It’s Week 6 and the waiver wire is in full effect, as is the list of players to drop. NFL players aren’t the only ones suffering from concussion like symptoms, as we’ve been pounded over the head with non-stop DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports) commercials flooding the airwaves. Admit it, you’ve been thinking to yourself, I should give these sites a try. Maybe I can be the next millionaire winner!
You find yourself daydreaming during class or staring out the window during meetings at work, thinking about what you’d do if you were the million dollar winner. You think about the scene in Office Space when Lawrence gives his famous speech about how he’d wisely spend his money. “I tell you what I’d do, man…”(If you’re not familiar with Lawrence’s timeless words of wisdom then YouTube, “Office Space Million Dollars”, but not at work!).
Unfortunately, while you’ve been busy deciding what jersey you’ll be wearing in your upcoming commercial, your real Fantasy Football team has been neglected more than Lamar Miller.
You may think to yourself, “Is a drop list really that interesting at this point in the season? I would assume waivers are kind of picked over by now.” If you had this thought, you’d be wrong. This isn’t amateur hour. It’s Week 6! We’re heading into the part of the season where we have enough information at our disposal to optimize our lineups by playing the match-ups, making your waiver wire decisions all the more important.
Theo Riddick, Charcandrick West, Knile Davis, Willie Snead and other potential difference makers may be available in your league, but first it’s time to take a step back and decide who to kick off the bus on your Fantasy Football championship tour.
Having trouble deciding who to add? Check out this week’s Waiver Wire.
Take a quick look at the recommendations from previous weeks to see how we did:
Let’s get to it. Rip the Band-Aid off and take a look at the players to drop in this week’s Reaper Report.
Week 6 Players to Drop
As always, we’re playing by Talladega Nights rules here folks. If you ain’t first, you’re last!
Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs
You’re more likely to find a grooming kit in Kyle Orton’s bathroom drawer than you are to find Alex Smith on a championship winning Fantasy Football team. Frankly, we have enough evidence at this point to suggest the results of Orton attempting to use a razor and us starting Smith in Fantasy are roughly the same, questionable, at best.
Fantasy Football owners cringed over the weekend with the Jamaal Charles’ injury news. His absence simultaneously lowers both the floor and ceiling for Smith’s Fantasy potential as Charles accounted for 13 receiving touchdowns between 2013 and 2014 (32 percent of Smith’s passing touchdowns over that span). Smith’s production is largely due to the playmakers he has around him, as evidenced by 55 percent of Smith’s 1,291 passing yards occurring after the catch.
To make matters worse for Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs, the offensive line is a bigger patch job than the infamous, aforementioned Kyle Orton neck beard. Smith has been sacked a league high 22 times thus far and while waiver wire darlings Knile Davis and Charcandrick West are capable runners, their pass protection skills are certainly not their strength.
Newcomer, Jeremy Maclin and underutilized Travis Kelce are likely to have productive games along the way but if the Chiefs don’t evolve offensively, there’s belief building that the production may likely be a result of a different quarterback at the helm.
Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons
Replace Big Gulps with Tevin Coleman and that about sums it up for the Atlanta Falcons rookie running back.
Coleman’s pre-draft scouting report includes, from one NFC running back coach, “There are two kinds of backs who are successful in this league, runners who break tackles and runners who can create for themselves. He’s not either one.”
The Fantasy Football world seemed to have a split opinion on Coleman prior to the season. Those who were the most optimistic about Tevin Coleman’s potential productivity referenced a rare opportunity to have a large role for the Falcons from day one. Fast-forward to Week 6 and Devonta Freeman is the top running back in Fantasy Football (statistically), and it’s not even close.
After a slow start, Freeman is doing his best James Van Der Beek impression for Tevin Coleman owners, breaking hearts and crushing dreams with reckless abandon.
Coleman looked poised to have a prominent role in Kyle Shanahan’s offense with his 20 carry workload in Week 1 but injuries allowed Freeman to step in and step up, and it doesn’t look as if he’s going to relinquish his newfound role any time soon. Shanahan’s track record as an offensive coordinator suggests he prefers to give one running back the majority of the carries when possible; see Steve Slaton, Ryan Torain (Gross), and Alfred Morris.
Let’s take a quick look at Week 5 to see how Coleman’s return to the field impacted Devonta Freeman’s workload: Freeman touched the ball 34 times. Coleman touched the ball twice. Sure, it is certainly possible that Shanahan is simply easing Coleman back into the offense in an effort to prevent re-injury, but good luck to you if you’re banking on that. It doesn’t take much game tape to see that Freeman looks like a different type of player this season, performing with star power, purpose and confidence, just like Van Der Beek in his prime.
Darren Sproles, Philadelphia Eagles
I know, I know … it’s fun watching Sproles’ tiny little legs move 100 miles an hour as your favorite NFL Films theme song is playing in the background. The problem is, for every 40 yard highlight there are fifteen average plays. Sproles has somehow convinced the Fantasy Football community he is a consistent producer at the running back position. Let’s do something Sproles can’t and move down to the deep end of the Fantasy Football pool and take a closer look at what we’re actually getting.
Darren Sproles has now played 20 games in the Chip Kelly offense for the Philadelphia Eagles, a rather large sample size. Sproles has exceeded 50 rushing yards a mere three times, but this might not surprise you because you know Sproles’ true value comes in the passing game. In his 20 games with Philadelphia, Sproles has exceeded four receptions a whopping three times and exceeded 70 receiving yards only twice. Where exactly are we getting value as Fantasy Football owners?
Having a relationship with Darren Sproles in Fantasy is like being in a long distance relationship while you’re in college. You think what’s about to happen is going to be pretty rad and you’re feeling good about yourself but the reality is, you might have gotten a high five or two from your buddies but mostly there were a lot of awkward, confusing and uncomfortable moments with very little payoff. After everything is over, you look back and feel like an idiot for holding on week after disappointing week instead of working the free agent pool, taking advantage of the best weekly matchups at your disposal.
(Also, DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews are better. #PhilSimmsLevelAnalysis)
Percy Harvin, Buffalo Bills
When attempting to predict the Fantasy Football relevance of the Buffalo Bills you don’t have to look much further than Offensive Coordinator, Greg Roman. If the name Greg Roman sounds familiar to you it’s most likely because you’ve been incredibly frustrated by him before. Prior to joining offensive mastermind Rex Ryan, Roman was the Offensive Coordinator for the San Francisco 49ers from 2011-2014. During his four years with the Niners, Roman’s offense ranked 29th, 23rd, 30th and 30th in passing yards. The yardage totals from the 49ers number two option on offense during Roman’s four years running the offense; 792, 548, 850 and 698.
Given that the unbreakable Sammy Watkins is the clearly the Bills’ No. 1 target (Remember when the Bills traded up for Watkins instead of staying put and simply drafting Odell Beckham Jr.?), history suggests Harvin won’t have enough sustained success to contribute to your Fantasy Football championship run this season.
Percy Harvin, the human headache, has always tempted us with potential but the reality of the 2015 season is, Tyrod Taylor has been chosen to play the part formerly held by Colin Kaepernick in Roman’s offense. Sammy Watkins has been cast in the role of Anquan Boldin and Percy Harvin will eventually be playing the role of past Fantasy Football waiver wire hall of famers, Michael Crabtree, Bruce Miller, Brandon Lloyd and Mario Manningham (Gross).
Percy Harvin is the Mother in Law of Fantasy Football players; it feels like he’s been around for much much longer than he actually has. He’s still only 27 years old and is certainly more than capable of breaking a big play but his production has been declining over the last several weeks and other than the Buffalo Bills’ Super Bowl victory in Week 1, he’s done nothing of note, bottoming out in Week 5 with zero receptions on just four targets. With a difficult matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 6 and Sammy Watkins close to returning, it’s time to move on.
(Side note: In the event she’s reading this, that comment was in reference to all Mothers in Law other than mine)
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins
Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans
Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Broncos
C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos
Victor Cruz, WR, New York Giants
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