Playoff pictures, real or fantastical, get clearer now that the NFL season is a couple of games into its second half. Moreover, players’ roles grow more concrete, often complicating the Fantasy Football waiver wire. But fear not, for several injuries and unexpected performances affect the Week 11 Waiver Wire report.
The Denver Broncos anounced that Brock Osweiler will start this Sunday in place of the ailing Peyon Manning. There is more on this later, but Osweiler is at least worth a stash in two-QB leagues if you’re a non-Manning owner. Another QB, Sam Bradford, went down in Week 11, but his replacement is Mark Sanchez who is unappealing. With that said, there’s another shaky QB pick below.
Unfortunately, there’s so little on the Week 11 waiver wire for running backs that nobody under 30 percent owned in ESPN leagues pique my interest. The few RBs at that low ownership thshold are RBs in backfield committees that have uncertain niches or playing time.
Week 11 is the last week of byes. The four teams without a game this week are the Cleveland Browns, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants and Pittsburgh Steelers. That’s a loss mostly because the Browns and Saints are poor defenses and the offenses against those teams benefit when they are on the field. Regardless, the following picks have decent matchups and are owned in less than 30 percent of ESPN leagues.
When making your Week 11 waiver wire adds, be sure to peruse the Fantasy Football: Strength of Schedule Comparison Tool and planning for the 2015 Fantasy Football Playoffs. Put your knowledge to use to make intelligent additions without overspending FAAB.
Week 11 Waiver Wire Targets
Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets at Houston Texans (28 percent owned)
Fitzpatrick did not perform well in Week 10, completing 15-0f-34 passes for just 193 yards, two TDs and two INTs. He’s nursing his non-throwing hand thumb that just underwent surgery on November 13, so he’s no guarantee to start at Houston. The Texans have not been among league-leading defenses against QBs as they’ve allowed an average of 18.4 Fantasy points per game to QBs.
If Fitzpatrick starts, he’s an average QB2 or substitute for your QB on a bye. However, it’s possible that Fitzpatrick’s backup, Geno Smith (1 percent owned), will see more action and is a better Week 11 waiver wire add in deep two-QB leagues.
Brian Hoyer, Houston Texans vs. New York Jets (18 percent owned)
The Jets won’t be an easy matchup if Hoyer plays Sunday as he’s coming off a tough outing. In the third quarter of the Monday Night Football game, Hoyer exited with a concussion. Before leaving the game, Hoyer went 12-of-22 for 123 yards and one INT. Since Hoyer has one less day of rest this week, getting cleared to play is a challenge, as is the Jets’ defense.
While giving up 15.4 Fantasy points per game to QBs, the Jets defense has picked off 10 passes, allowed 15 passing TDs and recorded 21 sacks. Hoyer is a deep-league QB2 option who scored 17 or more Fantasy points in Weeks 4 through 8.
— Texans Report (@texans_fanly) November 17, 2015
Blaine Gabbert, San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (2 percent owned)
Here’s one of two last-resort Week 11 waiver wire QB picks. Only reach for Gabbert if you have a void in a deep two-QB situation. His draw against the Seahawks in Seattle this Sunday is not favorable despite the Legion of Boom’s poor showing in Week 10.
Brock Osweiler, Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears (0 percent owned)
Osweiler is the second last-resort QB pick off the waiver wire, and is a better play than Gabbert. Watching Peyton Manning crumble in the twilight of his career is disheartening, but it presents Osweiler with a fresh opportunity. Osweiler will start at Soldier Field against the Chicago Bears in Week 11. The Bears have only five INTs to 17 TDs allowed against QBs. Expect Osweiler to deliver mid-tier QB2 value with a much higher ceiling than Gabbert.
Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers (27 percent owned)
It’s been a wretched season for the Seahawks’ offense, but they scored 32 points against the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday, and Baldwin played a big part catching 7-of-10 targets for 134 yards and a TD. His upside makes him a nice depth add off the Week 11 waiver wire, especially since the Seahawks host the 49ers this Sunday. The 49ers have allowed WRs to score 26.4 Fantasy points per game, sixth worst in the league. You could do worse than Baldwin as a WR4 or deep-league FLEX.
Danny Amendola, New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills (22 percent owned)
Julian Edelman’s broken foot means more playing time for Amendola, who caught 10-of-11 passes for 79 yards in Week 10 (he also had 155 return yards). A Week 11 waiver wire suggestion, Amendola appeared on this list three weeks ago, but now he’ll most certainly surpass the 30 percent owned criterion now. Add him everywhere since Edeleman is likely done for the regular season.
Leonard Hankerson, Atlanta Falcons vs. Indianapolis Colts (12 percent owned)
Aiming to return from a hamstring injury this Sunday, Hankerson participated in limited practice on Monday, November 16. QB Matt Ryan has targeted Hankerson at least four times in every game, except the one during which Hankerson got hurt and took only eight snaps. The Falcons host the Indianapolis Colts this Sunday, which is good news if Hankerson can play. The Colts are third worst in the NFL against WR, allowing 27.4 Fantasy points per game. Off the Week 11 waiver wire, Hankerson has WR2 upside, but a low floor, too. His value increases in PPR leagues.
Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Redskins (11 percent owned)
QB Cam Newton does not target enough to make him a reliable Fantasy performer. Funchess has four or more targets in just four games, and he’s received 40 or more yards just twice. However, the Panthers’ Week 11 opponent, the Redskins, have not fared well against WRs in 2015. The Redskins have surrendered 13 TDs and 25.1 Fantasy points per game to WRs.
Jacob Tamme, Atlanta Falcons vs. Indianapolis Colts (22 percent owned)
With no certainty that teammate Hankerson will return from his hamstring injury, Tamme still carries value. In three of his last five games, Tamme’s earned 10 or more targets, hauling in at least six each time. Hankerson’s absence is Tamme’s window of opportunity. Fantasy owners in need of TE help can consider Tamme a low-floor, high-ceiling play in Week 11 against the Indianapolis Colts.
Crockett Gillmore, Baltimore Ravens vs. St. Louis Rams (11 percent owned)
Since Week 6, Gillmore has at least four targets in every game, and he’s been targeted in the red zone in his last three games. He turned two of those targets into TDs. Gillmore’s value depends heavily on the TD, plus this week the Ravens host the St. Louis Rams, a defense that’s allowed only three TDs and eight Fantasy points per game against TEs. Gillmore is an average TE2 off the Week 11 waiver wire, but gets a better matchup in Week 12 against the Cleveland Browns.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles (11 percent owned)
In Philadelphia this week, the Buccaneers need shut down the Eagles’ run game that’s scored 10 TDs. So far, the Buccaneers have been above average at stopping the run, allowing just 909 rushing yards and five rushing TDs. With nine recovered fumbles this year, the Buccaneers are sure to attack RB DeMarco Murray, who has yet to lose a fumble in 2015. If you need a streaming D/ST because of a bye week, the Buccaneers suit your needs.
That covers it for the Week 11 waiver wire report. Again, let’s all be joyous that this is the last the week of byes! Plus, be a part of the discussion(s) on Twitter.
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