home compared to .242 on the road. I cannot pass him up at this price. Frazier is a great tournament play today and works for 50/50s as well.
Troy Tulowitzki ($4,400) vs. Matt Harrison (LHP) – Tulowitzki is hitting .331 at home. He’s hitting .397 against left-handers. These splits are all well supported by career numbers. The $4,400 price tag is not that large an obstacle.
Carlos Correa ($3,600) vs. Brian Johnson (LHP) – It’s hard to find fault in Correa’s game, but he has hit just .238 against right-handed pitchers this year. Of course today he faces a lefty and he’s batting .333 against them. Johnson is making his MLB debut. He’s got solid numbers in the minors, but hasn’t drawn much hype.
Starling Marte ($3,600) vs. Jason Vargas (LHP) – I will never understand FanDuel’s pricing of Marte. He’s hitting for a solid average and offers power and speed. He scores runs and drives them in. His “weakness” is a .330 OBP. Marte is a solid option just about every day. Today he enters must-start status. Over his career Marte has hit .339 vs. LHP. Jason Vargas is a left-hander, and not really all that good. I’m calling 5.0 or more points for Marte today… BTW, everything I just said about Marte also applies to his teammate Andrew McCutchen. Just add $1,200.
Brandon Moss ($2,900) vs.Matt Garza (RHP) – Moss is putting up his usual high power – low average year. This play is just as much about a struggling Matt Garza as it is about Moss. Garza has been homer-prone throughout his career and I don’t expect that to change in his return from a DL stint due to shoulder tendinitis.
Josh Hamilton ($2,900) vs. Kyle Kendrick (RHP) – Hurry up and use him while he’s healthy… He is healthy right? Seriously, I try not to use Coors Field as a crutch, but today’s matchups are extreme in so many cases. You decide whether you want to use the high-priced guys like Tulo, Fielder, and Arenado or the lower tier hitters like Hamilton and Mitch Moreland.
My FanDuel Lineups for Tuesday, July 21, 2015
Here’s my first draft of a lineup for tonight. Right now I’m leaning toward using Danny Salazar, but could swing over to Wacha. Either way, I’m excited about my offense. Big names don’t always prevail in Daily Fantasy Baseball, but the matchups today are certainly in their favor.
Even if I do swap out a few players, I’ll be visiting RotoWire and BaseballPress.com to make sure all of my recommendations take the field tonight. If one of my picks isn’t in the lineup, I’ll try to select options from my other recommendations. And of course I also reserve the right to tweak things if I hear other news during the day.
I hope my Daily Fantasy Baseball picks get you pointed in the right direction. Follow all of Doug Anderson’s columns on SoCalledFantasyExperts.com
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