Last week, I provided some more mixed outcomes with some hits (Chris Ivory and Stevie Johnson) and some misses (DeAndre Hopkins and Julio Jones).
I feel like the strategy I’ve been using (cheap quarterback, backup running backs, elite receivers) is still the right way to go about getting the most value, you just have to hope it is the elite options.
Either way, let’s get down to this week’s value-based draft strategy options.
As usual, these prices and projections are for the FanDuel style of play, but I have thrown in a few DraftKings nuggets as well. The Value Factor (VF) is a quantity of the player’s projected points against the cost to put him on your roster.
Enough about that, let’s get to the Value-Based Drafting Targets.
Value-Based Drafting Targets
Value of the Week : DeAngelo Williams, VF : 4.64
In the games that DeAngelo Williams has fifteen touches for Pittsburgh this season, he is averaging 21.4 points. This week he gets an Indianapolis team that gives up over 115 yards a game on the ground.
I have Williams as my projected top-scoring running back for the week, but he will cost you just $7,200, the 11th most for running backs. If Ben Roethlisberger does not play, then Williams becomes even more of a juicy play.
Cam Newton, VF : 3.60
Matt Hasselbeck, VF : 3.83
Cam has been the most under-rated quarterback in Fantasy Football this season and this week he gets a nice matchup with New Orleans. His price is up there ($9,000), but if you can find value at other positions and want to go elite at quarterback, then Newton is the best option.
Hasselbeck has been pretty consistent as a starter for the Colts with 213 yards or more and two touchdowns in each of his last three games. At just $6,500, he gives you a good inexpensive option should you want to go elite at other spots.
Ryan Fitzpatrick gives the best value at quarterback on DraftKings, costing you only $5,200 and I have him projected as the eighth highest scoring quarterback this week.
Lamar Miller, VF : 4.96
Thomas Rawls, VF : 5.01
Jonathan Stewart, VF : 5.02
David Johnson, VF : 5.03
Miller costs just the 19th most money of all running backs this week and I cannot fathom why. He has had a couple of rough games, but the Jets are really good at stopping opposing running backs, and against the Cowboys, Miami just did not have enough plays to get Miller touches.
David Johnson fills the “backup getting more touches” role this week with both Chris Johnson and Andre Ellington ailing. At a cheap price of just $5,900, Johnson is a strong value play. I have Stewart and Rawls as my No. 3 and 4 scoring backs this week respectively, but they are priced at 10th and 13th, respectively.
On DraftKings, Johnson is an even better option at just $3,400, while Shaun Draughn is priced at a good value, just $4,000.
Antonio Brown, VF : 4.93
Larry Fitzgerald, VF : 4.98
Danny Amendola, VF : 5.01
Brandon LaFell, VF : 5.04
Antonio Brown and Larry Fitzgerald are my elite options at wide receiver this week, as I have Brown projected as the top-scoring wide out (and it is not even close) with Larry Fitzgerald a distant second.
As far as cheaper options go, I love both of the Patriots. With no Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski or Dion Lewis, Tom Brady’s league leading passing yardage has to go somewhere. I love it even more since New England will feel like they got screwed last week and make an example of Philadelphia.
Amendola is probably the value of the week for DraftKings at just $4,700, and Anquan Boldin is another strong value at $4,100.
Greg Olsen, VF : 4.99
Jordan Reed, VF : 5.28
With no Gronk (most likely) this week, Olsen becomes the de facto top tight end. I have him projected as a clear high scorer at the position this week, and his cost has not been inflated too much ($6,400).
Jordan Reed has been as consistent as you get at tight end, as he has at least five catches or a touchdown in every game this season. He has my second most projected score, but is valued at just the seventh most cost.
My All-Value Team
QB: Cam Newton
RB: DeAngelo Williams
RB: Lamar Miller
WR: Antonio Brown
WR: Danny Amendola
WR: Brandon LaFell
TE: Jordan Reed
D/ST: Washington Redskins
K: Chris Boswell
I like pairing my value of the week with Williams and the under-rated Miller. By using both Patriots’ receivers with top-scorer Antonio Brown, I am able to go elite at quarterback with Cam Newton still.
I went with Jordan Reed at tight end because the Cowboys have had some issues covering tight ends recently. I also like the Redskins against Matt Cassel and the check-down offense he will be using in Dallas.
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