Everybody gets to hit the reset button after the 2015 MLB All-Star Game. While you get ready to make your own Daily Fantasy Baseball picks for Saturday, June 18, on FanDuel, keep some of these things in mind.
Baseball rotations reset after the All-Star break. So Saturday’s games are usually filled with the No. 2 starters for most ballclubs, except for a few exceptions. Pitchers that pitched in Tuesday’s All-Star Game might not slot right back into the rotation perfectly. Also, if a No. 2 pitcher was on a team with an ace that pitched in the All-Star Game, then that No. 2 might end up pitching on Friday instead of Saturday.
Another thing to keep in mind is that since most No. 2’s are going against each other, the odds of them winning might be a little tougher than usual. For the past couple months, they might have been matched up with the 3, 4 or 5 starters of other teams.
Also, going forward, they will likely be facing the No.2 starter of another team in their next start also, if both teams are on the same timeline of days off. If they aren’t on that same timeline, then it’s possible the No. 2 starter will be facing an ace or a No.3 starter. Either way, look at the rotations with depth in the back end of the rotations, and figure they’ll be facing other back-end starters, likely with less talent.
There are just four afternoon games on Saturday, with 11 games starting at 7pm or later. Even more interesting, there are no games starting at 10pm ET.
Here are the links that I have officially stolen from RotoDaddy’s columns on Fridays!
Anyway here are the usual links to help you build your own lineups. They’re also the main tools I use to build mine.
Links for MLB Weather:
Batter vs. Pitcher: RotoDaddy and I are not big fans of Batter vs. Pitcher numbers. You can read Doug’s explanation why here. Still, a lot of people use this data, so here are the two that are most useful in Doug’s opinion.
Also check out these helpful tools:
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for Saturday, July 18
I’ll try to give you a couple picks for each position – an expensive guy and a cheap guy on FanDuel – both who have decent value entering Saturday’s games. As always, check the team’s lineups as you get closer – a great spot to do that is on MLBStartingNine.com.
Francisco Liriano, LHP, Pittsburgh at Milwaukee, ($10,000)
Liriano has actually been much better on the road (3-2, 2.00 ERA) this season than at home (2-4, 3.86). The Brewers are among the lowest-scoring teams in the majors against lefties, batting a major-league low .222 vs. LHP. Sign me up!
Jon Lester, LHP, Chicago Cubs at Atlanta, ($8,900)
Similar to Liriano, Lester is facing a team that has struggled to score runs against left-handed pitchers. Lester hasn’t won a game since May, but in his two July starts, he has a 1.71 ERA. His price has been driven down to a more than acceptable level for me.
Tyson Ross, RHP, San Diego vs. Colorado, ($8,400)
Did you know the Rockies are the second-lowest scoring road offense in the majors, behind just the Mets? Their .283 on-base percentage away from Coors Field is the second-worst road OBP in the majors, too. In three games this month, Ross is 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA, and he’s still striking out about a batter per inning.
Yasmani Grandal, L.A. Dodgers vs. Milwaukee ($3,600)
All 14 of his homers this season have come against RHP, but he hits well from boths ides. The switch-hitter is batting .400 in July and is one of the hottest hitting catchers in the majors.
Salvador Perez, Kansas City at Chicago White Sox ($2,400)
We know Perez is one of the best hitting catchers in the game, and now, it’s just a matter of his salary catching back up to him.
Prince Fielder, Texas vs. San Diego ($3,400)
Fielder has more multi-hit games this season than any other hitter in the majors (37), and he leads the Rangers with a .389 batting average against right-handed pitchers. RHP Scott Feldman (knee) is returning from the disabled list to start Saturday for the Astros, but I’ll take the Rangers against him.
Justin Bour, Miami at Philadelphia ($2,900)
With Giancarlo Stanton sidelined, Bour is the Marlins’ top slugger against right-handed pitchers, and RHP Chad Billingsley has a 7.31 ERA in three games at home this season.
Jason Kipnis, Cleveland at Cincinnati ($4,000)
I don’t mind dropping some cash on a second baseman today, especially Kipnis, who leads the Indians with 123 total bases against right-handers this year, batting .357. He’s in a great hitter’s park, facing RHP Anthony DeSclafani.
Jedd Gyorko, San Diego at Texas ($2,200)
Not great against lefties, but he’s batting .300 this July and finally showing signs of life!
Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay at Toronto ($2,900)
Normally, I don’t look at BvP stats, but I do like to see how hitters do against specific knuckleball pitchers, and Longoria has a respectable .364 on-base percentage against Dickey in 37 career at-bats.
Mike Moustakas, Kansas City ($2,300)
He’s batting close to .300 this season, but his rough July (.133) has his salary way down low. I like him against the lefty Jose Quintana in hitter-friendly U.S. Cellular Field at this price on a day when expensive third basemen are troublesome.
Jhonny Peralta, St. Louis vs. N.Y. Mets ($3,100)
No other shortstop has a better batting average against right-handers, and he’ll be facing Bartolo Colon, who has been very inconsistent this season.
Brandon Crawford, San Francisco vs. Philadelphia ($3,000)
He’s having a really good season, and now he gets a mediocre right-handed pitcher in Chase Anderson in hitter-friendly Arizona. Crawford has nine homers and 38 RBI against RHP, most in the majors for shortstops.
After struggling the first couple months, Yelich is starting to come around again (batting .351 in July, with two stolen bases) and he’ll be going up against RHP Billingsley.
Mitch Moreland, Texas at Houston ($3,300)
Moreland lines up as an outfielder on FanDuel, and he leads the Rangers with 14 HR and 39 RBI against right-handers this season.
Matt Kemp, San Diego vs. Colorado ($3,200)
With seven of his eight home runs coming against righties, he’s a solid play against Rockies RHP Chad Bettis. Kemp also has 7 HR/21 RBI in 37 games since June 1, compared to 1 HR/26 RBI in 49 games to start the season.
Leonys Martin, Texas at Houston ($2,200)
As I mentioned, I really like a Rangers stack against Feldman, and if Martin gets the start, he has a chance to rebound from a bad first half against a RHP. Check their lineup, though!
Good luck with your Daily Fantasy Baseball picks for Saturday, July 18!
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