I hope everyone had a good Thanksgiving and a winning Fantasy week. We are seeing teams establish themselves as one of the top teams or Wild Card contenders. For the Week 13 Start_Sit, I’ll showcase some players whos Fantasy values have skyrocketed due to their teammates going on IR, the bench, or suffered injuries.
A few players who were placed on IR this week were Andy Dalton (thumb), Jack Doyle (kidney), Jeff Heuerman (ribs/lung), and Marvin Jones Jr. (knee).
Now that Dalton is out, it will affect Tyler Boyd and A.J. Green (when he returns) the most. Eric Ebron is an instant Top 3 TE with Doyle out for the rest of the season. The TE field gets even more scarce with Heuerman out. Emmanuel Sanders, Courtland Sutton, and Phillip Lindsay will see an increased target share. Kenny Golladay and Theo Riddick are the biggest beneficiaries with Marvin Jones Jr. on the IR.
There are no teams on a bye week, but this is either the first round of Fantasy playoffs or the last regular season week.
Week 13 Start_Sit
Dak Prescott vs New Orleans Saints
If you’re looking for a QB that will be a Top 10 option for the rest of the season then look no further than Prescott. Prescott’s remaining games are against the Saints, Eagles, Colts, Buccaneers, and Giants. New Orleans is allowing 286 passing yards per game and that’s good news for Dak. Since Amari Cooper has joined the team, Dak is averaging 252 passing yards and two total touchdowns a game. This Cowboys QB has Top 5 upside this week, especially if they have to come from behind against the Saints.
Kirk Cousins at New England Patriots
It can be nerve-racking starting Cousins every week due to his inconsistencies, but he has major upside in Week 13. New England has struggled to stop the pass in 2018. They are giving up 270 yards through the air and have 22 passing touchdowns against them. Cousins has thrown multiple touchdowns in four of their last five games, too. Don’t be surprised if this game turns into a shootout and Cousins finishes in the Top 5 of QBs.
Phillip Lindsay at Cincinnati Bengals
Denver is still in the Wild Card hunt and Lindsay is prime to have a big week. The undrafted rookie is making a strong case for Offensive Rookie of the Year. He has been on a tear lately, scoring a touchdown in four of his last five games. In Week 13, there isn’t a better matchup for him to have. Since Week 5, six different RBs have had over 100 total yards, nine rushing TDs, and five receiving TDs.
Austin Ekeler at Pittsburgh Steelers
Against the Arizona Cardinals, Melvin Gordon suffered an MCL sprain and he’s out two to four weeks. In Week 12, Ekeler had over 100 scrimmage yards for the first time since Week 1. He will have an expanded role along with Justin Jackson. Ekeler is more appealing in PPR roles due to his pass catching abilities. He caught 10 of 11 targets in Week 12 and he could see similar production this week.
D.J. Moore at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The former Maryland Terrapin is becoming The Panthers number one receiver. Devin Funchess has been battling injuries and with him out, it has skyrocketed Moore’s Fantasy value. He has back-to-back games with more than 90 receiving yards. Their first matchup didn’t go as planned, with D.J. only having a single catch for 16 yards. If Funchess is out again this week, you can be certain Moore will be a Top 20 WR.
Corey Davis vs New York Jets
I’m buying into Davis being a weekly starter after his last few performances. Each week he is a boom-or-bust WR, but he is worth a Flex or WR3 spot this week. In his last four games, Davis has a total of 28 targets. The Jets are allowing the fifth most points to WRs this season. I would start Davis with confidence this week knowing how well Marcus Mariota has been playing.
Eric Ebron at Jacksonville Jaguars
As I stated above, Jack Doyle is out for the season due to a kidney injury. This gives everyone extra incentive to start him. Ebron has 11 touchdown receptions this season and that makes him tied for the league lead. In Weeks 3-7, when Doyle was out, Eric Ebron was TE 4 in Half-PPR formats. During that time he saw 50 targets and had 26 receptions. He is a Top 5 TE for the rest of the season with Doyle now on IR.
David Njoku at Houston Texans
With the TE field as slim as it is, feel free to start Njoku without hesitation. He had one of his best Fantasy games in Week 12 and he has an appealing matchup this week. Houston has allowed TEs to score a touchdown in three straight games. Baker Mayfield has favored Njoku this season and I think this week he could be a Top 10 TE if he gets into the end zone on Sunday.
Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers
This defense will be one of the most popular Waiver Wire additions for Week 13. San Francisco was held to nine points by a below average Tampa Bay defense. In the last five of their six games, Seattle has less than two sacks only once and that was in Week 13. Most people know that Seattle is a different team while at home. It helps that San Francisco this season has given up the fourth most points to defenses.
Los Angeles Rams, @ Detroit Lions
The L.A. Rams could be getting back CB, Aqib Talib, who hasn’t played since Week 3. When Talib was active for the first three weeks, L.A. was the second best defense in Fantasy. Against Minnesota and Chicago in Weeks 9 and 10, Stafford was sacked 16 times. Both those defenses are similar to the Rams and there is a chance for them to have over five sacks and multiple takeaways.
Josh Allen, @ Miami Dolphins
Don’t get fooled by last week’s performance, Allen is still a Fantasy QB who should be left on your bench. He has still failed to throw for over 200 yards since Week 2, but his rushing yards give him a bit more value. On the season, Josh Allen has more interceptions than passing touchdowns on the season and is lacking weapons. I’m not playing Allen this week, even in DFS this week.
Matthew Stafford, vs Los Angeles Rams
I had Stafford on my list last week due to a terrible matchup and he’s on here for the same reason this week. Over the last three games, he has thrown four interceptions and only three touchdown passes. It’s not going to help him since Marvin Jones Jr. is on IR and Golden Tate is in Philadelphia. There is no guarantee that rookie, Kerryon Johnson, will play this week and that drops Stafford’s Fantasy value down lower. It’s a risky play to have Stafford in your starting lineup this week.
Tevin Coleman, vs Baltimore Ravens
Failing to have over 13 carries in the last seven games is cause for concern to start Coleman this week. Atlanta is turning into a pass first offense because they are having to play from behind due to their injury plagued defense. When it comes to this week, it has to be brought to your attention just how good the Ravens run defense is. This season, Baltimore is allowing the second fewest Fantasy points to RB’s. Coleman is better off on your bench in Week 13.
Adrian Peterson, @ Philadelphia Eagles
Four games straight games of below 70 yards rushing and he’s going to have a tough time this week, too. Going forward, it will be tough with Alex Smith out. He is a touchdown dependent RB for the rest of the season. If the future Hall of Famer doesn’t get into the end zone then he falls out of the top 25 RB’s.
Sterling Shepard, vs Chicago Bears
Due to Eli Manning’s lack of protection, it lessens the targets that Shepard will see per game. Not only is he struggling for catches, but he is also struggling for yardage. He hasn’t had more than five catches since Week 4 and has over 37 receiving yards only once over the last six games. Shepard is struggling to establish himself as a consistent WR and I can’t trust him.
Golden Tate, vs Washington Redskins
Another disappointing week for Tate, he keeps decreasing in Fantasy value. He only had four catches for 30 yards. If you’re looking for some additional information on why not to start the former Lion go check out my Week 12 Start_Sit.
Benjamin Watson, @ Dallas Cowboys
A crowded TE depth chart, pushes Watson further down. In the last three games, he was held to a single catch in two games. He is still owned in 49% of Yahoo leagues, but heading into the playoffs he is better off as a free agent. As long as both Josh Hill and Dan Arnold are active, there is no use to starting Ben Watson.
Jimmy Graham, vs Arizona Cardinals
With a broken thumb, an aggravating knee injury, and tough matchup are three good reasons to sit Graham in Week 13. Three straight dreadful weeks and just a disappointing Fantasy season. The last three games, he has FOUR CATCHES and 61 receiving yards. Not to mention, Arizona has allowed one touchdown to a TE since Week 2.
Jacksonville Jaguars, vs Indianapolis Colts
Can you trust Jacksonville as your defense anymore? They just allowed 24 points to the Buffalo Bills. That makes seven straight games of the defense allowing over 20 points. There was breaking news the other day that could affect the Jaguars defense.
Breaking: The Jaguars are benching Blake Bortles and will start Cody Kessler against the Colts. pic.twitter.com/NAZbhVZpqU
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) November 26, 2018
Now that Blake Bortles is on the bench and Leonard Fournette is suspended, it’ll strongly affect that offense. If the offense is ineffective that’ll put the defense on the field for longer.
Dallas Cowboys, vs New Orleans Saints
It is not a smart decision to play any defense facing the Saints. They’re averaging a league-leading 37.2 points per game. Over the four contents, New Orleans is averaging 43.75 points per game. There is too much risky starting the Cowboys this week. You’re better off streaming Indianapolis or Seattle defenses.
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