So as we dive into the Week 13 Pitching Planner, the playoffs should start to be a consideration for you.
If you are in a keeper/dynasty and you are out of it, start to look ahead! Try and trade Dylan Bundy, and another low-end piece for Aaron Nola!
There is zero shame in really taking a look at your team, and start to build for next year.
If you’re in a redraft, then keep it up.; even if you think you are out of it.
Anything can happen. Injuries this year have amplified that fact this year.
Week 13 Pitching Planner
*This article will be broken down by start’em/sit’em (two-start pitchers) and start’em/sit’em (one-start pitchers)
Jake Arrieta, CHC (RHP) (at WSH, at CIN)
It seems anytime Jake faces a good team, he buckles. He gave up four runs vs. COL, LAD, and STL, and five vs. COL (again), and BOS. This week should be a crazy week for him, as I think he will get tore up against Nats.
The Nats have been excellent, despite Bryce Harper slowing down. They are still ranked as the best offense in the league; they sit first with 422 runs. Arrieta is on pace to shatter his career HRs allowed in a season, as he’s at 13 right now, with 21 his career high (2011).
WSH is fourth in HRs, with 116 so far this year. I would sit him based on this start as Jake has a good record vs. the Reds. Last year, in 46 at-bats he allowed a .086 batting average and only five runs. The Reds did, however, beat him up this year for eight hits, five runs, and one HR. I would sit him this week, if possible.
Mike Fiers, HOU (RHP) (vs OAK, at NYY)
Fiers has been outstanding lately. However, it is about to come to a halt. Oakland’s offense is not okay and should be relatively easy. Despite a very high strikeout rate, they still have 7.33 runs over the last three games. If you can only start him for this game, you should be okay. The Yanks have been killing it again. The Yanks are averaging six runs per game at home, which is tied for first in the MLB. The Yanks are second in at-bats per game, and second in RBI per game this year as well. Sit Fiers and don’t ruin your week this week.
Jeff Hoffman, COL (RHP) (at SF, at ARI)
Let’s keep this short. The D-backs just torched Hoffman for nine runs, after Hoffman had a great run with four QS in a row. The Giants have scored 26 Runs the last five games, and despite only winning one of those games, their bats are starting to spark. Then Hoffman has to head to Chase Field and face the team that just waxed him for nine ERs? This week could be disastrous for Hoffman, and I would stay far away.
Sean Newcomb, ATL (LHP) (at SD, at OAK)
Newcomb is going to be a risky start this week. Newcomb has been one of my favorite rookies so far this year, although I do expect that change at some point. The walk issues will arise at some point. This week Sean faces the Padres and the A’s.
The Padres are ranked last in offense in the majors. Newcomb should be in a position to get his first win of the year. Next, the A’s show up and that is where things get tricky. They have been getting things going by scoring 17 runs over the last four games but also losing three of those four. Oakland also strikes out nine times a game, so this could be a sell high on Newcomb after this week, as he is set up to have an outstanding week. Sean “Duke” Newcomb is my Start of the week!
Alex Cobb, TB (RHP) (at PIT, at BAL)
Cobb almost has his change up back where it used to be, which was his best pitch! This week he has PIT and BAL coming to town! You should not fear either one of those match-ups.
With a 3.15 ERA at home, Pittsburgh is not a daunting task. The last three games, PIT is hitting .158 as a team, and only scoring nine runs in the same time frame. Striking out 61 times in the last seven games, this game should go quickly for Cobb.
After PIT comes BAL, who has been a mixed bag lately. It seems like the Orioles are on the brink of a winning streak, but they have to go through Alex first. BAL is striking out at a rate of nine per game, and have an average of .256 as a team. With BAL losing the last three, I expect this team to come to Tampa and continue their current trend of swing and miss.
Nick Pivetta, PHI (RHP) (at ARI, at NYM)
Nick has three QS in the last four games, one of which includes a zero ER, nine K effort against Boston. It was that game that put him on my radar. With only three walks in the last two games, it won’t be easy for the D-backs or the Mets to get going on him. On top of that, having four pitches will help him get through the lineup a third time, which he was struggling with earlier in the year.
With the D-backs and Mets up this week, it will not be an easy week. The D-backs strikout at a rate of eight per game and the Mets are looking at seven Ks per game as well. As a team, both the Mets and D-backs are hitting under .266. Pivetta has been on a roll as of late, and I expect him to keep it going. Starting Pivetta will be risky this week, but bold moves are what wins a championship.
J.A. Happ, TOR (LHP) (vs. BAL)
Home Runs have been a problem for Happ this year. Happ has surrendered eight HRs in eight games. Baltimore has nailed 106 HRs this year and shows no signs of a power outage with Chris Davis on the DL. The last time BAL went north of the border, they scored 20 runs in the series. Happ gave up two HRs and three ERs in the last games in Toronto. I expect this game to get ugly fast, and predict that Happ won’t make it out of the third inning, as the Orioles need to get going against the worst team in the division.
Aaron Nola, PHI (RHP) (at SEA)
Watch out! The Mariners have woke up, and finally are close to being healthy, and it shows. Seattle has won six straight and scored 53 runs in the last seven games and is hitting .288 as a team. As you guys know, I’m a fan of Nola. However, this week I think you can afford to sit him.
Seattle has the second best offense in the league over the last week and is not looking to slow down. I fully believe in Nola, but this team is too hot, and Nola’s track record against good teams this year is not great. He has given up 13 runs against the Nats (twice), Mets, and D-backs. You should only start Nola if you have an epic staff, or heart.
Tyler Chatwood, COL (RHP) (at ARI)
Chatwood’s last four of five have been QSs. Chatwood has been pretty good away this year, sporting a 2.69 ERA in eight games thus far. However, you need to sit him this week vs. the D-backs. As you know, the D-backs are pretty legit this year and mash at home. Chase field is the best hitter park in the leagues besides Coors. Chatwood faced the D-backs once this year, and it went well for him, as he only gave up one run in seven innings. However, the D-backs have won 9-of-11. The D-backs average six runs a game at home, and I expect it to be a short night for Chatwood.
Clayton Richard, SD (LHP) (vs. LAD)
Richard has not been great this year, but he has been a sneaky good start at times. Richard has had a QS in four of his last six duels and looks to make it three in a row vs. the Dodgers this week. LA has won 14 out of the last 15! However, the Dodgers are hitting LHP at an average of .249, which ranks 17th in the league. Going against the Dodgers twice so far this year; Richard has 10 Ks, five ERs, and eight BB in 13 IP. Look for Richard to slow down the Dodgers and get another QS.
Mike Foltynewicz, ATL (RHP) (at SD)
Folty has been outstanding this month. Take away the WSH start and Folty would have 25 innings of work that looked like three ERs, 27 Ks, and only one HR. Next, Folty has the Padres coming up. The Padres strike out at a clip of nine batters a game. San Diego is also sitting at a league worst 3.59 runs a game. This outing should be easy for Fotly as they have lost the last two completed series.
Masahiro Tanaka, NYY (RHP) (at CWS)
I am not saying that Tanaka is back, but he’s looked good in two of his last three. Heck, even when he got pummeled by Oakland, Tanaka still struck out 10 batters. Tanaka has struck out 27 batters in the last three games and looks to keep it going against the White Sox who are striking out at a rate of eight per game. With the Sox hanging on to a ranking of 20th in runs (4.61 per game), I expect Tanaka to get going early in this game. If Tanaka can keep the mistakes to a minimum, then we could see a repeat of his last start.
- Week 13 Pitching Planner: Over Half Way There - June 25, 2017
- Week 11 Pitching Planner: Before It Is Too Late - June 11, 2017
- Week 10 Pitching Planner: The One Where We Sat Ross - June 4, 2017