Before we talk about our Week 6 Value Plays at quarterback for FanDuel, I thought I’d share some stats I dug up this past week.
Have you noticed that scoring has been up in the NFL this season? I’ve been amazed at how low the Vegas over/unders have been over the past five weeks, and we’ve essentially had way more games over 50 points per game than Vegas expects. There have even been several 60-point games, too.
Through the first five weeks of 2015, teams are scoring an average of 23.1 points per game.
Over the past 10 seasons, 2013 is the only season to have a higher points per game than this year, and that’s the year the Broncos went nuts with 37.9 points per game and Peyton Manning’s record-setting performance.
In my article on FanDuel Insider, I looked at how the increase in scoring is affecting Fantasy Football play – by position.
The quarterbacks position in particular is deeper than just one year ago, there are 20 different quarterbacks that have scored at least 70 points so far this year. That’s helpful for Daily Fantasy Football owners, since they can get good values from the middle of the pack.
Before we get into what I think are the best plays this week, I wanted to point out a great tool over at FantasyKnuckleheads.com. Their “new and improved” Daily Fantasy Football Optimal Lineup Tool is definitely one of the best DFS tools around. It has a really nice interface, and is super powerful with a ton of new stats.
Don’t forget to also use Doug Anderson’s “Fantasy Points Allowed by Position,” where he breaks down the ability of defenses going up against each Fantasy position. The best part is – it breaks it down according to the individual scoring rules on several DFS sites, including FanDuel, DraftKings, FantasyAces, Drafster and FanThrowdown.
3 Value Plays at Quarterback on FanDuel
We handpicked three quarterbacks for your Daily Fantasy Football pleasure! These three QBs are good plays considering their prices and their matchups in Week 5. Remember that this is the first week with four teams on bye weeks, so Cam Newton, Teddy Bridgewater, Ryan Tannehill and Ryan Fitzpatrick are back, but Derek Carr, Jameis Winston and Nick Foles will be out.
Carson Palmer, Arizona at Pittsburgh ($8,000): For $8K, you get the man with the keys to the best offense in the NFL. Not bad! The Steelers are below average against the pass,
Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota vs. Kansas City ($6,600): The Chiefs are allowing an alarming amount of Fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. QBs are averaging 2.6 passing touchdowns per game, and Bridgewater is coming off a bye week.
E.J. Manuel, Buffalo vs. Cincinnati ($5,500): If Tyrod Taylor (knee) doesn’t play, the former FSU QB will get the nod, making him a super-cheap DFS quarterback for GPP play.
3 Quarterbacks to Avoid on FanDuel
This trio of quarterbacks are players you should stay away from for the upcoming weekend of NFL action. Some of these players might be worth a contrarian play in a GPP tournament, but for the most part, they’re players to avoid. I discuss how to pick contrarian players for tournaments here on FanDuel Insider.
Philip Rivers, San Diego at Green Bay ($7,500): The Packers defense gives up just one touchdown pass per game and they are holding quarterbacks to just around 205 passing yards per games – second-lowest in the NFL.
Alex Smith, Kansas City at Minnesota ($7,000): I’m not a big fan of playing quarterbacks against defenses that are coming off of a bye week, and the Vikings had a week to prepare for Smith and Co.
Kirk Cousins, Washington at N.Y. Jets ($6,200): You might be tempted to go with this cheapie, but the Jets are an excellent pass defense and they’re coming off a bye week.
Hopefully, these Week 5 Value Plays at quarterbacks will help you in both your 50/50 games and your GPP tournaments on FanDuel, or whichever Daily Fantasy Football site you play on!
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