My weekly Value-Based drafting strategy hit a home run last week, as my All-Value lineup yielded almost 150 points on FanDuel.
Cam Newton led the way with 37, but Antonio Brown was not far behind at nearly 34 points.
Three of the four running backs suggested cleared the 17 point barrier, with just Lamar Miller slacking. If you grab the optimum lineup of the Weekly Value-Based Drafting suggestions, then you hit almost 170 points.
My Patriots’ receiver suggestion yielded just 22 points combined, but for the prices that you could roster Danny Amendola and Brandon LaFell the output was worth it.
I am definitely continuing the back-up running back with elite receiver strategy, and trying to find a cheaper quarterback that might go off this week.
As usual these prices and projections are for the FanDuel style of play, but I have thrown in a few Draft Kings nuggets as well. The Value Factor (VF) is a quantity of the player’s projected points against the cost to put him on your roster.
Value-Based Drafting Targets
Value of the Week : David Johnson, VF : 3.99
With Chris Johnson out for the year and Andre Ellington still hobbled, it will be the David Johnson show again this week. The rookie did not disappoint last week putting up 19 Fantasy points, as he finished just one rushing yard away from the century mark.
I have him Johnson as my top-scoring back this week and he is only the 18th most expensive at just $6,500. His Draft Kings value of just $4,300 makes him even more of a must-own.
Tyrod Taylor, VF : 3.83
Matt Hasselbeck, VF : 3.84
I really liked multiple elite options at wide receiver, so I was happy that there were a couple of lower-cost quarterbacks providing value this week. Taylor gets a Philadelphia defense that has given up 118 points over its last three games.
Hasselbeck is facing Jacksonville, who gives up the second-most points to quarterbacks in the league. At only $6,600, (and the fact that my main season-long team is facing him in the first round of the playoffs) he is sure to provide bang for the buck.
Brock Osweiler is a solid, inexpensive option on Draft Kings, costing you just $5,200 to use this week.
Charcandrick West, VF : 4.61
DeAngelo Williams, VF : 4.77
Shaun Draughn, VF : 4.89
Doug Martin, VF : 4.95
West is questionable, and seen to split time this week with Spencer Ware. However, I am undeterred and neither is the weekly Value-Based Drafting system, as I have him projected as a Top 12 option this week. This is mostly due to the Chargers giving up the 4th-most Fantasy points to running backs, but also because his price is only the 28th most at the position.
Williams proved last week that he is matchup-proof and my projections have him as the third-highest scoring back even against Cincinnati. Shaun Draughn is hoarding all of the touches for a suddenly efficient San Francisco offense with Blaine Gabbert at the helm and Doug Martin gets the juicy matchup against the Saints.
Charles Sims is another sneaky value play on Draft Kings, as the Saints will provide enough points to go around.
Larry Fitzgerald, VF : 4.72
Antonio Brown, VF : 5.12
DeAndre Hopkins, VF : 5.15
Alshon Jeffery, VF : 5.23
Larry Fitzgerald has a lower cost since he has not reached the end zone since November 1st and he has a tough matchup against the Vikings. However, I still have him projected to show off against his hometown team as the 4th-highest receiver this week. With 15 other wideouts priced higher, Fitz is a must-own in Thursday setups.
Brown, Hopkins and Jeffery are the three I have ahead of Fitzgerald, and any of the three are worth the high price this week. One prevalent theme that I will look at in the offseason is how secondary options seem to lose targets when it comes closer to playoff time. Therefore, I want to get the target monsters to assure myself of the opportunities to score.
Stevie Johnson is super cheat on Draft Kings at only $4,600, so if he plays, he will be worth the money.
Greg Olsen, VF : 5.39
Jordan Reed, VF : 5.68
Another week, another recommendation of Olsen and Reed. With still no Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham and a hurt Tyler Eifert, these two are the only true elite options left at the position. As I just said about the lack of targets to secondary receivers, the majority of other tight ends are all secondary options and I would rather get the safety of Olsen or Reed.
My All-Value Team
QB: Matt Hasselbeck
RB: DeAngelo Williams
RB: David Johnson
WR: Antonio Brown
WR: Alshon Jeffery
WR: Larry Fitzgerald
TE: Greg Olsen
D/ST: San Francisco 49ers
K: Mason Crosby
I love being able to get four target hoarders as my receiving options while still managing to roster a couple of RB1s. I really do think Hasselbeck has his biggest game yet as a Colt and will be well worth the cheap price.
Crosby will get field goal chances with the bend-but-don’t-break Cowboys defense. The 49ers’ defense is getting Johnny Manziel, which is always a positive.
So good luck in your season-long league playoffs, and let’s hope that the Weekly Value-Based Drafting system can give us a few more winning weeks!
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- Week 13 DFS Strategy : The Quest For 170 Points And A Win - December 1, 2018