For this week’s stock report we need to take a look at the overall running back landscape. Of the Top 10 scoring running backs by normal Points Per Reception scoring, there is only one outlier. That is why the LeVeon Bell/James Conner situation is the most influential stock report possible.
Bell was taken in the Top 3 picks in almost every regular-roster redraft league this year, if not number one overall. Once it was seen that he would miss at least the first game, James Conner was the most picked up player and at the fastest rate.
Here we are at the Week 11 stock report and LeVeon still did not report meaning he cannot play football for the Pittsburgh Steelers this season. This also means that the ever-impending doom to James Conner’s Fantasy Value has now dissipated.
So what you have is a guy drafted in no standard roster/scoring leagues that is the third-highest scoring back in the league. Meanwhile, the guy drafted in the Top 3 will end the season with zero Fantasy Points.
I do not have to be a Fantasy Historian to know that this is the biggest swing in the history of the game. There have been top players get hurt early (David Johnson last year, Adrian Peterson a few years back) but never this high of a player to never play a snap. Combine that with an undrafted player being one of the three highest scorers at his position, and you have the most volatile stock report possible.
Changes in Free Agents
While this obviously needs to lead the stock report, I think it should be the cautionary tale for leagues everywhere as far as the add/drop process. I’ve always been a fan of the “first come, first serve” free agent pickup once waivers ran. However, I have now seen how much this can skew an entire league and season.
You see I was in a work situation when the Bell news came out before Week 1. I had all of the notifications on my phone, but my phone was not on me. Therefore by the time I was able to see everything, Conner was gone in every one of my nearly 20 leagues. In almost every league, the person who picked Conner up is in prime position for the playoffs.
So while Conner is the biggest riser in the stock report for the season, yet alone this week, I think we need to re-evaluate waivers to an every day process.
Week 11 Stock Report
Other Players on the Rise
Mitchell Trubisky, QB, Chicago Bears
Outside of the weird Buffalo blowout where his defense did the scoring for him, Trubisky has averaged over 32 Fantasy Points per game. He has multiple touchdowns in each of those games and just three interceptions total over that time frame. Trubisky is now a must-start at the position.
Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 11, 2018
With Hue Jackson and Todd Haley gone, Chubb has been unleashed. He absolutely destroyed the Falcons’ defense last week, punctuated by his record-breaking 92-yard touchdown run. Since becoming the starter, Chubb is getting nearly 20 carries per game, and averaging over 100 yards a game on the ground. He also caught three passes last week, a part of his game that could turn him into an elite option.
Player A : 131 rushes, 586 yards, 5 touchdowns, 4.5 yards per carry
Player B : 94 rushes, 579 yards, 5 touchdowns, 6.2 yards per carry
Both are rookie running backs. Player A is Saquon Barkley. Player B is Nick Chubb.
Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers
Jones is another back that a lot of us Fantasy analysts have been pining to get more carries. He now has at least 12 touts in his last three games and has produced 306 rushing yards with three scores. He also has multiple receptions in each outing, showing that he has the consistency needed to be a weekly stalwart in your lineup.
Rashaad Penny, RB, Seattle Seahawks
Penny was definitely on the opposite side of the stock report at the beginning of the year. After being drafted in the First Round last Spring, Penny seemed like he would be the Seahawks’ workhorse. That never came to fruition and he has had a lackluster rookie season. However, he was finally given more than 10 carries for the first time last week and he produced 108 yards and a touchdown. With Seattle running the ball more than any other team in the league, Penny could have finally found his role.
Robert Woods, Bradin Cooks and Josh Reynolds, WR’s, Los Angeles Rams
In the games that Cooper Kupp played the majority of the time, Jared Goff had 250 pass attempts. Fifty-five of those attempts were directed at Kupp. That’s a 22% targetshare that is now up for grabs in the league’s third-highest scoring and most prolific offense. Kupp also was leading the team with six touchdown receptions. All three of these guys will see bumps, as per who will have the most bump each game is anyone’s guess.
Anthony Miller, WR, Chicago Bears
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 11, 2018
Coming out of college, Miller was my favorite receiver in the draft. I thought his route running and explosiveness would translate well. After starting slowly, the rookie has picked up the pace. He has five receptions in back to back games, including his first 100-yard effort last week against the Lions. He has three touchdowns in his last five games, and four overall in just 24 receptions. Trubisky is looking his way in the Red Zone and they seemed to have a solid connection now.
Eric Ebron, TE, Indianapolis Colts
After his 3-touchdown effort last week, Ebron is now tied with Antonio Brown for the most touchdowns of any non-running back. He has scored in all but two games this season. Ebron has at least three catches in every game this season. He is quietly having an elite season at the otherwise downtrodden position.
Alex Smith, QB, Washington Redskins
Some pundits thought Smith would have a similar season to last year. Those guys were flat out wrong. The former number one overall pick has not had more than three touchdowns in a game this season, and just once has thrown for 300 yards. Smith has exactly 178 yards passing in three of the last four games. He has not had more than a single touchdown in over a month. He is not usable in single-quarterback leagues.
T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars
With Leonard Fournette’s return, Yeldon has been relegated to pass-catching status. While he may have a game or two where his receiving is worth a start, I am not banking on him to be a consistent presence.
Michael Crabtree, WR, Baltimore Ravens
Crabtree has been nothing but disappointing this season. He has just two scores in nine games and has yet to have 94 yards in a single outing. On top of that, Lamar Jackson is probably starting this weekend. Jackson is more of an on-the-move type passer, meaning Crabtree’s timing routes will be less utilized. Willie Snead and John Brown will see more targets.
Cole Beasley, WR, Dallas Cowboys
With the arrival of Amari Cooper, Beasley has taken a back seat. After catching 16 passes in the two games before the bye week, Beasley has just 53 yards in the two games since with Cooper in the fold. He is nothing more than an outlet on most plays and is not Fantasy relevant.
Dez Bryant, WR, New Orleans Saints
Lastly, I have to mention my boy Dez. After leading this post last week Dez tore his Achilles just minutes after it was posted. I truly feel bad for the dude. Hopefully he can overcome and make a comeback next season.
- Early Look Ahead to the 2019 Fantasy Football Season - December 31, 2018
- Week 14 DFS Strategy: Deciphering the New Starting Running Landscape - December 9, 2018
- Week 13 DFS Strategy : The Quest For 170 Points And A Win - December 1, 2018