I enjoy early games, especially when one of my DraftKings lineups includes Carson Wentz, Sammie Coates and Martellus Bennett.
Feeling great about myself, ready to collect some money and then have to watch A.J. Green and Sterling Shepard do absolutely nothing in the late games.
Guess that is just the way the cookie crumbles. Week 5 had some interesting standout players from Marcus Mariota (30.5 points DK & FD) to Adam Vinatieri (23 points FD). That is no misprint. I doubt I could nail a 40 yard field if given 20 tries. This guy has hit 10 field goals this season from 40 or more yards. Still going strong at age 43. Kicker talk!
Tom Brady looks to be in mid-season form, albeit against the Cleveland Browns, but they look to be on a mission. That offense is loaded with Fantasy goodness, but may be tough to rely upon guys not named, Rob Gronkowski or Julian Edelman in DFS until further notice. Martellus Bennett is close to making that list, but Brady has many mouths to feed and not to mention the inconsistent nature at the tight end position this season.
I struggled a bit with last weekend’s picks, but lets take a look at my Week 6 sleepers based off price.
Week 6 DFS Sleepers
Carson Wentz- 17.9 DK, 17.9 FD
Zach Miller- 14.3 DK, 10.8 FD
Miami Dolphins Defense- 7 DK, 7 FD
DeAndre Washington- 10.2 DK, 7.7 FD
Jameis Winston- 15.4 DK, 15.4 FD
Swing and Miss
Wendell Smallwood- 0
Brian Quick- 8.1 DK, 6.6 FD
Wow, do I love that Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys matchup this week. It feels like one of those kind of classic games with a lot of story lines and more importantly, interesting Fantasy options. The amount of running backs to rely upon is really dwindling, it’s kind of scary. Lets get into it. Here are this week’s DFS Sleepers.
Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins ($6,000 DK, $7,500 FD)
Feel like a broken record by naming Carson Wentz on this piece each and every week but if DraftKings and FanDuel keep pricing him this low, I can’t fade this play. Another great matchup for the kid going against a Redskins defense who are in the bottom 10 in yards allowed and completions. Zach Ertz should get some more run this week after returning last week from a rib injury.
I like Wentz a lot and feel he should have a great game, battling back from the tough loss against the Lions last week and a bad interception late in that game. The over/under on this game is set at 45 and I think that is about right. It would not shock me if Mr. home splits himself, Kirk Cousins, pushed it over 45. The game flow favors the offense here. Load up on Wentz in all lineups this weekend.
Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs, at Oakland Raiders ($5,700 DK, $6,800 FD)
Not only do I love the price for Alex Smith on both DFS sites, but take a gander at these numbers. His splits against the Oakland Raiders are just straight filth. In eight games, he has 1,625 yards, an 18-3 touchdown to interception ratio and a QBR of 106.1. Come on now. For the price, you can’t beat that. Oh, and the Raiders passing defense is one of the worst in the league, especially against the pass. They are last in yards allowed, fourth worst in touchdowns allowed, and eighth worst in completions allowed.
Coming off of a bye after being absolutely waxed by the Pittsburgh Steelers, Andy Reid and the Chiefs should have a solid game plan in place to try and get back on track. I LOVE Alex Smith this weekend.
Mid-Tier Running Backs
Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears, vs. Jacksonville Jaguars ($6,200 DK, $7,700 FD)
I am putting Jordan Howard on this list for the simple fact that I don’t really like any of the mid-range running backs. I also think, at least with his price on DraftKings, he can be used in both tourney and double up games. Not sure if people truly trust him yet as one of those solid backs, but he has been nothing short of awesome. He has 100 or more rushing yards since he has been given the job, and in those two games, he has touched the ball 45 times. Only DeMarco Murray and LeSean McCoy have more carries over the last two weeks.
Jalen Richard, Oakland Raiders, vs. Kansas City Chiefs ($3,800 DK, $5,100 FD)
Jalen Richard showed something last week and looked a lot better than his counterpart, DeAndre Washington. I always love the passing down backs in PPR formats and Derek Carr looked his way early and often, catching six of seven targets for 66 yards.
The Chiefs have not been great against running backs this season. They have allowed 4.5 yards per attempt (sixth worst in the NFL) and are 15th in yards allowed. Little fun fact, the Chiefs have given up 5.5 passes per game to running backs through their first four games. Look for Carr to check down this week.
Diamond In The Rough: Running Back
James Starks, Green Bay Packers, vs. Dallas Cowboys ($3,400 DK, $4,500 FD)
Dart throw here obviously, but his price looks very appealing. If Eddie Lacy does not play, Starks will be in every lineup I can fit him in. The Cowboys are a very interesting team, in that they maintain possession for long periods of time. They actually rank second in time of possession at 33:48 minutes per game.
I bring that up because while they rank 12th best in yard allowed, they also rank fifth worst in yards per attempt. Teams have success when they run against the Cowboys.
Last season when the Packers played the Cowboys, both running backs had fantastic days running the ball. Eddie Lacy had 124 yards and a TD on 24 carries and James Starks had 71 yards on 11 carries, four catches for 32 yards and two touchdowns. I get Starks has not looked great at all this season, but I’ve always been a fan of him and if Lacy doesn’t suit up in this game, I am all-in on Starks.
Mid-Tier Wide Receivers
Desean Jackson, Washington Redskins, vs. Philadelphia Eagles ($5,800 DK, $6,400 FD)
Desean Jackson’s FanDuel price is quite peachy this week given he is going up against his old team. It feels like a high scoring affair, albeit against the revamped Eagles defense. Give me some Desean Jackson. He’s played three games in his career against the Eagles over the last two seasons. Two were great and the other one not so much. That pretty much sums up Jackson as a player though. Such a yo-yo kind of guy.
The two games in 2014 were great, totaling nine catches for 243 yards and one touchdown. The game in 2015 was the stinker, only managing four catches for 40 yards. I am banking on his 2014 self showing up in this game and I believe he does.
Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys, at Green Bay Packers ($4,400 DK, $5,900 FD)
More of a double up play for Cole Beasley due to the fact that you know what you are getting from the little guy. Five to six catches for 60 yards and banking on a score. He finally got one last week against the Cincinnati Bengals and you may see him sneak into the end zone again this weekend.
It looks to be a high scoring game with one of the highest over/unders of the week, sitting at 47.5. I knew the Packers were very good against the run this season but listen to these numbers real quick. They have allowed 171 rushing yards and one TD in four games (42.75 yards per game and 2.0 yards per attempt).
I suspect game flow will make the Cowboys throw the ball a bit more with the Packers stopping the run early. Also, Aaron Rogers will be slinging it, so the Cowboys may be in catch-up mode. Expect Beasley to see around eight targets this weekend.
Diamond In The Rough Wide Receiver
Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers, vs. Dallas Cowboys ($3,900 DK, $5,400 FD)
Dipping on the other side of this game for another wide receiver who could be real interesting. I like his price, in general, on both sites. Now, I do not think Adams is particularly a great football player, but it helps a bit that he has Aaron Rodgers throwing him the ball.
If Randall Cobb can’t go in this game, Adams gets a huge boost and would be a must-own in DFS. Rodgers loves going to him in the red zone, having grabbed three touchdowns in four games and could see one come his way again on Sunday.
Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys, at Green Bay Packers ($4,200 DK, $5,600 FD)
I feel like Jason Witten is a big time player and this game is going to be a fun one to watch. Witten has had pedestrian numbers this season, but so have a lot of these up and down tight ends. He has played very well against the Packers in the past and I think he will be a big part in this shootout game.
New England Patriots, at Cincinnati Bengals ($3,200 DK, $4,700 FD)
Andy Dalton has played the Patriots twice in his career and his numbers don’t look bad but his team never plays well against them. I may be a bit biased with this pick coming from a Patriots fan, but it’s the logical choice here for the price! In those last two games, there have been five turnovers and five sacks combined. Oh, and Tom Brady is back from his suspension. His first game back in front of the New England fans… Wrong place, wrong time for the Cincinnati Bengals.
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