Welcome to the Week 12 version of Daily Fantasy Football D/ST Value Plays. The NFL and Fantasy are anything but predictable; however, at this point in the season you have seen enough of a sample size between players and teams that you should feel more confident about your Daily Fantasy Football picks. Let’s take a look back at Thursday’s slate as a prime example.
Thursday’s games kicked off with the Lions vs. Eagles. The Eagles were coming off a 45-17 loss to the Buccaneers and have struggled mightily of late. Their offense has also sputtered and head coach Chip Kelly is on the hot seat. With all this information at our disposal, what should have happened did happen. Lions’ QB Matthew Stafford threw 337 yards and five TDs. Calvin Johnson recorded eight receptions for 93 yards and three scores. And the Eagles’ offense continued to struggle – scoring just 14 points.
The Panthers vs. Cowboys game was also reflective of the season. The Panthers’ defense destroyed the Cowboys stagnant offense and cruised to a 33-14 win.
The Bears vs. Packers was a bit of a shocker … or was it? The Packers’ offense continues to underwhelm as they have yet to hit any stride. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been playing near the level he’s capable of, as the Packers had lost three out of their last four games coming into Thursday. As a result, they struggled at home against a porous Bears’ defense and lost 17-13.
Thursday night’s games highlighted my point this week. Don’t try and be too cute. Go with what you know this late in the season. Sure, you’ll miss a big game from players like Dez Bryant, but there is no point in throwing darts at a player that just isn’t producing. When selecting your Daily Fantasy Football lineups, stick with what you know as your core plays. Looking at Week 12, let’s check out some Daily Fantasy Football D/ST value plays that are sure to produce.
3 DFS Value Plays at D/ST
Cincinnati Bengals vs. St. Louis Rams ($4,800)
The Rams are really bad offensively. It doesn’t matter who starts at QB between Nick Foles and Case Keenum, the Rams are a mess. With Todd Gurley posing as their only offensive threat, the Bengals – who have been strong against the run of late – should have no problem shutting down a lethargic Rams’ offense at home. A handful of turnovers and sacks is a mortal lock for the Bengals’ D/ST this week.
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens ($4,600)
The Browns have been far from good. In fact, they have been downright bad for the better part of the 2015 season. So why am I so optimistic? The Ravens have now lost all of their offensive weapons. Quarterback Joe Flacco and running back Justin Forsett both experienced season-ending injuries last Sunday and joined wide receiver Steve Smith on injured-reserve. The Ravens are now forced to turn to QB Matt Schaub for this Sunday’s game in Cleveland. At 34 years old, Schaub hasn’t played in a meaningful game since 2013, where he was far from effective. If you’re a betting man – which I happen to be – put your money on the Browns D/ST in Week 12.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts ($4,300)
The Bucs’ D/ST has been fairly inconsistent on the season; however, over the last two weeks they have recorded six sacks and four interceptions. This week they will be on the road against a Colts’ team that just isn’t the same without QB Andrew Luck. Forty-year-old Matt Hasselbeck will start again for the Colts, but this time without one of their best offensive lineman, Anthony Costanzo. If the Bucs can continue their improved play on defense, this could become another double-digit Fantasy outing.
Good luck in Week 12 and let our Daily Fantasy Football Value Plays help you build that million-dollar lineup. And in the event that you win, we take donations.
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