Well it looks like I might have found my stride at just the right moment! My predictions in this space last week went 13-5 with 10 major wins. Hopefully I helped keep your team alive and my Week 15 Start or Sit plays can help get you to a championship!
There’s a certain game in San Diego that I think will turn into one of the highest scoring games of the year. If you have anyone playing in it, I would advise starting almost all of them.
As always, if a guy outperforms his ranking as a Start, then it’s a win. If he does so as a Sit, then it’s a loss. Vice versa for the under-performing. If someone outperforms/under-performs their ranking by 12 or more spots, it will be a Major Win. By these metrics, my Start or Sit predictions are 106-77-1 for the year heading into the Week 15 Start or Sit plays, with 58 Major Wins.
Once again, for our Week 15 Start or Sit purposes I am going to focus on guys that are ranked outside of the Top 24 RB/WRs and Top 10 QB/TEs for my “starts,” and inside the Top 20 RB/WRs and Top 8 QB/TEs for my “sits.”
Let’s get to it…
Week 15 Start or Sit
(All rankings are based off of the SCFE Staff Consensus PPR Rankings as of 12/14)
Derek Carr, QB, Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (QB11)
I know, Carr let many of us down last week and it looks like his pinky might be worse than originally thought. However, I think the combination of a short week, great defense, and frigid temperatures were the real culprits. Now he has extra rest and playing a sub-par defense in sunny San Diego.
Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders (QB12)
In case you were wondering, take the over in this game. Alex Smith showed how easily the Raiders can be taken down the field in the passing game. If Alex Smith can take you deep, you better believe that Rivers is going to have a few deep shots.
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (QB13)
I will be at the game Sunday night and I have full confidence that Dak will bounce back. He has not had 200 yards in three straight games and the Bucs seem to be finding themselves as a defense. Nevertheless, this kid seems to play his best when his back is against the wall. With knee-jerkers calling for Tony Romo, Dak has one of his best games of his short career.
Mike Gillislee, RB, Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns (RB30)
There will be plenty of Fantasy Points to go around in the Buffalo backfield against Cleveland, especially for the proclaimed “goal-line back.” I know, Gillislee only had two carries last week, but that was more of the game flow in which the Steelers were taking it to Buffalo. He will get more work, and he does still have six touchdowns in his last seven games.
Kenneth Farrow, San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders (RB25)
Kenneth Farrow on Filling In for Gordon https://t.co/OgtRKxs5fg
— Tara#27Chargernana (@tarat63) December 13, 2016
Farrow will slip into the Melvin Gordon role, but more importantly for us PPR-ers he will take on the Danny Woodhead-role as well. Farrow caught six passes in relief of Gordon last week. Against Oakland, who will be trying to stop Rivers from taking the top off, he will have plenty of receiving opportunities. Toss in the fact that Oakland has given up the third-most rushing yards to opposing backs, and Farrow is a must-start.
Dontrelle Inman, WR, San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders (WR26)
As you can see, I am all in on the Chargers’ offense this week. I wrote about Inman in my Waiver Wire Additions post, but he should have a big day against the Raiders. He has scored in three straight games while averaging 80 yards a game in that stretch.
Steve Smith, WR, Baltimore Ravens vs. Philadelphia Eagles (WR28)
This is a total gut call as I don’t have much evidence to support it, I just feel like Smith is due for a big game.
Malcolm Mitchell, WR, New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (WR40)
I decided against adding Mitchell in my big league’s playoffs, so you know he will go off now. He has at least four catches in four straight games with four scores over that time frame.
Martellus Bennett, TE, New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (TE10)
Marty B showed his amazing jump ball skills against Baltimore and New England will need more of that against Denver’s tough defense. If the Broncos have a weak spot on defense, it would be against tight ends where they are actually below average. I think Bennett gets a score here.
Miami Dolphins DST at New York Jets (DST5)
I know, they are ranked higher than my normal “starts,” but I think they end up as the top-scoring defense this week. Bryce Petty will give the ball away and the Dolphins still have an outside shot at the playoffs. They will terrorize the inexperienced quarterback.
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins (QB8)
Last year’s MVP has not cracked 262 yards since Week 6 against New Orleans. In fact, he has only two games all season with more than 262 passing yards. He has only one multiple touchdown pass game in that time frame as well. With only 56 yards rushing and one score on the ground in his last four, Newton has become a non-starter. He is by far the top of my Week 15 Start or Sit predictions.
Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (RB8)
Murray has put together a couple of solid games in a row, but I think this match-up is not favorable in the sense that Carr will be airing it out. He will not be getting 20-plus carries, so he will be dependent on a lot of catches, which he had zero last week, or scores.
Isaiah Crowell, RB, Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills (RB22)
I know, LeVeon Bell just put up two bills on the Bills, but this is the NFL: everything changes the opposite direction from week to week. There’s no way Buffalo is going to give up another huge rushing game after getting annihilated. Especially, since both Ryan brothers’ job is on the line.
Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns (WR14)
As I said previously, this game will be all about the Bills running all over the Browns. Watkins did have his first score since returning from injury, but he is averaging just over three catches for 52 yards a game.
#Bears coach John Fox when asked how long it’ll take Alshon Jeffery to build chemistry w/Matt Barkley: “Hopefully, fast – like this week.”
— Zach Zaidman (@ZachZaidman) December 12, 2016
Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers (WR23)
Speaking of players returning into the lineup, Jeffery returns from his suspension this week and is playing with a quarterback that has never really thrown to him. I think it will take at least a week to get back into game shape and get in a groove with Matt Barkley.
Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (TE6)
Kansas City has given up the third fewest Fantasy Points to opposing tight ends, and the second fewest touchdowns. Walker has just one game with more than 50 yards in the second half of the season and he will not be getting one this week.
That’s it for the Week 15 Start or Sit predictions! Check out my personal blog for picks against the spread where my picks are 104-82-6!
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