This week match-ups are definitely affecting our rankers. Some of these over-adjustments are my biggest takeaway in my Week 6 running back rankings reaction.
Guys with perceived good match-ups like C.J. Anderson and Ryan Mathews are much higher than they have been.
Other guys have been downgraded too much because of their opponents. Some of them include Ezekiel Elliott, Theo Riddick, Tevin Coleman and Isaiah Crowell.
I think sometimes we over-correct for these things. Especially since the young season is really still a small sample size.
Here is my Week 6 Running Back Rankings reaction.
Week 6 Running Back Rankings Reaction
Guys I Like More
- Ezekiel Elliot is ranked as low as 12th by David Gonos which is nuts to me. Green Bay is the top-ranked rushing defense, but that is all about the running backs they have faced. They have yet to face any running backs that are in the Top 26 in rushing. Zeke is still a top play for me.
- I have the highest ranking on Jordan Howard again this week. He busted out last week and has taken the Chicago running game in his own hands. Buffalo has a decent rush defense but they still give up 22.6 PPR points per game to running backs. Jordan Howard is a lock to get your double digits with upside.
- I talked up James White in my Start or Sit column last week and I’m back on his bandwagon again this week. He had 12.9 points last week and I think he is just getting started. Most importantly, he had a higher snap percentage than LeGarrette Blount which should continue.
I hope you sold high on Blount when you had the chance. Brady back and we saw his snap count drop to 38%. James White’s jumped to 47%.
— Joe Bond (@FantasySixPack) October 11, 2016
Guys I Like Less
- Since his strong start to the season, C.J. Anderson has not gained more than 62 yards in a game since. His highest point total was 12.2 and his total touches are on a downward trend. I know San Diego has given up a ton of points to running backs, but most of it is receiving. Anderson is averaging just 9 yards receiving per game over his past three.
- I’m clearly the lowest on Eddie Lacy this week. I don’t think he will be 100% after the ankle injury and the Cowboys are giving up the 8th fewest points to running backs.
- I am out on all of the Dolphins’ running backs this week, but especially Jay Ajayi because he is ranked the highest. The Steelers should get up big on Miami, meaning the Dolphins will be in catch up mode. I would rather not have to rely on dump-offs.
Former Ravens’ RB Justin Forsett is signing with the Detroit Lions, per source. https://t.co/fcwVp5sIq5
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 11, 2016
- Theo Riddick has one of the highest variations between rankers. I have him 9th and Gonos has him 23rd. We shall see if the Justin Forsett signing affects his ranking.
- I am eating crow as the only ranker with David Johnson first overall.
- Devonta Freeman is far and away ranked higher than Tevin Coleman. This probably has a lot to do with their touch distribution last week. I think Coleman out-points him this week though.
- Giovani Bernard is another high-variance ranking with La Presto ranking him as an RB1 at 11th among the position, while the rest of us hive him closer to an RB3.
Good luck with your running backs this week and be sure to check out my weekly picks against the spread.
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