Welcome back to the Week 13 Start or Sit. Here we are in the final week of the regular season for most Fantasy leagues. Another season is just about in the books with only a playoff run left to grab that coveted championship in your league. It seems like just a few weeks ago we were excited to have drafted players like C.J. Anderson, Jeremy Hill, Eddie Lacy, Andrew Luck, and so many others that didn’t quite pan out.
Just like every year, some of those sure things are history while players like DeVonta Freeman, Deandre Hopkins, and Derek Carr have emerged. Larry Fitzgerald found one more year of elite status while Andre Johnson proved that he is ready for that 55 year old community in Boca Raton.
This is the beauty of Fantasy Football. Every year there are injuries, surprises, new offensive schemes, and new players to replace the old. It’s always an interesting practice to look back at what you thought at the beginning of the season versus what you’ve learned throughout the year. How many owners would have taken DeVonta Freeman over Eddie Lacy during their draft? Where do you rank these players if you were drafting now?
Anyway, enough with the nostalgia. We’ve got Fantasy Football championships to win! Our Week 13 start or sit column is ready for your review and will hopefully help get you that final win on your way to the playoffs.
Feel free to use this information in your Daily Fantasy Football contests over at FanPicks as well. For those whose teams may not have playoffs in their future, the daily game becomes that much more interesting. You still have Fantasy life in the daily world, so all is not lost! Here are the Fanpicks.com roster of Daily Fantasy Football picks for week 13.
Week 13 Start or Sit
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Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers
Cutler may have cooled a little over the last couple weeks, but weather issues in Week 12 and Denver’s excellent secondary in Week 11 helps us understand why. This week he has a much nicer looking matchup at home against the 49ers. He might even get overlooked on daily sites after his quiet outings, so is worth considering, particularly in tournaments.
The 49ers have not been great against the pass all season, and they look even more vulnerable when playing away from Levi’s Stadium. Looking at the 49ers road tilts, they’ve allowed 369, 311, 441, and 191 yards passing to opposing QBs. The 191 was against St. Louis and a non-existent passing game, so consider it an outlier. You know what’s cool? The Bears will be playing this game at Soldier Field.
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianopolis Colts
Big Ben has been on fire since coming back from his knee sprain, throwing for 334, 379, and 456 yards in his three complete games. Oh, and that 456 was against the Seahawks. Playing the Colts at home looks like a plus matchup for a QB that has a bevy of weapons to choose from and a below average defense to exploit.
The concern here is that Roethlisberger is currently in the league’s concussion protocol and is not guaranteed to start Sunday. Early news on his head is good, however, as he was cleared to practice on Wednesday. If he’s able to go, consider Ben a Top 5 QB this week and a must start.
Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
So what’s wrong with Matt Ryan? https://t.co/SCiSSCpdpn
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) December 3, 2015
The Bucs are a middle of the pack defense when it comes to quarterback scoring in the Fantasy game. However, it’s not Tampa Bay’s defense that scares me, its Matt Ryan. While widely considered a QB1, he’s thrown for three TDs just once on the season, and that’s with Julio Jones catching balls. He’s currently somewhere around the 17th ranked QB, depending on your specific scoring system and has now thrown five picks in the last two games. You still have to start him in a 2QB league, but if you can pick up Derek Carr, Matthew Stafford, or Jay Cutler over him, it’s worth it in a standard 12-team league.
Fitzmagic is somehow continuing to work in New York. Ryan Fitzpatrick will try to pull another rabbit out of his helmet when he faces the crosstown rival Giants and the pass defense allowing the second most points to QBs. If you own Tom Brady, prepare for a big week against Cleveland. If you are playing against Brady, all I can say is good luck. It’s Philip Rivers’ turn to run the gauntlet against Denver. Anything over 240 yards passing and one TD this week is overachieving for the Rivers.
Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints
The last time Stewart had less than 20 carries in a game was in Week 4. Since then, volume has put Stewart firmly into RB2 territory. The run heavy Panthers get to tee off on the Saints this week. Expect another 20-plus carries for Stewart while Carolina controls the game by keeping it away from the Saints offense. I fully expect to see the Panthers ripping off eight yard runs routinely by the fourth quarter in this one.
Javorius (Buck) Allen, Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins
We can only hope Buck Allen keeps this up. Proving he’ll stay involved no matter what the game flow thanks to his receiving skills. — Matt Camp (@TheMattCamp) December 1, 2015
I’m surprised that the Ravens haven’t just mailed in a white flag and let everyone go home for the season. They have lost every key skill player they had on the offensive side of the ball. Still, they keep on showing up each week with the next man up. That next man is now Buck Allen and since there are no other real options, this is the guy.
He’s going to be getting the majority of carries and will be a focal part of the offense out of necessity. This week he’ll be racking up carries against a Dolphins team allowing 4.2 yards a carry. Since the Ravens have limited choices, expect Allen to get plenty of carries as Baltimore tries to run the clock out on this season.
Frank Gore, Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers
It’s tough to trust Gore after 14-34 and 19-24 lines the last two weeks. With the Steelers allowing less than 100 yards on the ground per game, things are not looking good for the 32-year-old back. In running back years, Frank is now about 76-years-old and might just be ready to head out to pasture. I would be nervous starting him at all the rest of season, but facing the second toughest run defense for Fantasy RBs seals the deal.
Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Besides one ugly date with the Bengals, the Chiefs have allowed just one, that’s right, one rushing TD on the season. They haven’t let an opposing team’s running backs go over 100 yards in any of the last four games. This defense is not nice to running backs and Murray has an uphill battle to hit 80 yards this week.
Atlanta has dropped into last place in Fantasy points allowed to running backs after letting Adrian Peterson light them up last week. Doug Martin gets his turn this week.
Do I do dare suggest C.J. Anderson is back in the mix as an RB2? His recent performance, the cooling weather, and the QB change in Denver hint that he may be. Going against the second worst run D in Fantasy Football can’t hurt his chances this week.
Brandon LaFell, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles
LaFell’s production the last few weeks irks me as he’s failed to top 70 yards receiving during his last three games. However, facing the league’s worst defense against WRs bodes well for LaFell this week, particularly after struggling through Denver’s secondary last week.
With Rob Gronkowski out for the Pats, Tom Brady is going to have to look for a new BFF and it stands to reason that LaFell should be in line for that title and plenty of targets going forward. Expect a minimum of eight targets this week and hopefully something around 110 and a score with a high enough ceiling for more.
A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns
This is a little bit of a gut call, but I think Green finally racks up over 100 yards receiving this week, something he hasn’t done since Week 8. I’m still no fan of Andy Dalton, but playing against Cleveland, the Bengals QB should be able to hook up with Green enough to break the century mark. The Browns allow the fifth most points to receivers, so it’s no stretch to guess that Green has a good shot at putting up numbers this week.
Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Did you know the Falcons have allowed just three TDs to wide receivers all season? The last one came back in Week 7 against Tennessee and before that you have to go all the way back to Week 4. This defense is morphing with Dan Quinn in charge. While they have room to improve against the run, they have become very stingy against wideouts this year.
Evans should be downgraded significantly against this team and is a borderline WR1/2 this week. You probably still need to start him, but this is one of a few rough matchups ahead for the young receiver. Hope for a surprise but don’t count on it this week.
DeVante Parker finally looks like he’s worth stashing back on your bench after going for 80 yards and a score last week. He might be ready to put up some numbers during your playoff run. He also gets the Ravens and their defense is allowing the fourth most points to receivers.
A Cutler/Alshon Jeffery stack looks appealing in daily formats this week.
Stefon Diggs has now had four dud games in a row after starting out with four impressive outings. He can’t be counted on in the Vikings offense and is a hit or miss option rest of season. Bench him if you have options, including this week against Seattle.
Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks
Rudolph has been on the outside looking in at the TE1 crowd all season and he faces Seattle this week. On the surface this sounds like an avoid, but Seattle’s weakness this season has been to the tight end position as demonstrated by their bottom five rank against the position in Fantasy points allowed.
Historically touchdown dependent, the Vikings have broken tradition and targeted Rudolph with nine and 10 targets the last two weeks. This has resulted in 13 catches for 159 yards and a touchdown combined. Another week with TE1 numbers looks like a possibility for Rudolph here. This matchup says daily tournament play if you don’t want to pay up for Greg Olsen.
Charles Clay, Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans
As the 12th ranked TE on the season, Clay is right on the edge of TE1 territory in standard 12-team leagues. This makes him a borderline start most weeks, but he clearly drops out of starter status this week facing a very hot Houston defense that is particularly tough against the TE. Look elsewhere, including on the waiver wire to find someone better this week.
Greg Olsen has this week’s prime matchup against the Saints. He’s elite week in and week out but this is a special one for the Panther’s best receiver. With a seven game streak of games with over 50 yards receiving, Delanie Walker has moved all the way up to the fifth ranked TE overall. Lean on him with confidence this week against the Jaguars.
New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Rumors are swirling that the Eagles’ players have quit on Chip Kelly and their on-field performance fits this theory over the last few weeks. The Philly offense is in free fall and New England has a competent defensive unit that can take advantage. The Eagles have 21 turnovers on the season, while the Patriots have at least one takeaway in every game. This all suggests that turnovers are ripe for the picking this week in New England.
St. Louis Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Rams have been a solid defense for most of the season but they are facing a juggernaut in the Cardinals that are averaging over 35 points a week. If St. Louis can keep Arizona under 30, they are doing better than most. Add in the ball hawking Cardinals defense on the other side facing an offense without a QB and this sets up for a long day for the Rams defensive unit.
Best of luck with your Fantasy Football teams this week! Hopefully our Week 13 start or sit column helps guide you to victory. Make sure to check out our plethora of other Fantasy Football articles including waiver wire advice, weekly rankings, daily talk, and other life changing information through the links below.
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