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Week 14 Start_Sit: Welcome to the Fantasy Playoffs

Value-based Drafting

Looking back at Week 13 there were three big storylines. The first one is the video surfacing of Chiefs RB, Kareem Hunt, physically assaulting a female. The second one is the firing of Green Bay Packers Head Coach, Mike McCarthy. The last one is the multiple upsets that occurred in Week 13. All of those storylines will have repercussions not only in the Week 14 Start_Sit article, but for the rest of the regular season.

On Friday, I received an update and it stated Kareem Hunt had been released by the Kansas City Chiefs. It went from bad to worst quickly for this RB. A video had surfaced, Kareem confirmed he lied to the Chiefs, Hunt was placed on the Commissioner Exempt List, now he is facing a six game suspension, and he could be apart of another incident. Only time will tell if this talented young back will ever play in the NFL again.

After an embarrassing upset to the Arizona Cardinals, the Packers mad a shocking coaching change. Green Bay relieved Head Coach, Mike McCarthy, of his duties. There were rumors he could’ve been let go during there Week 7 bye. Since Week 7, they have a 1-5 record and are virtually out of the playoff picture.

I’ll speak for many football fans here, Week 13 was full of unexpected upsets that no one could’ve predicted. Arizona beat Green Bay, the Giants upset the Bears, on Thursday Dallas shocked most fans winning against New Orleans, and the Panthers’ playoff hopes are fading when they fell to the Buccaneers on Sunday.

As we look towards Week 14, it will most likely be the first week of Fantasy Playoffs. Notable big names are out for Week 14 and beyond due to injuries. The names range from A.J. Green, Greg Olsen, Melvin Gordon, and now James Conner is out with an ankle injury.

Best of luck to all of you in your league’s Fantasy playoffs and I hope this Week 14 Start_Sit article helps you all.

Week 14 Start_Sit

Start

Quarterbacks

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Philip Rivers, vs Cincinnati Bengals

Throughout the entire 2018 season, Rivers has thrown for two or more touchdowns per game. In his Week 14 matchup against a pitiful Bengals defense, he has Top 5 upside. Cincinnati is giving up an average of 267 passing yards and two passing touchdowns to opposing QB’s. On the season, Philip has 28 touchdowns to only six interceptions and without RB, Melvin Gordon, he will be relied upon even more.

Dak Prescott, vs Philadelphia Eagles

Consistency has been the biggest benefactor of Prescott’s recent Fantasy success. In five of his last six games, Dak has thrown for 243 or more yards a game. In their first matchup, he threw for 270 yards and had two total touchdowns. Philadelphia is a bottom three team against the pass and allows 276 passing yards a game. He is still available in 44% of leagues, he’s also a sleeper and a potential Waiver Wire addition.

Running Backs

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Lamar Miller, vs Indianapolis Colts

Another 100-yard rushing game for the former Miami Dolphin. In his last six games, he has five games with over 100 total yards and four games with over 100 rushing yards. The Texans are becoming an even workload team due to multiple injuries to their WR’s. In the Week 4 game against the Colts, Lamar Miller had only one more carry than Alfred Blue. With Miller’s hot hand don’t expect that this week, he is a solid RB2 option.

Dalvin Cook, @ Seattle Seahawks

The Vikings are still trying to find their running game, but Cook showed he has upside. He has been sidelined through most of the season with a hamstring injury, but he is starting to look healthy. In Week 13, Dalvin set season highs in rushing yards (84), targets (10), and catches (8). His Fantasy potential is limited due to 10 or fewer carries since Week 1. Cook could have a productive week and is still a viable Flex option.

Wide Receiver

Calvin Ridley, @ Green Bay Packers

 

Don’t look at last week’s game against the Ravens and be discouraged. They have the number one scoring defense and hold offenses to the fewest yards. This is the game that Ridley will get back on track. Green Bay has allowed five different WR’s to go over 125 receiving yards and 12 receivers to have over 70 receiving yards. Calvin is in a prime bounce-back game and could finish inside the top 20 WR’s.

Tight Ends

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Jordan Reed, vs New York Giants

Now that Greg Olsen is out for the season with a foot injury, it is imperative to start any potential scoring TE. Washington has been plagued by injuries and Reed is the best receiving weapon for them. He just saw his lowest targets since Week 8, but he has potential this week. Even with Mark Sanchez under center, I still believe there is some value in him.

David Njoku, vs Carolina Panthers

He is probably having one of the quietest Fantasy seasons. Since Week 4, Njoku has six games with 52 receiving yards or more. In those six games he has a combined 31 catches. Carolina has been one of the worst teams against TE’s this season and that is great news for Njoku this week.

Defenses

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Los Angeles Chargers, vs Cincinnati Bengals

The Chargers will most likely be ranked in the top three or the best defense this week. Over the last eight games, Los Angeles has allowed only two teams to score more than 20 points. In backup, Jeff Driskel’s, first start he was sacked four times, threw an interception, and the team only scored 10 points. There is so much upside with this defense and they are a must start in Week 14.

Tennessee Titans, @ Jacksonville Jaguars

A favorable matchup against a struggling Jaguars team, makes the Titans’ defense a solid start. That offense is a disaster and even though they shut out the Colts last week, they themselves only scored six points. This is the second game between these two AFC South rivals. In the first game, Jacksonville was held to nine points. Tennessee will look to hold their divisional opponent to under 14 points and stay in the Wild Card hunt.

Sit

Quarterbacks

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Derek Carr, vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Trying to catch up to the Chiefs last week made Carr’s numbers better than advertised. He had his second best game of the season, but don’t expect him to do that this week. Prior to Week 13, Carr had two consecutive games with under 200 passing yards. The only way that Carr has some sort of Fantasy relevance is if his team is falling behind and the Raiders need to continuously throw the ball.

Tom Brady, @ Miami Dolphins

Here me out for this one, Brady has been below average when playing at Miami. Since 2013, he has only won a single game in Miami. In that time frame, he throws for an average of 254 yards, a touchdown, and almost an interception a game. New England is starting to hand the ball off inside the five yard line and that cripples Brady’s potential. I would put Brady as a mid QB1, but if history proves correct he could finish outside the top 12.

Running Backs

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Rex Burkhead, @ Miami Dolphins

I’m not sure if I see any Fantasy relevance in Burkhead. He is behind both Sony Michel and James White on the depth chart. Michel will handle the most carries, White will be the primary pass catcher, and that leaves Burkhead as the cleanup back. Week 13 was his first game back since being place on IR and he had a total of nine touches. Unless Rex gets double digit touches or either Michel or White go down, I don’t see a reason for having him on your team.

Isaiah Crowell, @ Buffalo Bills

Low key, the Buffalo Bills have a solid defense and Crowell has been nothing, but a bust this season. Over his last seven games, he has reached the endzone only once. On top of that, he has surpassed 49 rushing yards just one time, too. For some reason Crowell is still owned in 74% of Yahoo leagues. The former Cleveland Brown is better of on your bench or as an available player going forward.

Wide Receivers

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Tre’Quan Smith, @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Last week, the Saints and Smith both laid eggs. New Orleans was upset by the Cowboys and Smith only saw one target. If you disregard his Week 11 breakout game, on the season he would have 12 catches. Each week it becomes more evident that he is moving further down Brees’s  go to receiving list. This week, I would put Smith as a WR5 and maybe a DFS play.

Courtland Sutton, vs San Francisco 49ers

The downfall of Sutton has been the insufficient, Case Keenum. Many people thought that the trade of Demaryius Thomas would increase Sutton’s ceiling, but it has actually not moved at all. Throughout the season, he hasn’t had a game with more than four receptions. Three straight games of under 206 passing yards for Keenum, hasn’t helped Sutton’s Fantasy value. It’s difficult to trust Sutton as a capable Fantasy starter.

Tight Ends

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Evan Engram, @ Washington Redskins

Maybe the fourth option now for the Giants, Engram is showing more reasons to be on your bench this week. One of the main reasons for Engram’s poor Fantasy season is his consistent battle with injuries. He has missed the last two games due to hamstring problems. Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham Jr., and Sterling Shepard are all above Engram on the receiving depth chart. If this sophomore TE is able to go, he could still be less than 100% and is a risky play for Week 14.

Trey Burton, vs Los Angeles Rams

Six straight weeks of disappointment for Burton. I’m not sure if it is role in the offense or if there are too many weapons in that Chicago offense. During those six weeks, he has only a single touchdown and has 40 or less receiving yards. That isn’t what you want from someone you drafted to be your starting TE. If Chase Daniels is under center for Chicago again, it will force Burton to be on your bench this week.

Defenses

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Baltimore Ravens, @ Kansas City Chiefs

Even as an elite defense, can you be confident starting Baltimore’s defense in Week 14? Kansas City is averaging 35.5 points per game and that can be too much for any defense. If you’re able to grab defenses such as Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions, or Dallas Cowboys, all those are safer options. Even as the top scoring defense, it is a difficult decision to start Baltimore’s defense this week.

Chicago Bears, vs Los Angeles Rams

Just like the Ravens, Chicago has an uphill battle this weekend. Los Angeles are averaging 33 points per game and Chicago just gave up 27 points to the New York Giants. To make matters worse for Chicago, they’re playing in the L.A. Colosseum and it is still unclear if Mitchell Trubisky will play. If he doesn’t play that will force the Bears to rely on their defense even more. It will be a tough game for this defense and just like Baltimore, it will be in your best interest to look for a streaming option.

Photo Credit: Nathan Rupert

Conlin Postma

Fantasy Football Writer at So Called Fantasy Experts
An aspiring Fantasy Football Analyst, a member of the #RavensFlock, and the biggest Tyrod Taylor fan you'll meet.

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