The bye weeks are upon us, so it starts to make things a little trickier for picking DFS busts on a weekly basis.
However, over the past few weeks I’m trending fairly well when sorting out the bad and the good. I’ve been nailing my big name DFS busts (Russell Wilson, Kelvin Benjamin, etc.), so hopefully you have started to take notice.
This week I am targeting some more big names. To add to it, I’ve included a few QB/WR stacks with Eli Manning to Odell Beckham Jr. and Matt Ryan to Julio Jones.
The theme of this week is opposing defense. Some defenses are coming off unforeseen losses and will look to right the ship against their opponents. While others are playing sound defense on all fronts, causing havoc for their opponents.
With that being said, here are my Week 4 DFS busts picks.
Week 4 DFS Busts
Eli Manning, New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings ($6,100 DK/$7,500 FD)
This price is fairly attractive for Eli, but let’s not forget a few things. The Vikings made Cam Newton look like Ryan Fitzpatrick last week (in Carolina, mind you). Eli is coming off a late INT game that left us reminiscent of several years ago. Also, he has four TDs on the year. Not a fan this week.
Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers ($7,000 DK/$7,900 FD)
Through two weeks, Matt Ryan is a top Fantasy QB. When was the last time you said that? Probably never. But now he is over-priced. Thumb injury or not (non-throwing hand), the Panthers will look to correct their woes after last week’s loss. I’m cooling on Ryan for at least a few weeks.
Similar Cost Alternatives: Philip Rivers (vs NO), Kirk Cousins (vs CLE)
Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals ($6,700 DK/$7,700 FD)
Week 3 gave Gurley supporters a glimmer of hope, picking up 85 rushing yards and two TDs. This week, he plays an Arizona defense that is chomping at the bit following their embarrassing loss to the Buffalo Bills. Gurley will be a DFS bust this week against a typically stingy defense.
Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos ($5,600 DK/$6,500 FD)
With Doug Martin on the sidelines, Sims showed owners why he was a great DFS value play last week. Martin is still recovering but Sims faces a tougher test against the Broncos. While he should have a decent floor with receptions, I’m not trusting his yardage (or TD) potential this week.
Similar Cost Alternatives: C.J. Anderson (@ TB), Melvin Gordon (vs NO)
Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers ($9,200 DK/$8,500 FD)
At some point, his DFS cost will start to fall. He just does not look explosive this year. One of the worst defenses in the history of America, the New Orleans Saints, held him to under three point. As you can see above, I’m also betting against his QB. This stack is whack. A DFS bust duo in Week 4.
Odell Beckham Jr, New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings ($8,700 DK/$8,700 FD)
Don’t even get me started on OBJ. Crying on the sidelines. Getting knocked out by equipment. Hopefully he gets some free shampoo from his commercials to clean away his stank attitude. I see the Vikings taking him out of the game. His TD-less streak continues.
Eli will obviously try to force it to him, as usual, but this Vikings defense is hot right now.
Similar Cost Alternatives: Deandre Hopkins (vs TEN), Allen Robinson (vs IND)
Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos ($2,800 DK/$5,300 FD)
The release of Austin Seferian-Jenkins gave Brate an opportunity to shine, and shine he did. He is a monstrous red zone threat, but that’s it. If he doesn’t get into the end zone, he will finish with a boring stat line (i.e. 3 for 30). At his cost, there is definitely some other players I’d rather have this week.
Similar Cost Alternatives: Coby Fleener (@ SD), Dennis Pitta (vs OAK)
New England Patriots, vs Buffalo Bills ($3,300 DK/$4,500 FD)
This is probably a stretch. However, since the offensive switch over to Anthony Lynn, the Bills offense looks faster and rejuvenated. I know, the skill positions (outside of LeSean McCoy) don’t even scare my nephew’s pee-wee football team. But, Tyrod Taylor is relatively safe with the ball, gains chunks of yards with his legs, and is always a threat for the deep ball.
I see them surprising the Patriots defense this week. Big plays mean big yards. And I see it happening multiple times on Sunday.
Similar Cost Alternatives: Houston Texans (vs TEN), Carolina Panthers (@ ATL)
- Week 5 DFS Busts: The Return of Brady? Not Yet. - October 8, 2016
- Week 4 DFS Busts: Your QB/WR Stack Attack is Whack - October 1, 2016
- THAT Fantasy Guy: What’s Wrong With Your Team - September 27, 2016