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The non-waiver trade deadline is this Friday, but big names are already on the move. The Royals acquired the ace they desperately needed in Johnny Cueto and surprisingly, Toronto traded for Troy Tulowitzki.

There is a new king in Kansas City and he goes by the name of Johnny Cueto. The Royals time to rule is now and their atrocious rotation was rescued by this acquisition. If any team knows the value of an ace pitcher in the postseason it’s Kansas City, as last October they were Bumgarnered.

Rebooting the Reds, with this team in rebuild mode the trading for a trifecta of left-handed pitchers seemed the prudent course of action. The prize piece here was Brandon Finnegan, the 17th overall pick of last June’s Amateur Draft, but John Lamb could be the under the radar guy in this deal.

I have surveyed the landscapes of the current starting pitcher market and focused my reconnaissance on pitchers who have under performed compared to their preseason expectations and perceptions.

Without further ado, let’s get down to business with my Starting Pitcher Rankings … trade deadline edition!

Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves

2015 Statistics

  • 20 GS
  • 120.1 IP
  •  6-5
  •  4.49 ERA
  • 4.37 FIP
  • 4.01 xFIP
  •  20.1 K%
  • 11.2 K-BB%
  • 13.6 HR/FB%

My preseason ranking of Teheran as a Top 20 starting pitcher was just a bit outside, but the month of July has once again showcased his skills.

July 3 – July 22

  • 4 GS
  • 25.2 IP
  • 1-1
  • 2.81 ERA
  • 3.30 FIP
  • 3.43 xFIP
  • 26.9 K%
  • 15.4 K-BB%
  • 9.5 HR/FB%

Teheran’s Splits

2015 Home

  • 64.2 IP
  • 2.37 ERA
  • 2.97 FIP
  • 3.50 xFIP
  • 23.6 K%
  • 15.4 K-BB%
  • 5.8 HR/FB%

2014 Home

  • 111.0 IP
  • 2.11 ERA
  • 3.43 FIP
  • 3.63 xFIP
  • 21.6 K%
  • 15.9 K-BB%
  • 8.2 HR/FB%

2013 Home

  • 97.2 IP
  • 3.04 ERA
  • 3.11 FIP
  • 3.27 xFIP
  • 25.7 K%
  • 20.2 K-BB%
  • 9.3 HR/FB%

Versus

2015 Away

  • 55.2 IP
  • 6.95 ERA
  • 5.99 FIP
  • 4.62 xFIP
  • 16.5 K%
  • 7.1 K-BB%
  • 19.7 HR/FB%

2014 Away

  • 110.0 IP
  • 3.68 ERA
  • 3.55 FIP
  • 3.81 xFIP
  • 20.5 K%
  • 14.7 K-BB%
  • 7.9 HR/FB%

2013 Away

  • 88.0 IP
  • 3.38 ERA
  • 4.34 FIP
  • 4.29 xFIP
  • 17.9 K%
  • 11.7 K-BB%
  • 10.8 HR/FB%

 

Garrett Richards, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

2015 Statistics

  • 18 GS
  • 116.1
  • 10-7
  • 3.25 ERA
  • 3.64 FIP
  • 3.88 xFIP
  • 18.3 K%
  • 10.2 K-BB%
  • 53.2 GB%
  • 8.7 HR/FB%
  • 73.8 LOB%

Why is this pitcher on this list? It is more perception then reality and since his blowup in the Bronx, Richards has rebounded nicely. Garrett has delivered results throughout the 2015 campaign but without last seasons dominance.

June 11 – July 23

  • 8 GS
  • 57.2 IP
  • 2.34 ERA
  • 3.26 FIP
  • 3.45
  • 17.6 K%
  • 11.9 K-BB%
  • 51.8 GB%
  • 8.9 HR/FB%
  • 80.9 LOB%

 

James Shields, San Diego Padres

2015 Statistics

  • 21 GS
  • 1262 IP
  • 8-3
  • 3.77 ERA
  • 4.12 FIP
  • 3.31 xFIP
  • 26.9 K%
  • 18.1 K-BB%
  • 45.2 GB
  • 17.9 HR/FB%

Big Game James is on the move? The Padres pitching prize in free agency is reportedly being shopped and seems destined to be jettisoned out of San Diego. Shields is always an arm I look to acquire for the second half; veteran arms are valuable come the dog days of August and into September.

2nd Half Surge?

July 1 – July 22, 2015

  • 5 GS
  • 29.0 IP
  • 1-1
  • 2.17 ERA
  • 4.69 FIP
  • 4.00 xFIP
  • 23.1 K%
  • 9.9 K-BB%
  • 54.1 GB%
  • 17.4 HR/FB%
  • 92.6 LOB%

July 1 – September 25, 2014

  • 17 GS
  • 115.1 IP
  • 6-5
  • 2.65 ERA
  • 3.05 FIP
  • 3.42 xFIP
  • 20.1 K%
  • 15.8 K-BB%
  • 44.6 GB%
  • 6.7 HR/FB%
  • 77.9 LOB%

Pitch Data
2014

  • FB% 41.4 (92.4)
  • CT% 24.2 (86.7)
  • CB% 12.5 (79.6)
  • CH% 21.9 (85.3)

2015

  • FB% 39.4 (91.3)
  • CT% 19.9 (86.2)
  • CB% 20.3 (78.8)
  • CH% 20.4 (84.6)

 

Jeff Samardzija, Chicago White Sox

2015 Statistics

  • 20 GS
  • 140.1 IP
  • 7-5
  • 3.91 ERA
  • 3.53 FIP
  • 3.86 xFIP
  • 18.7 K%
  • 14.2 K-BB%
  • 40.7 GB%

There are three statistics that highlight Samardzija’s struggles in 2015; K%, K-BB% and GB%. The White Sox will surely deal this impending free agent, but where will he land? Entering this season the Shark was a highly sought after commodity in the Fantasy community and someone I’m targeting in trades where applicable.

2015

  • 18.7 K%
  • 14.2 K-BB%
  • 40.7 GB%

2014

  • 23.0 K%
  • 18.1 K-BB%
  • 50.2 GB%

2013

  • 23.4 K%
  • 14.9 K-BB%
  • 48.2 GB%

 

Jon Lester, Chicago Cubs

2015 Statistics

  • 20 GS
  • 124.2 IP
  • 3.32 ERA
  • 2.99 FIP
  • 3.10 xFIP
  • 23.6 K%
  • 17.6 K-BB%
  • 48.9 GB%

The Cubs made a splash signing Lester in free agency and he has pitched well, but not up to the high exceptions many had with his move to the National League. He is the ace of their rotation in name only and Jake Arrieta has usurped that role from him. I’m buying Big Jon for the remainder of the season and as with James Shields, now is time one procures veteran talented starting pitchers.

July 5 – September 24, 2014 (second half)

  • 15 GS
  • 105.2 IP
  • 7-4
  • 1.96 ERA
  • 2.73 FIP
  • 2.95 xFIP
  • 25.1 K%
  • 20.6 K-BB%
  • 45.1 GB%

 

Here is this week’s Top 50 Starting Pitchers rankings. Visit ctmbaseball.com home of the “Starting Pitcher Index.”

July 28 2015

  1. Clayton Kershaw
  2. Chris Sale
  3. Max Scherzer
  4. Zack Greinke
  5. Felix Hernandez
  6. Jacob DeGrom
  7. Gerrit Cole
  8. Chris Archer
  9. Corey Kluber
  10. David Price
  11. Johnny Cueto
  12. Madison Bumgarner
  13. Cole Hamels
  14. Matt Harvey
  15. Jake Arrieta
  16. Sonny Gray
  17. Dallas Keuchel
  18. Francisco Lirirano
  19. Jose Fernandez
  20. Carlos Martinez
  21. Carlos Carrasco
  22. Lance Lynn
  23. Jon Lester
  24. James Shields
  25. Jordan Zimmermann
  26. Michael Wacha
  27. Garrett Richards
  28. Michael Pineda
  29. Jeff Samardzija
  30. Noah Syndergaard
  31. Jason Hammel
  32. Danny Salazar
  33. AJ Burnett
  34. Shelby Miller
  35. Tyson Ross
  36. Gio Gonzalez
  37. Lance McCullers
  38. Scott Kazmir
  39. Masahiro Tanaka
  40. Julio Teheran
  41. Andrew Cashner
  42. John Lackey
  43. Jose Quintana
  44. Hisashi Iwakuma
  45. Chris Heston
  46. Hector Santiago
  47. Anibal Sanchez
  48. Patrick Corbin
  49. Andrew Heaney
  50. Joe Ross

Which players do you think we should move up — or down — in these Starting Pitcher Rankings?

Best of luck in the confidence game that is starting pitching.

Follow Matt!

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