Boxing great Jake LaMotta passed away earlier this week and he’s been on my mind a lot.
LaMotta was actually a much better puncher than he was boxer. Too many boxers today are the reverse. LaMotta fought the way we want our boxers to fight. He took a hit while doling out equal punishment.
I actually don’t like this week’s slate and I fear a hit to my stake on par with a LaMotta uppercut. But like LaMotta who died at 95 this week, I’m gonna stick around for a while.
So in honor of Jake LaMotta, here are the Week 3 DFS Picks.
Week 3 Obvious Cash Game Play
Derek Carr, QB, Whereverthehecktheyplaynow Raiders (FD $8,400)
I can’t see less than seven touchdowns being scored in this game. Vegas agrees, setting an o/u at 54 points. Don’t ask me who catches Carr’s passes and for that reason alone I won’t be stacking Raiders in a GPP. However, we are talking about cash games. Carr has thrown five TDs in two weeks and is going against a defense that has given up the seventh most passing yards. In a week where higher priced QBs like Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, and Drew Brees are facing the 4th, 9th, and 2nd stingiest defenses respectively in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks, Carr seems like an obvious cash
In a week where higher priced QBs like Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, and Drew Brees are facing the fourth, ninth, and second stingiest defenses respectively in giving up Fantasy points to quarterbacks. Carr seems like an obvious cash game play to me.
Week 3 Contrarian/Punt GPP Play
Devin Funchess, WR, Carolina Panthers
First off, Cam Newton has not exactly been lighting up the sky with TD passes. He has only two so far and less than 400 passing yards total. That is not very good. Furthermore, with six catches and 88 yards total I don’t expect people to be lining up to grab Funchess this week.
However, Funchess was also targeted seven times last week and with Greg Olsen out this week, I would not be surprised if Funchess is the biggest beneficiary. Don’t be surprised if he’s out on your league’s waiver wire still as well. I grabbed him earlier this morning because few things can ail what is hurting a WR corps than going against New Orleans. The Saints are currently the most generous pass defense in the NFL and I think Funchess benefits.
Week 3 Fan Duel GPP Lineup
Kirk Cousins, QB, Washington Redskins ($7,600)
I already said that I expect at least seven touchdowns in this game. Carr is the easy pick, but if this becomes a shootout like I have said it will be, why not take the guy on the other side who you can get for at least $800 less?
Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons ($8,200)
Yes, it’s a little chalky. But I’m taking risks elsewhere in my lineup. I need a couple of solid picks and Freeman is one.
Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals ($5,100)
The Bengals are toxic right now and I doubt many will touch them. Of course, that makes for a great GPP play and sooner or later the Bengals will realize that Mixon needs to be part of their gameplans. And Green Bay just gave up the third-most Fantasy points to RB last week.
Mixon is an extremely sneaky play. And perhaps I am setting myself up to take the similar punishment that LaMotta took in the “St. Valentines Day Massacre”, but we are not done with Bengals yet.
A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals ($7,500)
Green is another Bengal and is the most obvious Bengal to pick any week. He is also this week’s site-specific pick as Green, at $7,500, is a far better deal than the $8,100 he is on Draft Kings. When playing a GPP, one of the better ways to differentiate is to choose talent that won’t be popular. Green has publicly complained about
Green has publicly complained about the amount of passes he has seen. The squeaky wheel gets the oil and given that Green is one of the most important players on the Bengals, I can’t see him not getting fed a ton of passes this coming Sunday.
Terrelle Pryor, WR, Washington Redskins ($6,900)
First off, I want the stack with Counsins as my quarterback. Secondly, I’ve mentioned it’s going to be a high-scoring game and the Oakland secondary is much more suspect than its front seven. Finally, while I don’t believe Pryor has a huge chip on his shoulder, I do think he wants to show the Raiders what they gave up when they let him go.
Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders ($7,700)
You did see he scored three touchdowns last week, right? Of course, there are two schools of thought. One is that he did it before, he will do it again. The other is that he was dominant last week, this week will be Cooper’s week. Both schools of thought are wrong. For one, don’t be surprised if it’s Seth Roberts week to shine. Secondly, I think Crabtree falls somewhere in between and has a solid day coming close to 100 yards and notching a score. However, I think many DFS players will follow the latter school of thought which will make him low owned. It will be a great opportunity to differentiate and put up big points.
Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles ($7,500)
I am going to leave at least $200 left over so I can grab Jordan Reed if he plays. But I like Ertz too (see my Draft Kings team for reasons why), so he will be my placeholder, especially if I forget to make the swap.
Matt Bryant, K, Atlanta Falcons ($4,900)
Let’s not over-analyze this. He’s a good pick and you don’t need me to tell you so.
Miami, DST ($5,100)
Just because it’s an easy and obvious play, doesn’t mean it’s not a good play.
Week 3 Draft Kings Lineup
QB: Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,900)
I predicted Carson Wentz would have a breakout year. And right now he’s making me look like a genius with a 300-yard game and two passing touchdowns in both games. No, I don’t think he’s going to pass for 4,800-plus yards this year, but I think he keeps it going against a Giant team that looks lost.
TE: Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,000)
Not loving the Eagle WR options, and I wanted to get some kind of stack going. Plus, Ertz is one of the few top-tier tight ends who is both healthy and producing.
RB: Lamar Miller, Houston Texans ($5,000)
I know, I know. D’onta Foreman is looming. But I’ve seen this happen too many times where two weeks in and the Fantasy industry overreacts. I don’t see Miller getting 30 carries. But Bill O’Brien is no dummy and he’s going to try to run the ball to limit the amount of time New England is on the field. And speaking of New England, guess who is giving up the most Fantasy points to running back? That’s right, the Patriots.
RB: Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins ($7,700)
I’m taking a lot of risk with Miller. I need to balance that with a safe high floor bet. The primary RB opposing the Jets might be the definition of a safe high floor bet.
WR: Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins ($6,800)
At a full PPR, Landry is a much more valuable asset on Draft Kings. And a valuable asset becomes even more attractive when playing the Jets.
WR: Devin Funchess ($4200)/Kelvin Benjamin ($6700), Carolina Panthers
See above for Funchess. But I will take Benjamin too who finally gives his owners some reason to believe. Hey, LaMotta lost the first time he faced Sugar Ray Robinson before he beat him.
Flex: Ameer Abdullah, Detroit Lions ($4,700)
I think Abdullah’s ownership will be relatively low given the fact that he has yet to score and or notch a 100-yard game. That being said, Abdullah looked good last week and his yards per rush was above five last week and that was against a pretty stingy Giants run defense. This week he is taking on Atlanta who has given up the second-most Fantasy points to running backs. Something tells me this might be Abdullah’s breakout game.
DST: Dolphins ($3,700)
Go ahead Jets, show me that I shouldn’t pick against you. Until you do, it will be my pick every week.
Of cou, se I don’t feel great about this week. But that’ won’t get me down. After all, like Robert Deniro said playing Jake LaMotta “You never got me down Ray”
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