For the most part, BABIP (batting average on balls in play) is a good indicator of whether or not a hitter (or pitcher) has been abnormally lucky or unlucky in a given season.
Boston RHP Rick Porcello’s .319 BABIP allowed is the fifth-highest mark since 2012, with Ivan Nova (.326) leading the way as the unluckiest pitcher in that span.
Porcello’s high number is partially due to the atrocious defense played in Detroit, allowing more balls to find safe ground because of their limited range.
His move to Boston should help that number drop considerably, as only Xander Bogaerts can be considered below average defensively (and he has plenty of time to improve in his career).
Porcello is a groundball pitcher that steps into Fenway Park as their new ace. I honestly expect him to struggle with that initially, but I like him as a midseason trade target, as this team gels together.
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