Congratulations on surviving and having to go through another week of hell advancing to Week 15!
As the season begins to wind down and we begin to face the terrifying reality of having to once again use our weekends for spending quality time with chores, errands, friends and family, the list of players to drop continues to grow.
The list of injuries to Fantasy Football starters in 2015 is unlike anything I’ve ever seen, which has created an adventurous, yet ultimately nauseating sensation within my abdomen. As I try and think of why this feeling is oddly familiar, I’m reminded of my initial excitement when I first learned Wendy’s was coming out with a “sandwich” called, “The Baconator” or when KFC introduced my brain to the concept of replacing bread with pieces of fried chicken in their, “Double Down.”
The concept of an unfathomable amount of bacon or some type of world where bacon and cheese is magically layered in between fried chicken initially resulted in curiosity, salivation, and a heaping amount of nervous anticipation, much like preseason NFL football as you were preparing for your first Fantasy draft of the year.
No Pierre Thomas for Mark Ingram to compete with? More bacon! A full season of C.J. Anderson? More bacon! Randall Cobb with no Jordy Nelson to compete with? More bacon! Carlos Hyde with a backfield to himself? All the bacon!
The season is coming to a close and much like the last few bites of your favorite fast food chain’s newest, most horrible, invention, the excitement has been replaced by sweat. Curiosity now takes the form of regret and the thrill of ordering extra garlic sauce with your Papa John’s “Epic Meats” pizza is now eerily similar to the unfortunate reality of drafting Marshawn Lynch and handcuffing him with Thomas Rawls. That familiar feeling, the flutter of butterflies in your stomach has transformed into the infamous rumblings of the bubbly guts. This is it. This time we’ve finally learned our lesson, right?
Absolutely not! Just when you thought it was over, there’s Tim Hightower, Denard Robinson and 24 hour breakfast at McDonalds! This time is different and it’s going to be totally worth it.
Week 15 Players to Drop
As always, we’re playing by Talladega Nights rules here folks. If you ain’t first, you’re last!
Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Remaining Opponents: @ St. Louis Rams, Chicago Bears
Argument for keeping Jameis Winston
- Your Fantasy team name is “Famous Jameis”
- Winston seems to be improving as an NFL quarterback, has an elite above average receiving target in Mike Evans and plays in an offense capable of moving the ball in a variety of different ways and capable of scoring a large amount of points in any given game. Winston has displayed versatility, scoring four rushing touchdowns in his previous six games heading into Week 14, increasing his floor for Fantasy owners.
Argument for dropping Jameis Winston
While some analysts have been touting Winston as a potential sleeper for the Fantasy Football playoff run, I don’t think his schedule is quite as enticing. The Bucs play their next opponent, the St. Louis Rams, on Thursday night in St. Louis. Heading into Week 14, the Rams had allowed the eighth fewest Fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, and while that’s regressed some over the last four weeks, where the Rams do give up Fantasy points is at the running back position. Prior to facing the anemic Lions’ ground game this past week, running backs facing the Rams averaged the 10th most Fantasy points per game.
Thursday night action in Week 15 means a short week of preparation for the rookie QB. It’s not uncommon for the Thursday evening game to be a lower scoring, run heavy or mistake prone version of the NFL. Winston’s Week 16 opponent, the Chicago Bears, don’t rank inside the Top 10 in Fantasy points allowed to qbs or rbs, so I don’t see the upside of favorable game flow with this specific matchup either.
Winston faced the New Orleans Saints in Week 14 and most predicted this would be a sure fire top three scoring week, possibly matching the five touchdown performance Jameis put up in Week 11 at Philadelphia. Instead, Winston finished by throwing for under 200 yards and a single touchdown.
The news on Monday regarding wide receiver Vincent Jackson is cause for concern as well, as Jackson will reportedly miss the next game or two with a MCL sprain. There are better matchups to be had if you’re streaming your quarterback over the next two weeks. It’s safe to label Famous Jameis as a player to drop at this point.
Favorite Jameis Winston Quote
“A lot of people thought I was fat, but I’m proving everybody wrong, you know what I’m saying? I look good and I know it.”
Ronnie Hillman, Denver Broncos
Remaining Opponents: @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals
Argument for keeping Ronnie Hillman
He’s a running back, who actually plays.
Argument for dropping Ronnie Hillman
To be fair, the argument I just made for keeping Hillman is a pretty good one and for a lot of us, it’s reason enough to hold onto him. For those of you lucky enough to have options, it appears safe to label Hillman as a player to drop after what took place in Week 14.
Hillman totaled just 61 yards on 19 touches against Oakland on Sunday and while he somehow managed to haul in seven receptions, that’s certainly not the norm for Hillman or the Broncos. The Raiders put together a formidable game plan against the Denver offense, prioritizing the shut down of the run game, thus forcing Brock Osweiler to throw a season high 51 times. The Broncos offense hit Brock Bottom, scoring a season low, 12 points.
The Week 15 matchup for Hillman doesn’t look promising against the Pittsburgh Steelers as they have allowed the third fewest Fantasy points to running backs in 2015. Lastly, C.J. Anderson was active for Week 14, which suggests he’ll be active this week as well. If he’s able to play, there’s no reason to think he won’t significantly cut into Hillman’s workload, putting a cap on his already limited upside.
The only thing more ridiculous than expecting Ronnie Hillman to win you a Fantasy Football championship is Woody Paige’s shirt.
Danny Woodhead, San Diego Chargers
Remaining Opponents: Miami Dolphins, @ Oakland Raiders
Argument for keeping Danny Woodhead
- You originally started off with Jamaal Charles, Mark Ingram and Eddie Lacy. Woodhead was the best replacement you could acquire right before the playoffs.
- Woodhead’s Week 14 opponent, the Miami Dolphins, are one of the best matchups in the league for running backs, ranking in the Top 5 for average Fantasy points per game.
- Woodhead is in the Top 20 of running back scoring in both standard and ppr leagues.
Argument for dropping Danny Woodhead
In standard scoring leagues, the following players scored the same amount of points as Danny Woodhead in Week 14: BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Willis McGahee, Maurice Jones-Drew, Wilmer Valderrama
While the number of running back injuries seems higher than ever, there has also been a sudden emergence of options that appear to be much more reliable than Woodhead. David Johnson, Buck Allen, Tim Hightower, Bilal Powell, Darren Sproles and James White all seem to have more prominent roles in their team’s offense at the moment.
While it didn’t seem to have an impact earlier in the season, it is important to remember that Woodhead sees the field on a limited basis, rarely receiving carries and splitting snaps with Melvin Gordon. Right now, opportunity equals production and this San Diego offense simply isn’t generating enough yardage to keep Woodhead on the field.
Week 15 is about survival and if you started Woodhead in Week 14, he probably had the same effect on your team as the MTV show, Yo Mamma, had on Wilmer Valderrama’s career. Killed it. It’s over. It’s not coming back.
Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers
Remaining Opponents: @ Oakland Raiders, @ Arizona Cardinals
Argument for keeping Davante Adams
Randall Cobb, James Jones, Richard Rodgers and James Starks get food poisoning while attending this week’s potluck players only meeting at Eddie Lacy’s house, catered by Chipotle.
Argument for dropping Davante Adams
Davante Adams is the George Clooney of Fantasy Football, as public perception seems to vastly outweigh actual production. For those of you in point per reception leagues, Adams had a nice five week stretch during Weeks 8-13, scoring double digits three times and seemed to be someone worth our time and possible admiration.
This was his Ocean’s 11, 12 and 13 phase. Looking closer at the stat sheet however, we see the rest of his weeks are filled with subpar performances that can only be rivaled by Clooney’s in blockbusters such as Batman & Robin, Spy Kids, Solaris, Leatherheads, The Monuments Men and other terrible films everyone seems to have completely forgotten about.
Finally, we can stop the charade. The playing time and target totals for Adams are dropping and starting to fall in line with his production level as the Packers continue to improve. No, we can’t predict the future but this inverse relationship gives Fantasy owners a fairly clear indication the Packers figured out what some of us already knew, Adams shouldn’t be a key contributor.
Starting Adams in Week 15 or 16 is the equivalent of paying full price to see Ocean’s 14… whenever that inevitably gets made. You’re not going to use him going forward so what’s the purpose of having him on your roster? Adams is a player to drop. Hopefully your next opponent picks him up.
What a smarmy charming man.
Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys
Remaining Opponents: New York Jets, @ Buffalo Bills
Argument for keeping Jason Witten
He’s always open.
Argument for dropping Jason Witten
Still not sold? Below is a quick rundown of players I have recommended to be dropped along with the link to the full column in that week’s headline.
- Joe Flacco, QB, Baltimore Ravens
- Alfred Blue, RB, Houston Texans
- Andre Williams, RB, New York Giants
- DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins
- Markus Wheaton, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
- Antonio Gates, TE, San Diego Chargers
- Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago Bears
- Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals
- Eddie Royal, WR, Chicago Bears
- Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants
- Coby Fleener, TE, Indianapolis Colts
- Joique Bell, RB, Detroit Lions
- Bishop Sankey, RB, Tennessee Titans
- Andre Johnson, WR, Indianapolis Colts
- Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
- Roddy White, WR, Atlanta Falcons
- Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers
- Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions
- Shane Vereen, RB, New York Giants
- Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers
- Alex Smith, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
- Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons
- Darren Sproles, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
- Percy Harvin, WR, Buffalo Bills
- Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Broncos
- Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans
- C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos
- C.J. Spiller, RB, New Orleans Saints
- Alfred Morris, RB, Washington Redskins
- Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks
- Sam Bradford, QB, Philadelphia Eagles
- Carlos Hyde, RB, San Francisco 49ers
- Knile Davis, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
- Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns
- Leonard Hankerson, WR, Atlanta Falcons
- Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks
- Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions
- Mike Wallace, WR, Minnesota Vikings
- Jordan Cameron, TE, Miami Dolphins
- Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
- Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Minnesota Vikings
- Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants
- James Jones, WR, Green Bay Packers
- Anquan Boldin, WR, San Francisco 49ers
- Kirk Cousins, QB, Washington Redskins
- Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers
- Brandon Bolden, RB, New England Patriots
- James White, RB, New England Patriots
- Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions
- Ted Ginn, WR, Carolina Panthers
- Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego Chargers
- Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers
- Pierre Garcon, WR, Washington Redskins
- Tavon Austin, WR, St. Louis Rams
- Eric Ebron, TE, Detroit Lions
- Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins
- Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks
- Antonio Andrews, RB, Tennessee Titans
- David Cobb, RB, Tennessee Titans
- Dexter McCluster, RB, Tennessee Titans
- Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee Titans
- Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings
- Charles Clay, TE, Buffalo Bills
- Brock Osweiler, QB, Denver Broncos
- Duke Johnson, RB, Cleveland Browns
- Devin Funchess, WR, Carolina Panthers
- Heath Miller, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers
- Vernon Davis, TE, Denver Broncos
- Owen Daniels, TE, Denver Broncos
- Buffalo Bills, DST
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