In last week’s rookie report, I mentioned that Nick Chubb was on the downswing. Not even 5 hours after I submitted that article, the Browns traded Carlos Hyde to the Jaguars and I looked foolish.
However, I think I was correct at the time. The Browns had given the rookie back just 14 carries although he had been averaging 12 yards per tote. How could I have seen the Hyde trade coming?
<begin rant>Furthermore, I did see on Twitter what is being called “league shaming” which I think is the most ridiculous thing I have ever seen. The common theme was people acting like they “knew” more than others because Chubb was not even available in their leagues.
News flash: in the majority of 12-team leagues with smaller benches he SHOULD NOT HAVE BEEN OWNED! In the middle of bye weeks, there are almost never roster spots to “stash” players. So if you had held on to him, then you simply got lucky. Do not try to shame others like you are smarter or better. <end rant>
Back to the pudding, Chubb is a solid RB2 going forward. He had 18 carries for 80 yards and a score in his first starring role. He is locked in as the early-downs and goal-line back on a team that can score when not playing elite defenses.
The other factor is that Chubb has so much more room to grow as a player. They have yet to include him in the passing game at all. Once he adds a catch or two a game, he will creep toward RB1 range.
Lastly on Chubb, how many running backs would you want over him for the rest of the season? To me, there are only 10 backs (depending on the LeVeon Bell situation) that I would 100% want over Chubb. He is in a 6-7 player tier just behind those guys. Chubb will decide Fantasy Championships and is the biggest riser all season on the rookie report.
Week 8 Rookie Report
Other Rookies on the Rise
Baker Mayfield, QB, Cleveland Browns
He was here last week in the rookie report and he is here again. Against the worst defense against Fantasy quarterbacks Mayfield had a strong outing with over 20 points. To follow that up he gets the defense giving up the fourth most Fantasy Points to quarterbacks, the Steelers. What was most promising is that Mayfield added 43 yards on the ground. As he gets more comfortable, his rushing will increase and boost his overall value.
Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions
Johnson was kind of the forgotten rookie in the class. Obviously Saquon Barkley took up the majority of talk then the injuries to Derrius Guice and Rashad Penny got a lot of attention. Johnson is putting together a strong rookie campaign. He has at least 85 total yards in three of his last four games culminating in a 179-yard game last Sunday. He has at least 10.5 Fantasy Points in five straight games. Johnson is must-start for the rest of the season.
Phillip Lindsay, RB, Denver Broncos
— Cameron Parker (@CameronParkerPO) October 25, 2018
Lindsay has at least 11.1 Fantasy Points in six of his seven games this season. He is the RB15 with only three scores. Now, Royce Freeman will either be out, or slowed down by an injury against the team giving up the second-most Fantasy Points to running backs. Lindsay could have a monster game Sunday.
Christian Kirk, WR, Arizona Cardinals
While I do not like his quarterback (which I will point in later in the rookie report) I do like Kirk’s upside. He is leading the team in receptions and seems to be Rosen’s go-to option. The one thing that Rosen will have to do is hurl it deep, and Kirk is leading Arizona in downfield yardage.
Michael Gallup, WR, Dallas Cowboys
I think the Amari Cooper trade is going to benefit two people the most: Ezekiel Elliott and Michael Gallup. The Cowboys now have someone that can draw the secondary’s attention, which will open up running lanes for Zeke and more single-coverage for Gallup. The rookie has shown that he can take advantage if Dak Prescott can just get the ball downfield… that is a big IF though.
Rookies on the Downswing
Josh Rosen, QB, Arizona Cardinals
In Rosen’s four starts he has 33.8 Fantasy Points. Total. He has scored less Fantasy Points with each subsequent start. The offensive line is absolutely atrocious in Arizona and Rosen turned the ball over five times last Thursday. He is Fantasy irrelevant for the time being.
Royce Freeman, RB, Denver Broncos
On the flip side to his teammate Lindsay, Freeman is seeing his stock go down in this week’s rookie report. His Fantasy Value is 100% touchdown dependent at this point. He has just four receptions on the season. He has 61 total Fantasy Points and almost half of them are from touchdowns. Now that he is injured, Lindsay could take the job and run with it.
Nyheim Hines, RB, Indianapolis Colts
With Marlon Mack breaking out a bit, Hines has seen his production dip for four straight weeks. He has just 10.7 Fantasy Points total over the past two weeks with only three receptions.
Courtland Sutton, WR, Denver Broncos
There was hope among Sutton truthers that Demaryius Thomas would get traded and open up a lane for the former Mustang. After reports came out that Thomas will be staying, at least for this season, Sutton does not have a path to more targets.
That’s it for the Week 8 Rookie Report. Be sure to check out our DFS strategy for the week too!
- Early Look Ahead to the 2019 Fantasy Football Season - December 31, 2018
- Week 14 DFS Strategy: Deciphering the New Starting Running Landscape - December 9, 2018
- Week 13 DFS Strategy : The Quest For 170 Points And A Win - December 1, 2018